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Rochdale vs Accrington ST• League Two, England

#171.6:1.40-5FT24/10 · Spotland, Rochdale1.4:0.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.96PINX3.50BFR22.45BFRMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets74Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.963.502.364.7%
Dafabet2.853.452.445.1%
Betfair2.753.502.455.8%
BetVictor2.903.402.385.9%
Betano2.773.502.357.2%
1xBet2.803.342.377.8%
William Hill2.803.252.388.5%
Marathonbet2.773.342.358.6%
Bet3652.803.402.308.6%
Best of all books2.963.502.453.2%
Average2.823.412.386.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RochdaleAccrington ST
Last 10#17Table position#91.15Points per game1.385Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.653Attack rating4730Defence rating7047Form rating5371H2H rating2960Goals model4053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

Rochdale

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

20 OctHGrimsby2-2D
17 OctACrewe2-3L
10 OctATranmere1-1D
6 OctAHuddersfield0-5L
3 OctHSwindon Town1-0W
26 SepAFleetwood Town2-1W
22 SepHLiverpool U213-3D
19 SepHOldham2-0W
12 SepAWalsall0-0D
5 SepHGillingham1-4L

Accrington ST

3W 6D 1L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

20 OctAYork1-1D
17 OctHGillingham3-1W
10 OctAOldham0-0D
6 OctHSalford City1-1D
3 OctHCheltenham2-0W
26 SepASwindon Town1-1D
22 SepHSunderland U213-3D
19 SepHNewport County0-0D
12 SepABarnet1-2L
5 SepHCrawley Town3-2W

Head to head

8Rochdale wins
1draws
2Accrington ST wins

11 meetings · goals 20:15 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Rochdale

30 Aug 2022EFL TrophyEFL TrophyAccrington ST3-3Rochdale
17 Apr 2021League OneLeague OneRochdale3-1Accrington ST
10 Oct 2020League OneLeague OneAccrington ST2-1Rochdale
1 Jan 2020League OneLeague OneAccrington ST1-2Rochdale
12 Oct 2019League OneLeague OneRochdale2-1Accrington ST
9 Apr 2019League OneLeague OneAccrington ST0-1Rochdale
24 Nov 2018League OneLeague OneRochdale1-0Accrington ST
15 Mar 2014League TwoLeague TwoRochdale2-1Accrington ST
21 Sep 2013League TwoLeague TwoAccrington ST1-2Rochdale
26 Feb 2013League TwoLeague TwoRochdale0-3Accrington ST

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 25 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the League Two table, Rochdale sit 17th with 15 points from 13 games, while Accrington ST are 9th with 18 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Salford City1281319:12+725
2Barnet1164124:16+822
3Cheltenham1363422:22021
4Crewe1356216:16021
5York1255221:13+820
6Walsall1147016:7+919
7Chesterfield1354423:17+619
8Exeter City1354410:7+319
9Accrington ST1346322:16+618
10Shrewsbury1353516:20-418
11Grimsby1345419:16+317
12Gillingham1345418:18017
13Tranmere1337316:16016
14Swindon Town1344513:16-316
15Bristol Rovers1351716:20-416
16Newport County1336416:16015
17Rochdale1343615:22-715
18Fleetwood Town1335515:17-214
19Northampton113448:8013
20Oldham1233614:18-412
21Colchester1226411:16-512
22Rotherham1326517:23-612
23Port Vale113356:12-612
24Crawley Town1113712:21-96

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.86X28%3.38240%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 03:0024 Oct 12:311 2.82X 3.412 2.38
12.46 → 2.82 +14.6%X3.32 → 3.41 +2.7%22.66 → 2.38 -10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.941.894.5%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betano1.911.875.8%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
1xBet1.891.847.3%
Marathonbet1.891.847.3%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books1.951.894.2%
Average1.911.856.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.702.047.8%
Betano1.722.008.1%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.722.027.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rochdale 45%Draw 45%Accrington ST 10%

The statistical model rated Rochdale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Accrington ST at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 3.38 | 2.36, which imply roughly 35% for a Rochdale win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Rochdale are 17th (15 pts, 15-22 goals), Accrington ST 9th (18 pts, 22-16).

Over their last five matches, Rochdale averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Accrington ST averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ian Watson

Goalkeeper

  • 20Sam William John Waller

Defence

  • 26S. Sherring
  • 44A. Flint
  • 3Kaiden Wilson
  • 2C. Tasker

Midfield

  • 8H. Gilmour
  • 17B. Adeeko
  • 7C. Hayes
  • 14E. Francis
  • 45G. Middleton

Attack

  • 39D. Brown
Substitutes (7)
  • 33S. Beckwith
  • 19L. Hannant
  • 40I. Henderson
  • 35J. Paterson
  • 11Z. Silcott-Duberry
  • 12J. Spaven
  • 56Reece Leonard

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2

Coach: J. Doolan

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Moulden

Defence

  • 2D. Love
  • 17D. Matthews
  • 22J. Anderson

Midfield

  • 38C. O'Brien
  • 14Stefan Mols
  • 16Aidan Borland
  • 33D. Tutonda
  • 39J. Woods

Attack

  • 23T. Walton
  • 30C. Warren
Substitutes (7)
  • 3Oliver Smith
  • 20C. Brown
  • 8C. Grant
  • 10Alex Henderson
  • 4T. Moore
  • 5F. Rawson
  • 21J. Rogerson

Match Statistics

RochdaleAccrington ST
0.39Expected Goals1.88
373Passes accurate247
5Shots insidebox14
12Free Kicks8
1Shots on Goal10
5Goalkeeper Saves1
4Shots off Goal9
2Offsides0
490Total passes343
5Total Shots25
1Yellow Cards4
3Corner Kicks3
0Shots outsidebox11
0Blocked Shots6
8Fouls13
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.823.412.38

Double chance

1XX212
1.531.411.28

Draw no bet

12
2.051.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.02

1st half

1X2
3.402.142.99

2nd half

1X2
3.092.422.70

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4214.228.2
HT X6.445.105.94
HT 229.414.13.91

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.099.901.91

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.42
1.51.283.37
2.51.911.85
3.53.211.31
4.56.251.09
5.512.61.03
6.523.51.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.30
11.037.70
1.251.154.41
1.751.342.86
21.442.59
2.251.672.09
2.752.131.64
32.561.45
3.252.821.35
3.753.811.19
45.151.10
4.255.451.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.831.41
-0.252.431.51
02.091.70
+0.251.751.99
+0.51.592.30
+0.751.402.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.02
-29.451.01
-1.757.001.06
-1.55.691.10
-1.255.321.11
-14.911.15
-0.753.421.27
+11.233.66
+1.251.194.12
+1.51.154.58
+1.751.095.80
+21.018.50
+2.51.039.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.43
7.51.332.92
8.51.602.20
9.52.031.71
10.52.621.43
11.53.721.21
12.55.501.06
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.19
6.251.075.40
6.751.144.20
71.163.98
7.251.243.32
7.751.362.74
81.422.58
8.251.522.32
8.751.702.02
91.781.98
9.251.921.79
9.752.171.60
102.271.57
10.252.501.44
10.752.931.32
112.951.35
11.253.511.22
11.754.241.14
125.091.08
12.255.301.07

Next League Two matches

26 OctWalsall – Salford City

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

24 OctCrawley Town 1-1 Tranmere
24 OctChesterfield 5-1 Crewe
24 OctBarnet 1-1 Oldham
24 OctGillingham 1-4 Grimsby
24 OctRotherham 3-3 Shrewsbury
24 OctYork 2-0 Port Vale