Larne vs Portadown• Premiership, Northern-Ireland

#32.6:1.619:4530/10 · Inver Park, Larne1.2:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.221XBX6.00B365211.0DAFMargin at best7.7%Books5Markets64Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 20:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.22	6.00	11.0	7.7%
Betano	1.22	5.70	10.3	9.3%
Bet365	1.20	6.00	10.0	10.0%
1xBet	1.22	5.50	9.55	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	5.50	9.10	11.8%
Best of all books	1.22	6.00	11.0	7.7%
Average	1.21	5.74	9.98	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LarnePortadown

Last 10#3Table position#112.20Points per game0.629Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.268Attack rating3243Defence rating5756Form rating4460H2H rating4076Goals model2462Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 20:01 UTC

Larne

7W 0D 3L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Bangor	2-1	W
20 Oct	H	Linfield	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Coleraine FC	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Crusaders FC	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Carrick Rangers	5-2	W
15 Sep	H	Cliftonville FC	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Portadown	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Bangor	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Glentoran	2-1	W
27 Aug	H	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0-3	L

Portadown

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

23 Oct	H	Linfield	1-2	L
20 Oct	H	Cliftonville FC	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Cliftonville FC	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Glentoran	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Limavady United	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Ballymena United	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Bangor	1-3	L
15 Sep	H	Linfield	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Larne	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Cliftonville FC	1-3	L

Head to head

12Larne wins

5draws

5Portadown wins

22 meetings · goals 46:24 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Larne

12 Sep 2026Premiership	Premiership	Portadown0-2Larne
14 Feb 2026Premiership	Premiership	Portadown2-1Larne
7 Nov 2025Premiership	Premiership	Larne3-0Portadown
22 Aug 2025Premiership	Premiership	Larne4-0Portadown
15 Feb 2025Premiership	Premiership	Portadown2-0Larne
1 Feb 2025Premiership	Premiership	Larne1-1Portadown
27 Oct 2024Premiership	Premiership	Portadown2-1Larne
24 Jan 2023Premiership	Premiership	Larne2-0Portadown
12 Nov 2022Premiership	Premiership	Portadown0-5Larne
17 Sep 2022Premiership	Premiership	Portadown0-1Larne

Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 26 Oct 20:30 UTC

In the Premiership table, Larne sit 3rd with 22 points from 10 games, while Portadown are 11th with 8 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Coleraine FC	13	11	1	1	31:12	+19	34
2	Linfield	13	10	2	1	20:10	+10	32
3	Larne	10	7	1	2	20:9	+11	22
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16:10	+6	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	5	3	5	22:20	+2	18
6	Ballymena United	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
7	Cliftonville FC	13	5	0	8	16:16	0	15
8	Crusaders FC	13	5	0	8	16:28	-12	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	4	2	6	12:17	-5	14
10	Limavady United	12	4	1	7	12:18	-6	13
11	Portadown	13	2	2	9	11:23	-12	8
12	Bangor	13	1	3	9	11:26	-15	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.21X16%5.7429%9.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.41	6.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
Betano	2.07	1.65	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Best of all books	2.20	1.82	0.4%
Average	2.00	1.72	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Larne 45%Draw 45%Portadown 10%

The statistical model rates Larne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Portadown at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.74 | 9.98, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Larne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Larne are 3rd (22 pts, 20-9 goals), Portadown 11th (8 pts, 11-23).

Over their last five matches, Larne averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Portadown averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Larne or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.74	9.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.42	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	7.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
1.61	2.69	8.35

2nd half

1	X	2
1.47	3.25	7.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.64	22.0	70.3
HT X	3.84	8.62	20.2
HT 2	21.3	22.7	17.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	20.0	3.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	15.8
1.5	1.14	4.69
2.5	1.48	2.39
3.5	2.22	1.57
4.5	3.74	1.22
5.5	6.55	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.13	4.55
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.32	2.93
2.75	1.57	2.16
3	1.75	1.90
3.25	1.96	1.70
3.75	2.50	1.42
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.35	1.25
4.75	4.56	1.13
5	6.15	1.06
5.25	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.69	1.39
-2.25	2.41	1.49
-2	2.11	1.64
-1.75	1.87	1.83
-1.5	1.70	2.03
-1.25	1.51	2.36

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.50	1.02
-3.75	6.23	1.08
-3.5	4.87	1.13
-3.25	4.52	1.15
-3	4.20	1.18
-2.75	3.19	1.29
-1	1.33	2.99
-0.75	1.26	3.37
-0.5	1.23	4.10
-0.25	1.13	4.97
0	1.03	7.40

Next Premiership matches

27 Oct	Larne – Limavady United
30 Oct	Coleraine FC – Glentoran

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

24 Oct	Bangor 1-2 Larne
24 Oct	Carrick Rangers 1-1 Limavady United
24 Oct	Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Cliftonville FC
24 Oct	Crusaders FC 0-5 Coleraine FC
23 Oct	Portadown 1-2 Linfield
20 Oct	Larne 1-2 Linfield