Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lechia Zielona Góra• II Liga - East, Poland

#42.2:1.40-0FTToday · Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Nowy Targ1.2:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82PINX3.73PIN23.831XBMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets62Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	3.73	3.66	9.1%
1xBet	1.74	3.66	3.83	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.60	3.70	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	3.66	3.74	12.2%
William Hill	1.80	3.40	3.60	12.7%
BetVictor	1.67	3.40	3.30	19.6%
Best of all books	1.82	3.73	3.83	7.9%
Average	1.75	3.57	3.64	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Podhale Nowy TargLechia Zielona Góra

Last 10#4Table position#121.58Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.065Attack rating3559Defence rating4163Form rating380H2H rating039Goals model6157Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Podhale Nowy Targ

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:20 · per match 2.2 for, 2.0 against

9 Oct	A	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Legia Warszawa II	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Stal Stalowa Wola	5-0	W
5 Sep	H	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2-1	W
1 Sep	H	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Olimpia Grudziądz	3-1	W
22 Aug	H	Resovia Rzeszów	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Górnik Łęczna	2-5	L
8 Aug	H	Hutnik Kraków	2-5	L

Lechia Zielona Góra

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Legia Warszawa II	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Znicz Pruszków	1-3	L
11 Sep	A	Resovia Rzeszów	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Świt Skolwin	1-4	L
2 Sep	H	Ruch Chorzów	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Avia Świdnik	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Hutnik Kraków	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Sokół Kleczew	6-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Podhale Nowy Targ and Lechia Zielona Góra on record.

II Liga - East tableII Liga - Eastupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the II Liga - East table, Podhale Nowy Targ sit 4th with 19 points from 12 games, while Lechia Zielona Góra are 12th with 16 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	9	2	1	25:12	+13	29
2	Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	19:7	+12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	12	6	2	4	22:15	+7	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	22:20	+2	19
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	12	5	4	3	15:17	-2	19
6	Hutnik Kraków	12	5	3	4	19:16	+3	18
7	Chojniczanka Chojnice	12	5	3	4	21:20	+1	18
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	12	5	2	5	16:13	+3	17
9	Avia Świdnik	12	5	2	5	16:18	-2	17
10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	11	4	4	3	17:14	+3	16
11	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	11	4	4	3	15:12	+3	16
12	Lechia Zielona Góra	12	4	4	4	20:18	+2	16
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	12	5	1	6	21:24	-3	16
14	Legia Warszawa II	12	4	1	7	23:21	+2	13
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	12	3	1	8	20:24	-4	10
16	Sokół Kleczew	12	1	6	5	12:25	-13	9
17	Świt Skolwin	12	2	3	7	12:26	-14	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	12	0	5	7	7:20	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.75X25%3.59224%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.76 0.0%X3.68 → 3.56 -3.3%23.73 → 3.63 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.45	7.5%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
BetVictor	1.41	2.04	19.9%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.48	2.31	11.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
BetVictor	1.36	2.15	20.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.45	2.36	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Podhale Nowy Targ 45%Draw 45%Lechia Zielona Góra 10%

The statistical model rated Podhale Nowy Targ at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lechia Zielona Góra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.59 | 3.65, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Podhale Nowy Targ win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the II Liga - East table: Podhale Nowy Targ are 4th (19 pts, 22-20 goals), Lechia Zielona Góra 12th (16 pts, 20-18).

Over their last five matches, Podhale Nowy Targ averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lechia Zielona Góra averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Podhale Nowy Targ or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.58	3.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.87	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.33	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.08	2.72	3.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.64	14.5	33.3
HT X	4.87	6.23	9.00
HT 2	21.0	14.7	6.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	17.1	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.0
1.5	1.12	4.40
2.5	1.48	2.31
3.5	2.18	1.54
4.5	3.61	1.19
5.5	6.18	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.14	4.39
2	1.17	3.95
2.25	1.33	2.92
2.75	1.58	2.09
3	1.74	1.86
3.25	1.95	1.67
3.75	2.56	1.42
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.42	1.23
4.75	4.60	1.13
5	6.15	1.06
5.25	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.55	1.40
-1	2.27	1.51
-0.75	1.93	1.71
-0.5	1.74	1.91
-0.25	1.54	2.20
0	1.34	2.77

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.95	1.04
-2.5	5.52	1.11
-2.25	5.23	1.12
-2	4.73	1.14
-1.75	3.52	1.24
-1.5	2.92	1.34
+0.25	1.28	3.26
+0.5	1.26	3.70
+0.75	1.14	4.73
+1	1.06	6.97
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.43	2.55
9.5	1.40	2.64
10	1.51	2.32
10.5	1.79	1.96
11	1.95	1.72
11.5	2.22	1.56
12	2.70	1.38

Latest II Liga - East results

18 Oct	Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4-3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
18 Oct	Znicz Pruszków 1-0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
18 Oct	Resovia Rzeszów 0-0 Sokół Kleczew
18 Oct	Śląsk Wrocław II 1-2 Avia Świdnik
17 Oct	Świt Skolwin 1-1 Olimpia Grudziądz
17 Oct	Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola