Rubin vs Fakel• Premier League, Russia

#110.4:1.812:15Today · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan0.8:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.061XBX3.381XB24.261XBMargin at best1.6%Books4Markets71Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.06	3.38	4.26	1.6%
Pinnacle	2.03	3.24	4.32	3.3%
Marathonbet	2.01	3.30	4.15	4.2%
Dafabet	2.06	3.30	3.85	4.8%
Best of all books	2.06	3.38	4.32	1.3%
Average	2.04	3.30	4.15	3.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RubinFakel

Last 10#11Table position#161.00Points per game0.500Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6753Defence rating4733Form rating6771H2H rating2952Goals model4852Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 20:40 UTC

Rubin

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	A	Spartak Moscow	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Krylia Sovetov	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Spartak Moscow	0-4	L
15 Oct	H	FC Orenburg	1-4	L
11 Oct	H	Dynamo	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Rodina Moskva	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	CSKA Moscow	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Akhmat	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	FC Orenburg	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Dinamo Makhachkala	3-1	W

Fakel

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

27 Oct	H	Akhmat	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Rodina Moskva	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Krylia Sovetov	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	FC Krasnodar	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Lokomotiv	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	FC Vitebsk	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Spartak Moscow	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Baltika	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	FC Rostov	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	FC Krasnodar	1-1	D

Head to head

4Rubin wins

2draws

1Fakel wins

7 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 7: 4W 2D 1L for Rubin

27 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Rubin2-1Fakel
1 Oct 2024Cup	Cup	Rubin0-1Fakel
27 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Fakel0-0Rubin
27 Aug 2024Cup	Cup	Fakel0-2Rubin
26 Nov 2023Premier League	Premier League	Rubin1-0Fakel Voronezh
25 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Fakel Voronezh0-1Rubin
20 Jan 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Rubin4-4Fakel Voronezh

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Rubin sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while Fakel are 16th with 6 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zenit	12	9	0	3	27:13	+14	27
2	Dynamo	12	8	1	3	19:12	+7	25
3	CSKA Moscow	12	7	4	1	21:12	+9	25
4	FC Krasnodar	12	6	5	1	20:14	+6	23
5	Spartak Moscow	12	7	2	3	21:10	+11	23
6	FC Orenburg	12	3	7	2	14:12	+2	16
7	FC Rostov	12	4	3	5	13:17	-4	15
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	3	6	3	17:17	0	15
9	Baltika	12	3	5	4	15:13	+2	14
10	Dinamo Makhachkala	12	4	1	7	16:23	-7	13
11	Rubin	12	2	6	4	12:18	-6	12
12	Akron	12	2	6	4	15:21	-6	12
13	Lokomotiv	12	2	5	5	16:16	0	11
14	Akhmat	12	2	5	5	15:17	-2	11
15	Rodina Moskva	12	2	3	7	13:27	-14	9
16	Fakel	12	1	3	8	8:20	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%2.02X29%3.30223%4.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.45	1.65	1.4%
Pinnacle	2.51	1.56	3.9%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Best of all books	2.51	1.65	0.4%
Average	2.41	1.58	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.71	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.69	8.2%
Best of all books	2.04	1.71	7.5%
Average	2.04	1.70	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rubin 35%Draw 35%Fakel 30%

The statistical model rates Rubin at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Fakel at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.30 | 4.14, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Rubin win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Rubin are 11th (12 pts, 12-18 goals), Fakel 16th (6 pts, 8-20).

Over their last five matches, Rubin averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Fakel averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rubin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.31	4.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.85	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
2.71	2.00	4.98

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.31	4.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.08	16.1	48.0
HT X	4.65	4.33	8.50
HT 2	32.0	16.6	7.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	7.20	2.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.31
1.5	1.45	2.76
2.5	2.41	1.58
3.5	4.53	1.18
4.5	8.68	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	6.55
1	1.10	5.91
1.25	1.28	3.52
1.75	1.59	2.42
2	1.79	2.04
2.25	2.08	1.74
2.75	2.74	1.40
3	3.54	1.27
3.25	3.92	1.19
3.75	5.45	1.10
4	8.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.43	1.29
-1	3.02	1.38
-0.75	2.32	1.61
-0.5	2.04	1.87
-0.25	1.72	2.19
0	1.44	2.97

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.18	1.03
-2.25	7.75	1.03
-2	7.40	1.05
-1.75	4.86	1.14
-1.5	3.88	1.24
+0.25	1.31	3.48
+0.5	1.25	4.24
+0.75	1.13	5.22
+1	1.05	8.80
+1.25	1.02	10.3
+1.5	1.01	10.6

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	7.40
6.5	1.12	4.66
7.5	1.29	3.05
8.5	1.57	2.23
9.5	1.97	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.44
11.5	3.46	1.23
12.5	5.04	1.10
13.5	7.10	1.04

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.12	4.42
7	1.14	4.20
7.25	1.22	3.47
7.75	1.34	2.85
8	1.38	2.69
8.25	1.48	2.40
8.75	1.66	2.08
9	1.76	1.99
9.25	1.86	1.84
9.75	2.10	1.65
10	2.29	1.56
10.25	2.41	1.48
10.75	2.80	1.35
11	3.18	1.27
11.25	3.34	1.24
11.75	4.01	1.16
12	4.78	1.10
12.25	4.99	1.09

Next Premier League matches

31 Oct	Dynamo – Akhmat
31 Oct	Rodina Moskva – FC Krasnodar
1 Nov	FC Orenburg – CSKA Moscow
1 Nov	Dinamo Makhachkala – FC Rostov
1 Nov	Baltika – Akron
1 Nov	Lokomotiv – Spartak Moscow

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

25 Oct	Zenit 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala
25 Oct	CSKA Moscow 2-0 Spartak Moscow
25 Oct	FC Rostov 2-0 Lokomotiv
24 Oct	FC Krasnodar 1-1 Baltika
24 Oct	Rubin 0-2 Krylia Sovetov
24 Oct	Fakel 0-1 Rodina Moskva