Xelajú vs Municipal• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

1.4:1.820:0024/10 · Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango1.4:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.25BFR23.05BTNMargin at best8.6%Books5Markets41Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.22	3.20	3.05	9.1%
Betfair	2.20	3.25	3.00	9.6%
1xBet	2.17	3.15	3.02	10.9%
Bet365	2.15	3.20	3.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.15	3.15	2.94	12.3%
Best of all books	2.22	3.25	3.05	8.6%
Average	2.18	3.19	3.00	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

XelajúMunicipal

Last 106Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5036Defence rating6450Form rating5020H2H rating8057Goals model4341Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 09:00 UTC

Xelajú

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

20 Oct	A	Antigua GFC	0-3	L
15 Oct	H	Malacateco	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Aurora	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Comunicaciones	2-3	L
24 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Suchitepéquez	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Cobán Imperial	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marquense	4-0	W

Municipal

3W 6D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

19 Oct	H	Guastatoya	1-1	D
15 Oct	A	Cobán Imperial	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Marquense	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Antigua GFC	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Suchitepéquez	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Malacateco	2-2	D
10 Sep	A	Aurora	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Deportivo San Pedro	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	CD Motagua	1-1	D

Head to head

16Xelajú wins

20draws

26Municipal wins

62 meetings · goals 51:74 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Xelajú

23 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal2-0Xelajú
24 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú1-2Municipal
17 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal4-1Xelajú
20 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú3-1Municipal
29 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal1-0Xelajú
3 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú0-3Municipal
24 Aug 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal1-1Xelajú
29 Mar 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal1-0Xelajú
27 Jan 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú1-1Municipal
10 Nov 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal1-1Xelajú

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.18X28%3.19230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.04	1.70	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.79	1.93	7.7%
Average	1.78	1.89	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Xelajú 10%Draw 45%Municipal 45%

The statistical model rates Xelajú at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Municipal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.19 | 3.00, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Xelajú averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Municipal averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Municipal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.19	3.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.56	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.03	3.67

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.34	3.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.57	14.7	32.0
HT X	5.43	4.75	6.80
HT 2	26.3	15.7	4.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	8.55	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.53
1.5	1.30	3.03
2.5	2.04	1.70
3.5	3.47	1.23
4.5	6.30	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.16	4.11
1.75	1.38	2.63
2	1.50	2.28
2.25	1.76	1.89
2.75	2.30	1.49
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.56	1.40
-0.5	2.18	1.62
-0.25	1.89	1.80
0	1.59	2.15
+0.25	1.41	2.52

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.05	1.02
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.5	4.50	1.13
-1.25	4.00	1.17
+0.75	1.19	3.75
+1	1.07	5.80
+1.25	1.08	5.54
+1.5	1.04	6.90

Next Liga Nacional matches

24 Oct

Guastatoya – Mixco

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

21 Oct	Malacateco 1-0 Comunicaciones
20 Oct	Antigua GFC 3-0 Xelajú
19 Oct	Marquense 2-1 Suchitepéquez
19 Oct	Municipal 1-1 Guastatoya
18 Oct	Mixco 3-1 Cobán Imperial
18 Oct	Aurora 3-1 Deportivo San Pedro