Francs Borains vs Dender• Challenger Pro League, Belgium

#41.4:1.218:00Today · Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu1.8:0.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.35DAFX3.50BFR22.14DAFMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets77Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.35	3.50	2.14	5.2%
Pinnacle	3.39	3.50	2.11	5.5%
Betano	3.25	3.35	2.12	7.8%
BetVictor	3.13	3.40	2.05	10.1%
1xBet	3.18	3.32	2.04	10.6%
Betfair	3.10	3.50	2.00	10.8%
William Hill	3.20	3.20	2.05	11.3%
Marathonbet	3.10	3.32	2.02	11.9%
Bet365	3.00	3.30	2.05	12.4%
SBO	2.90	3.09	1.99	17.1%
Best of all books	3.39	3.50	2.14	4.8%
Average	3.16	3.35	2.06	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Francs BorainsDender

Last 10#4Table position#22.00Points per game2.579Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.244Attack rating5614Defence rating8638Form rating6315H2H rating8550Goals model5030Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Francs Borains

7W 0D 3L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	OH Leuven	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	K. Lierse S.K.	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Diegem Sport	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	RSC Anderlecht II	3-2	W
6 Sep	H	Lokeren-Temse	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Excelsior Virton	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sporting Hasselt	0-1	L
17 Aug	A	Liège	2-1	W
24 Jul	A	Feignies-Aulnoye	2-0	W
23 Jul	H	Tubize	3-0	W

Dender

7W 0D 3L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

16 Oct	A	Standard Liege	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Club Brugge II	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Hoogstraten	6-0	W
20 Sep	H	Patro Eisden	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	KAA Gent II	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Seraing United	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Liège	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Beerschot VA	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Sporting Hasselt	0-1	L
2 Aug	A	Oudenaarde	0-5	L

Head to head

0Francs Borains wins

1draws

3Dender wins

4 meetings · goals 2:9 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Francs Borains

19 Apr 2024Challenger Pro League	Challenger Pro League	Francs Borains0-3Dender
5 Dec 2023Challenger Pro League	Challenger Pro League	Dender2-0Francs Borains
19 Feb 2022First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Dender3-1Francs Borains
19 Dec 2021First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Francs Borains1-1Dender

Challenger Pro League tableSecond Divisionupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Challenger Pro League table, Francs Borains sit 4th with 12 points from 6 games, while Dender are 2nd with 18 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	18:6	+12	18
2	Dender	7	6	0	1	11:2	+9	18
3	AS Eupen	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9:7	+2	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8:10	-2	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	11:6	+5	10
7	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	13:11	+2	10
8	K. Lierse S.K.	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	11:13	-2	8
10	KAA Gent II	6	2	2	2	9:11	-2	8
11	KRC Genk II	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
12	Patro Eisden	7	2	0	5	8:12	-4	6
13	Liège	7	1	2	4	11:18	-7	5
14	Seraing United	7	0	2	5	8:15	-7	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.15X27%3.32244%2.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.20 → 3.15 -1.6%X3.30 → 3.32 +0.6%22.05 → 2.06 +0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	2.02	5.4%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	1.95	9.1%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.75	1.98	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.17	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Francs Borains 10%Draw 45%Dender 45%

The statistical model rates Francs Borains at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dender at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.15 | 3.32 | 2.06, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenger Pro League table: Francs Borains are 4th (12 pts, 9-7 goals), Dender 2nd (18 pts, 11-2).

Over their last five matches, Francs Borains averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Dender averaged 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dender.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.16	3.35	2.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.29	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.34	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
3.69	2.22	2.60

2nd half

1	X	2
3.35	2.50	2.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.31	13.9	23.4
HT X	7.32	5.47	5.35
HT 2	29.2	13.3	3.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	12.9	1.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.1
1.5	1.22	3.87
2.5	1.75	1.98
3.5	2.82	1.38
4.5	5.29	1.13
5.5	10.2	1.05
6.5	18.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.54	2.29
2.75	1.94	1.78
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.52	1.45
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.80	1.12
4.75	6.50	1.05
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.73	1.40
0	2.35	1.53
+0.25	1.93	1.80
+0.5	1.71	2.08
+0.75	1.51	2.39
+1	1.33	3.04

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.65	1.01
-1.5	6.63	1.07
-1.25	6.15	1.08
-1	5.73	1.10
-0.75	3.97	1.21
-0.5	3.23	1.34
+1.25	1.27	3.42
+1.5	1.21	3.77
+1.75	1.14	4.87
+2	1.04	7.00
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.53
7.5	1.21	3.52
8.5	1.44	2.54
9.5	1.76	1.96
10.5	2.22	1.57
11.5	2.97	1.31
12.5	4.30	1.13
13.5	6.54	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.07	5.28
7	1.09	5.03
7.25	1.16	4.05
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.28	3.10
8.25	1.38	2.71
8.75	1.52	2.32
9	1.60	2.22
9.25	1.70	2.02
9.75	1.90	1.80
10	2.02	1.74
10.25	2.15	1.61
10.75	2.46	1.46
11	2.73	1.37
11.25	2.88	1.33
11.75	3.40	1.23
12	3.94	1.16
12.25	4.12	1.15
12.75	5.01	1.09
13	6.12	1.04
13.25	6.33	1.03

Next Challenger Pro League matches

23 Oct	RSC Anderlecht II – K. Lierse S.K.
24 Oct	KRC Genk II – Club Brugge II
24 Oct	Seraing United – Excelsior Virton
24 Oct	Lokeren-Temse – KAA Gent II
25 Oct	AS Eupen – Beerschot VA
25 Oct	Liège – Patro Eisden

All Challenger Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenger Pro League results

11 Oct	KAA Gent II 3-2 Seraing United
11 Oct	Patro Eisden 1-0 KRC Genk II
10 Oct	Beerschot VA 5-1 Liège
10 Oct	K. Lierse S.K. 3-0 Francs Borains
10 Oct	Excelsior Virton 3-4 Sporting Hasselt
9 Oct	RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 AS Eupen