Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt• Challenger Pro League, Belgium

#51.6:0.414:00Tomorrow · Stade Yvan Georges, Virton0.6:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX3.79PIN22.52BTNMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets62Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.65	2.50	5.1%
Pinnacle	2.55	3.83	2.48	5.6%
Betano	2.47	3.60	2.52	7.9%
Betfair	2.50	3.50	2.40	10.2%
BetVictor	2.50	3.50	2.40	10.2%
William Hill	2.50	3.25	2.45	11.6%
1xBet	2.45	3.50	2.36	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.50	2.36	11.8%
Bet365	2.45	3.40	2.38	12.2%
SBO	2.42	3.08	2.31	17.1%
Best of all books	2.65	3.83	2.52	3.5%
Average	2.49	3.48	2.42	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Excelsior VirtonSporting Hasselt

Last 10#5Table position#72.00Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 51.473Attack rating2778Defence rating2263Form rating3850H2H rating5087Goals model1367Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Excelsior Virton

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

26 Sep	A	Oostkamp	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Lokeren-Temse	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	KRC Genk II	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Francs Borains	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	RSC Anderlecht II	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	K. Lierse S.K.	3-0	W
5 Aug	H	Strasbourg II	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Rochefort	2-2	D
25 Jul	A	Progres Niederkorn	1-1	D
22 Jul	H	US Hostert	1-0	W

Sporting Hasselt

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

26 Sep	A	Mandel United	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Beerschot VA	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Seraing United	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	KRC Genk II	0-3	L
28 Aug	H	KAA Gent II	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	Francs Borains	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Dender	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Spouwen-Mopertingen	4-0	W
4 Aug	A	Geel	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Eendracht Aalst	4-1	W

Head to head

0Excelsior Virton wins

1draws

0Sporting Hasselt wins

1 meeting · goals 3:3 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Excelsior Virton

23 Aug 2025Cup

Cup

Excelsior Virton3-3Sporting Hasselt

Challenger Pro League tableSecond Divisionupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Challenger Pro League table, Excelsior Virton sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games, while Sporting Hasselt are 7th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dender	7	6	0	1	11:2	+9	18
2	AS Eupen	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15
3	Beerschot VA	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15
4	Francs Borains	5	4	0	1	9:4	+5	12
5	Excelsior Virton	5	3	1	1	8:2	+6	10
6	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	13:11	+2	10
7	Sporting Hasselt	6	3	0	3	4:7	-3	9
8	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	11:13	-2	8
9	KRC Genk II	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7
10	Liège	6	1	2	3	10:13	-3	5
11	KAA Gent II	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5
12	K. Lierse S.K.	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
13	Patro Eisden	6	1	0	5	7:12	-5	3
14	Seraing United	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.49X26%3.47237%2.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.50 → 2.49 -0.4%X3.42 → 3.47 +1.5%22.39 → 2.42 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	2.34	5.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.34	4.5%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.37	8.0%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.49	2.42	8.4%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.51	2.36	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Excelsior Virton 45%Draw 45%Sporting Hasselt 10%

The statistical model rates Excelsior Virton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Hasselt at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.47 | 2.42, which imply roughly 40.2% for a Excelsior Virton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenger Pro League table: Excelsior Virton are 5th (10 pts, 8-2 goals), Sporting Hasselt 7th (9 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Excelsior Virton averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Sporting Hasselt averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Excelsior Virton or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.49	3.48	2.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.44	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.88	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	2.28	2.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	15.9	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.3
1.5	1.17	4.47
2.5	1.60	2.22
3.5	2.46	1.48
4.5	4.41	1.17
5.5	8.42	1.04
6.5	15.8	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.25	1.06	6.26
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.44	2.57
2.75	1.76	1.96
3	1.95	1.76
3.25	2.23	1.57
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.60	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.48	1.50
-0.25	2.20	1.61
0	1.90	1.83
+0.25	1.65	2.11
+0.5	1.52	2.44
+0.75	1.36	2.87

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.02
-2	8.20	1.03
-1.75	6.50	1.07
-1.5	4.97	1.13
-1.25	4.47	1.15
-1	4.03	1.20
-0.75	2.97	1.35
+1	1.21	3.87
+1.25	1.17	4.25
+1.5	1.14	4.63
+1.75	1.08	6.21
+2	1.04	7.70
+2.5	1.02	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.22
7.5	1.13	4.30
8.5	1.32	2.90
9.5	1.60	2.20
10.5	1.99	1.73
11.5	2.56	1.44
12.5	3.40	1.23
13.5	4.91	1.09

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.02	6.67
8	1.17	3.89
9	1.41	2.60
10	1.78	1.97
11	2.27	1.55
12	3.10	1.28
13	4.54	1.12
14	7.10	1.01