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Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów• I Liga, Poland

#131.4:1.81-0LiveToday · Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce2.0:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.36PINX3.77PIN21.78BTNMargin at best5.6%Books10Markets78Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.463.851.784.6%
Dafabet4.103.601.827.1%
Betano4.053.501.837.9%
BetVictor4.203.601.739.4%
Bet3654.003.601.7310.6%
Betfair4.003.601.7310.6%
1xBet4.143.621.7010.6%
William Hill4.003.401.7511.6%
Marathonbet4.053.621.6811.8%
SBO3.813.251.8012.6%
Best of all books4.463.851.833.0%
Average4.083.561.769.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pogoń SiedlceRuch Chorzów
Last 10#13Table position#51.25Points per game1.753Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.641Attack rating5925Defence rating7535Form rating6575H2H rating2550Goals model5048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:10 UTC

Pogoń Siedlce

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

28 OctATychy 712-4L
25 OctAOdra Opole1-0W
18 OctHStal Rzeszów3-4L
15 OctHPuszcza Niepołomice1-3L
9 OctAPodbeskidzie0-1L
20 SepHArka Gdynia2-1W
12 SepAChrobry Głogów0-0D
1 SepAKluczevia Stargard3-2W
29 AugHStal Mielec2-0W
21 AugALechia Gdansk0-1L

Ruch Chorzów

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

28 OctAZnicz Pruszków1-0W
25 OctHPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-0W
16 OctHOdra Opole3-0W
11 OctAŁKS Łódź2-0W
3 OctHLechia Gdansk1-3L
18 SepAPolonia Bytom0-0D
12 SepHPodbeskidzie3-3D
7 SepHUnia Skierniewice3-1W
2 SepALechia Zielona Góra2-0W
30 AugAChrobry Głogów0-2L

Head to head

2Pogoń Siedlce wins
4draws
0Ruch Chorzów wins

6 meetings · goals 8:5 · last 6: 2W 4D 0L for Pogoń Siedlce

13 Feb 2026I LigaI LigaPogoń Siedlce2-1Ruch Chorzów
8 Aug 2025I LigaI LigaRuch Chorzów0-2Pogoń Siedlce
17 Feb 2025I LigaI LigaPogoń Siedlce1-1Ruch Chorzów
2 Aug 2024I LigaI LigaRuch Chorzów1-1Pogoń Siedlce
1 Dec 2021II Liga - EastII Liga - EastPogoń Siedlce1-1Ruch Chorzów
30 Jul 2021II Liga - EastII Liga - EastRuch Chorzów1-1Pogoń Siedlce

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 2 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 13th with 15 points from 12 games, while Ruch Chorzów are 5th with 21 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa1364320:15+522
2Lechia Gdansk1371525:21+422
3ŁKS Łódź1364316:12+422
4Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1363419:12+721
5Ruch Chorzów1263316:11+521
6Polonia Bytom1356223:20+321
7Nieciecza1363420:18+221
8Miedz Legnica1354419:12+719
9Warta Poznań1361620:17+319
10Stal Rzeszów1353518:24-618
11Stal Mielec1344517:27-1016
12Podbeskidzie1329216:17-115
13Pogoń Siedlce1243514:15-115
14Arka Gdynia1242616:16014
15Chrobry Głogów1234513:15-213
16Puszcza Niepołomice1341815:19-413
17Odra Opole133378:16-812
18Unia Skierniewice1332815:23-811

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.11X26%3.56252%1.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 00:011 Nov 03:001 4.11X 3.612 1.73
14.11 → 4.11 0.0%X3.62 → 3.61 -0.3%21.73 → 1.73 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
SBO1.891.954.2%
Pinnacle1.861.974.5%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.831.907.3%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.811.878.7%
1xBet1.791.889.1%
Marathonbet1.791.889.1%
Best of all books1.891.973.7%
Average1.831.917.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.007.1%
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.722.008.1%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.741.968.5%
Marathonbet1.741.939.3%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.751.968.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogoń Siedlce 10%Draw 45%Ruch Chorzów 45%

The statistical model rates Pogoń Siedlce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ruch Chorzów at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.11 | 3.56 | 1.75, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 13th (15 pts, 14-15 goals), Ruch Chorzów 5th (21 pts, 16-11).

Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ruch Chorzów averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ruch Chorzów.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.083.561.76

Double chance

1XX212
1.941.181.23

Draw no bet

12
3.131.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.96

1st half

1X2
4.592.212.31

2nd half

1X2
4.162.502.12

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.0114.521.6
HT X9.235.484.57
HT 237.614.02.69

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5511.81.58

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.88
1.51.253.61
2.51.831.91
3.53.081.33
4.55.901.10
5.511.51.04
6.520.91.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.00
1.251.114.85
1.751.283.09
21.392.73
2.251.602.18
2.752.051.70
32.391.50
3.252.671.38
3.753.591.21
44.901.11
4.255.301.09
4.757.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.391.51
+0.52.031.77
+0.751.791.95
+11.532.35
+1.251.412.67
+1.51.333.03
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.601.02
-1.258.901.01
-18.401.01
-0.755.331.11
-0.54.001.23
-0.253.611.24
03.161.32
+1.751.233.76
+21.125.30
+2.251.105.70
+2.51.086.08

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.075.30
8.51.233.39
9.51.462.48
10.51.761.96
11.52.201.59
12.52.891.33
13.53.941.17
14.55.761.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.085.08
81.104.86
8.251.163.98
8.751.253.26
91.283.10
9.251.372.73
9.751.512.35
101.602.22
10.251.682.06
10.751.861.84
111.991.77
11.252.091.66
11.752.361.50
122.581.41
12.252.721.37
12.753.161.27
133.611.20
13.253.771.18
13.754.511.12
145.381.07
14.255.571.06

Next I Liga matches

6 NovPuszcza Niepołomice – Miedz Legnica
6 NovOdra Opole – Unia Skierniewice

All I Liga fixtures and the table

Latest I Liga results

2 NovŁKS Łódź 1-1 Polonia Warszawa
2 NovStal Rzeszów 2-2 Puszcza Niepołomice
2 NovPolonia Bytom 3-0 Odra Opole
31 OctPodbeskidzie 1-1 Warta Poznań
31 OctMiedz Legnica 1-1 Nieciecza
31 OctLechia Gdansk 3-2 Unia Skierniewice