Saint Etienne vs Nantes• Ligue 2, France

#11.8:1.01-0FT24/10 · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne1.0:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75DAFX3.95PIN24.96PINMargin at best2.6%Books9Markets83Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	3.95	4.96	4.3%
Betano	1.72	3.90	4.75	4.8%
Dafabet	1.75	3.90	4.50	5.0%
1xBet	1.69	3.85	4.61	6.8%
Betfair	1.73	3.80	4.40	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.67	3.85	4.65	7.4%
William Hill	1.70	3.60	4.50	8.8%
BetVictor	1.65	3.70	4.60	9.4%
Bet365	1.65	3.75	4.33	10.4%
Best of all books	1.75	3.95	4.96	2.6%
Average	1.70	3.81	4.59	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Saint EtienneNantes

Last 10#1Table position#152.50Points per game0.8010Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3650Defence rating5059Form rating4136H2H rating6487Goals model1357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Saint Etienne

8W 1D 1L · goals 27:9 · per match 2.7 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	RED Star FC 93	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Rodez	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	FC Sion	5-1	W
19 Sep	A	Metz	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Dunkerque	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Montpellier	3-1	W
31 Aug	A	Dijon	3-2	W
22 Aug	H	Grenoble	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Clermont Foot	3-1	W
8 Aug	A	Sochaux	3-0	W

Nantes

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Dunkerque	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Reims	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Boulogne	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sochaux	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Nancy	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Guingamp	3-3	D
22 Aug	H	Rodez	2-5	L
14 Aug	A	Laval	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	RED Star FC 93	0-1	L
31 Jul	H	Al Wakrah	5-1	W

Head to head

7Saint Etienne wins

10draws

3Nantes wins

20 meetings · goals 28:18 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Saint Etienne

19 Jan 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Saint Etienne1-1Nantes
29 Sep 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nantes2-2Saint Etienne
21 May 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nantes1-1Saint Etienne
22 Dec 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Saint Etienne0-1Nantes
3 Feb 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Saint Etienne1-1Nantes
20 Sep 2020Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nantes2-2Saint Etienne
12 Jan 2020Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Saint Etienne0-2Nantes
10 Nov 2019Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nantes2-3Saint Etienne
30 Jan 2019Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Nantes1-1Saint Etienne
30 Nov 2018Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Saint Etienne3-0Nantes

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 25 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Saint Etienne sit 1st with 25 points from 10 games, while Nantes are 15th with 8 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	10	8	1	1	23:8	+15	25
2	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12:8	+4	19
3	Montpellier	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
4	Reims	9	4	5	0	19:11	+8	17
5	PAU	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
6	RED Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12:10	+2	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14:12	+2	16
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16:14	+2	14
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17:18	-1	12
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13:15	-2	11
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8:12	-4	11
13	Rodez	10	3	1	6	16:22	-6	10
14	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6:6	0	9
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11:17	-6	8
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9:17	-8	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	0	7	3	9:14	-5	7
18	Laval	10	1	3	6	13:21	-8	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.70X25%3.81220%4.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.70 -2.9%X3.70 → 3.81 +3.0%24.19 → 4.59 +9.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.80	2.07	3.9%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.69	2.09	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.09	7.0%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.74	2.05	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.04	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Saint Etienne 45%Draw 45%Nantes 10%

The statistical model rated Saint Etienne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nantes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.81 | 4.59, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Saint Etienne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Saint Etienne are 1st (25 pts, 23-8 goals), Nantes 15th (8 pts, 11-17).

Over their last five matches, Saint Etienne averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nantes averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Saint Etienne.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Saint Etienne

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ian Cathro

Goalkeeper

1Mamour Ndiaye

Defence

13João Ferreira
26J. Le Cardinal
23K. Pedro
11B. Old

Midfield

6M. Bernauer
14Á. Csongvai
20A. Boakye
10J. Breum
22Z. Davitashvili

Attack

7I. Cardona

Substitutes (9)

32Adam Baallal
37N. Kasia Nkondo
5M. Jaber
40L. Lavallée
17J. Duffus
15Chico Lamba
31N. El Jamali
46E. Dhaoui
8T. Ballo

Nantes

4-1-4-1

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Goalkeeper

30P. Carlgren

Defence

24F. Guilbert
4S. Sow
28I. Sissoko
98K. Amian

Midfield

37I. Ganago
13F. Doucouré
44B. Pierret
8J. Lepenant
26R. Hachem

Attack

27T. Robinet

Substitutes (9)

23W. Younoussa
20M. Cafaro
18F. Centonze
75A. Cherni
12K. Corredor
1M. Dupé
7A. Joujou
19Louis Leroux
5L. Perrin

Match Statistics

Saint EtienneNantes

0.83Expected Goals0.3

561Passes accurate253

6Shots insidebox3

5Shots outsidebox1

4Blocked Shots1

15Free Kicks11

3Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves2

4Shots off Goal1

5Offsides2

641Total passes340

11Total Shots4

3Yellow Cards4

7Corner Kicks6

11Fouls17

0Red Cards0

65%Ball Possession35%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.81	4.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.09	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.29	4.87

2nd half

1	X	2
2.02	2.62	4.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	15.0	39.8
HT X	4.54	5.90	10.1
HT 2	22.4	15.4	7.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	13.3	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.2
1.5	1.22	3.95
2.5	1.74	2.05
3.5	2.85	1.38
4.5	5.34	1.13
5.5	10.4	1.03
6.5	20.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.33	3.14
2.25	1.52	2.39
2.75	1.90	1.83
3	2.21	1.61
3.25	2.47	1.48
3.75	3.16	1.27
4	4.20	1.16
4.25	4.56	1.13
4.75	6.25	1.06
5	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.39
-1.25	2.50	1.48
-1	2.20	1.65
-0.75	1.84	1.89
-0.5	1.67	2.18
-0.25	1.46	2.54

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.03
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.10	1.04
-2.5	5.64	1.11
-2.25	5.08	1.12
-2	4.62	1.15
-1.75	3.50	1.27
0	1.27	3.48
+0.25	1.21	4.00
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.09	5.87
+1	1.04	8.45
+1.5	1.03	9.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.07	6.21
6.5	1.14	4.43
7.5	1.30	3.08
8.5	1.58	2.25
9.5	1.97	1.76
10.5	2.52	1.45
11.5	3.33	1.24
12.5	4.61	1.13
13.5	5.85	1.08
14.5	8.50	1.05
15.5	10.5	1.03

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	5.02
7	1.17	3.52
7.75	1.32	2.88
8	1.42	2.62
8.25	1.45	2.41
8.75	1.62	2.07
9	1.82	1.97
9.25	1.83	1.81
9.75	2.10	1.62
10	2.34	1.52
10.25	2.40	1.46
10.75	2.81	1.33
11	2.88	1.27
12	3.87	1.14
13	5.05	1.07

Next Ligue 2 matches

26 Oct	Montpellier – RED Star FC 93
26 Oct	Boulogne – Reims

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

24 Oct	Dijon 1-2 Rodez
23 Oct	Dunkerque 1-1 Metz
23 Oct	PAU 2-1 Grenoble
23 Oct	Nancy 1-0 Laval
23 Oct	Clermont Foot 0-2 Guingamp
23 Oct	Sochaux 1-3 Annecy