Genoa vs AC Milan• Serie A, Italy

#121.4:0.80-2LiveToday · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa2.2:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20PINX3.45BTN22.071XBMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets90Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.16	3.43	2.07	1.5%
Betano	4.10	3.45	2.05	2.2%
Pinnacle	4.20	3.38	2.03	2.7%
Dafabet	4.00	3.40	2.02	3.9%
Marathonbet	4.05	3.34	2.01	4.4%
BetVictor	4.10	3.20	2.00	5.6%
Bet365	3.90	3.40	1.95	6.3%
Betfair	4.10	3.20	1.95	6.9%
William Hill	4.00	3.20	1.91	8.6%
SBO	3.87	3.17	1.81	12.6%
Best of all books	4.20	3.45	2.07	1.1%
Average	4.05	3.32	1.98	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GenoaAC Milan

Last 10#12Table position#51.30Points per game2.1012Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.639Attack rating6167Defence rating3355Form rating4525H2H rating7534Goals model6644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:10 UTC

Genoa

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

1 Nov	A	Lecce	2-1	W
28 Oct	H	Juventus	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Venezia	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	AS Roma	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Fiorentina	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Rapid	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Parma	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Sudtirol	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Frosinone	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Como	1-4	L

AC Milan

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

5 Nov	H	Ferencvarosi TC	0-2	L
31 Oct	H	Inter	3-1	W
28 Oct	H	Bologna	2-4	L
25 Oct	A	Udinese	2-0	W
22 Oct	A	Bournemouth	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Atalanta	3-2	W
15 Oct	A	Red Bull Salzburg	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Lecce	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Benfica	0-2	L

Head to head

5Genoa wins

7draws

19AC Milan wins

31 meetings · goals 26:44 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Genoa

17 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Genoa1-2AC Milan
8 Jan 2026Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan1-1Genoa
5 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	Genoa1-2AC Milan
15 Dec 2024Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan0-0Genoa
5 May 2024Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan3-3Genoa
7 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Genoa0-1AC Milan
15 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan2-0Genoa
13 Jan 2022Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	AC Milan3-1Genoa
1 Dec 2021Serie A	Serie A	Genoa0-3AC Milan
18 Apr 2021Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan2-1Genoa

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 8 Nov 13:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Genoa sit 12th with 13 points from 10 games, while AC Milan are 5th with 21 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24:8	+16	28
2	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31:10	+21	27
3	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18:8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24:15	+9	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16:14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10:15	-5	16
10	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17:13	+4	14
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15:17	-2	14
12	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10:14	-4	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16:20	-4	11
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12:22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15:23	-8	8
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9:17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16:29	-13	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8:21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12:25	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.05X29%3.32248%1.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.57 → 4.05 -11.4%X3.55 → 3.32 -6.5%21.80 → 1.98 +10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.26	1.75	1.4%
Pinnacle	2.25	1.71	2.9%
Betano	2.22	1.70	3.9%
SBO	2.09	1.77	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.69	5.0%
Bet365	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.09	1.64	8.8%
Best of all books	2.26	1.77	0.7%
Average	2.17	1.70	4.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.93	1.82	6.8%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.80	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Best of all books	1.95	1.91	3.6%
Average	1.90	1.82	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Genoa 10%Draw 45%AC Milan 45%

The statistical model rates Genoa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AC Milan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.05 | 3.32 | 1.98, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Genoa are 12th (13 pts, 10-14 goals), AC Milan 5th (21 pts, 21-12).

Over their last five matches, Genoa averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; AC Milan averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. De Rossi

Goalkeeper

1J. Bijlow

Defence

27A. Marcandalli
5L. Østigård
22J. Vásquez

Midfield

3K. Ehizibue
71S. Wiafe
25H. Traorè
77M. Ellertsson
10Junior Messias
9Vítinha

Attack

18M. Osmajić

Substitutes (15)

2M. Mitaj
4Alexsandro Amorim
8T. Baldanzi
29L. Colombo
16C. Drameh
92S. El Shaarawy
17E. Havel
11E. Meichtry
34S. Otoa
31D. Puczka
20S. Sabelli
39D. Sommariva
97D. Sow
99F. Stolz
76L. Venturino

AC Milan

3-4-2-1

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Goalkeeper

16M. Maignan

Defence

34Mario Gila
5K. De Winter
13S. Bocoum

Midfield

80Y. Musah
14L. Modrić
12A. Rabiot
22Diego Moreira
70A. Cissè
11C. Pulišić

Attack

9Gonçalo Ramos

Substitutes (10)

33D. Bartesaghi
35V. Vladimirov
41L. P. Bouyer
73F. Camarda
28C. Comotto
2P. Estupiñán
20O. Hutchinson
30A. Jashari
42F. Terracciano
96L. Torriani

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.05	3.32	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.84	1.23	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.80	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
4.61	2.05	2.57

2nd half

1	X	2
4.14	2.37	2.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.87	15.2	27.2
HT X	8.33	4.71	4.80
HT 2	41.6	14.9	3.02

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.57	7.80	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	8.23
1.5	1.38	2.97
2.5	2.17	1.70
3.5	3.91	1.23
4.5	8.00	1.06
5.5	14.2	1.02
6.5	22.8	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	7.02
1	1.08	6.38
1.25	1.24	3.81
1.75	1.48	2.58
2	1.63	2.27
2.25	1.91	1.91
2.75	2.52	1.51
3	3.19	1.35
3.25	3.49	1.28
3.75	4.80	1.14
4	6.82	1.07
4.25	7.17	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.38	1.30
0	2.88	1.41
+0.25	2.14	1.69
+0.5	1.88	1.95
+0.75	1.65	2.26
+1	1.41	2.91

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.2	1.03
-1.25	8.38	1.02
-1	7.95	1.05
-0.75	5.02	1.14
-0.5	3.95	1.24
+1.25	1.30	3.41
+1.5	1.26	3.73
+1.75	1.17	4.60
+2	1.08	6.85
+2.25	1.06	7.23
+2.5	1.05	8.05
+2.75	1.02	8.57
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.09	6.40
2.5	1.27	3.50
3.5	1.60	2.27
4.5	2.22	1.64
5.5	3.15	1.33
6.5	4.70	1.17
7.5	6.90	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.30	3.39
4	1.85	1.96
5	2.97	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	15.0
3.5	1.02	11.8
4.5	1.03	8.99
5.5	1.10	5.61
6.5	1.23	3.59
7.5	1.48	2.49
8.5	1.87	1.90
9.5	2.40	1.51
10.5	3.28	1.28
11.5	4.70	1.14
12.5	6.73	1.07
13.5	9.21	1.02
14.5	14.8	1.02
15.5	12.0	1.01
16.5	14.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.34	2.77
7.25	1.36	2.75
7.75	1.51	2.35
8	1.66	2.22
8.25	1.73	2.04
8.75	1.93	1.76
9	2.13	1.72
9.25	2.23	1.55
9.75	2.56	1.41
10	2.60	1.47
10.25	3.05	1.28

Next Serie A matches

8 Nov	Inter – Como
8 Nov	Fiorentina – Juventus

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

8 Nov	Napoli 1-1 Lazio
7 Nov	AS Roma 3-0 Sassuolo
7 Nov	Parma 1-2 Bologna
7 Nov	Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone
7 Nov	Torino 1-1 Lecce
6 Nov	Venezia 2-1 Udinese