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Real Santander vs Union Magdalena• Primera B, Colombia

#150.8:0.81-3FT03/10 · Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta1.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.04PINX3.571XB22.30B365Margin at best4.4%Books5Markets41Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.363.482.155.0%
Betano3.353.052.159.1%
Bet3653.303.202.109.2%
Betfair3.253.002.1510.6%
Marathonbet3.183.142.0611.8%
Best of all books3.363.482.155.0%
Average3.293.172.129.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real SantanderUnion Magdalena
Last 10#15Table position#50.90Points per game1.668Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6060Defence rating4046Form rating5420H2H rating8037Goals model6337Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

Real Santander

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

19 OctHLeones FC1-0W
15 OctAEnvigado1-1D
9 OctAReal Cundinamarca1-0W
3 OctHUnion Magdalena1-3L
26 SepATigres FC1-1D
22 SepHOrsomarso0-0D
13 SepAPopayan0-2L
5 SepAQuindio0-0D
29 AugHInternacional Palmira3-1W
24 AugHInd. Yumbo1-0W

Union Magdalena

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

19 OctAInternacional Palmira1-0W
15 OctHInd. Yumbo1-1D
11 OctHLeones FC2-2D
7 OctAPopayan1-1D
3 OctAReal Santander3-1W
29 SepHReal Cartagena1-1D
25 SepHSanta Fe1-1D
18 SepAPatriotas2-1W
12 SepAReal Cundinamarca1-2L
5 SepHBarranquilla1-2L

Head to head

5Real Santander wins
4draws
10Union Magdalena wins

19 meetings · goals 24:40 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Real Santander

26 Mar 2026Primera BPrimera BUnion Magdalena2-0Real Santander
29 May 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaReal Santander0-2Union Magdalena
31 Aug 2024Primera BPrimera BUnion Magdalena4-0Real Santander
16 Mar 2024Primera BPrimera BReal Santander2-0Union Magdalena
6 Apr 2022Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaReal Santander1-5Union Magdalena
30 Mar 2022Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaUnion Magdalena3-1Real Santander
31 Jul 2021Primera BPrimera BReal Santander3-3Union Magdalena
20 Feb 2021Primera BPrimera BReal Santander0-1Union Magdalena
14 Nov 2020Primera BPrimera BUnion Magdalena1-0Real Santander
9 Nov 2020Primera BPrimera BReal Santander0-0Union Magdalena

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC

In the Primera B table, Real Santander sit 15th with 26 points from 29 games, while Union Magdalena are 5th with 58 points from 35.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Envigado371613849:33+1661
2Internacional Palmira351710842:31+1161
3Quindio351710836:26+1061
4Real Cartagena371612959:42+1760
5Union Magdalena351610949:34+1558
6Tigres FC3512121135:29+648
7Ind. Yumbo291211633:22+1147
8Bogota FC3510131229:35-643
9Barranquilla351091643:47-439
10Real Cundinamarca29911933:30+338
11Patriotas29981230:38-835
12Popayan297101233:39-631
13Orsomarso297101222:30-831
14Depor FC29691428:43-1527
15Real Santander295111325:42-1726
16Leones FC29591519:44-2524

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.75X29%3.14238%2.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Oct 00:513 Oct 10:311 2.93X 3.242 2.24
13.29 → 2.93 -10.9%X3.17 → 3.24 +2.2%22.12 → 2.24 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.171.685.6%
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Betfair2.251.626.2%
Marathonbet2.131.619.1%
Betano2.071.6010.8%
Best of all books2.251.684.0%
Average2.161.637.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.871.828.4%
Marathonbet1.871.799.3%
Betano1.821.7811.1%
Best of all books1.871.828.4%
Average1.851.809.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Santander 10%Draw 45%Union Magdalena 45%

The statistical model rated Real Santander at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Magdalena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.75 | 3.14 | 2.42, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Real Santander are 15th (26 pts, 25-42 goals), Union Magdalena 5th (58 pts, 49-34).

Over their last five matches, Real Santander averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Union Magdalena averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Union Magdalena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.293.172.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.271.30

Draw no bet

12
2.321.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.80

1st half

1X2
3.972.022.81

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.377.651.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.32
1.51.372.75
2.52.161.63
3.53.721.21
4.57.301.04
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.45
1.251.213.91
1.751.442.43
21.592.10
2.251.881.82
2.752.461.43
33.141.27
3.253.571.23
3.754.901.11
47.101.04
4.257.531.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.721.37
02.311.51
+0.251.891.80
+0.751.442.43
+11.263.20
+1.251.203.72
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.931.01
-1.57.401.03
-1.256.901.04
-16.401.05
-0.754.051.16
+1.51.164.15
+1.751.085.45
+21.018.40
+2.251.018.70

Next Primera B matches

24 OctBarranquilla – Real Cartagena
24 OctBogota FC – Real Santander
24 OctLeones FC – Orsomarso
24 OctUnion Magdalena – Depor FC
24 OctQuindio – Tigres FC
24 OctReal Cundinamarca – Ind. Yumbo

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

20 OctDepor FC 0-1 Quindio
20 OctInd. Yumbo 3-0 Popayan
20 OctTigres FC 0-0 Real Cundinamarca
19 OctReal Cartagena 3-0 Patriotas
19 OctOrsomarso 0-1 Bogota FC
19 OctInternacional Palmira 0-1 Union Magdalena