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Leones FC vs Orsomarso• Primera B, Colombia

#160.8:1.020:3024/10 · Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui0.4:0.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50B365X3.10B36522.95DAFMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets45Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.463.022.947.8%
Dafabet2.413.052.958.2%
Betano2.403.002.929.2%
Bet3652.503.102.6210.4%
Betfair2.403.102.7011.0%
1xBet2.403.042.6811.9%
Marathonbet2.403.042.6811.9%
William Hill2.382.802.8812.5%
Best of all books2.503.102.956.2%
Average2.423.022.8010.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Leones FCOrsomarso
Last 10#16Table position#130.83Points per game1.075Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 50.667Attack rating3338Defence rating6350Form rating5062H2H rating3835Goals model6552Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

Leones FC

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

19 OctAReal Santander0-1L
15 OctHPatriotas1-0W
11 OctAUnion Magdalena2-2D
7 OctHBarranquilla1-1D
28 SepAInternacional Palmira0-1L
19 SepHPopayan1-2L
12 SepAEnvigado1-1D
4 SepHDepor FC0-3L
28 AugAInd. Yumbo0-1L
24 AugHReal Cartagena1-6L

Orsomarso

1W 3D 6L · goals 5:12 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against

19 OctHBogota FC0-1L
15 OctAInternacional Palmira1-1D
12 OctHPopayan1-0W
6 OctHQuindio0-1L
1 OctAEnvigado0-0D
28 SepAInd. Yumbo3-4L
22 SepAReal Santander0-0D
14 SepHDepor FC0-2L
10 SepHTigres FC0-2L
5 SepHReal Cartagena0-1L

Head to head

12Leones FC wins
4draws
5Orsomarso wins

21 meetings · goals 32:16 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Leones FC

12 May 2026Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaLeones FC2-0Orsomarso
18 Apr 2026Primera BPrimera BOrsomarso0-0Leones FC
19 Jul 2025Primera BPrimera BLeones FC0-1Orsomarso
9 Feb 2025Primera BPrimera BOrsomarso2-3Leones FC
8 Sep 2024Primera BPrimera BOrsomarso1-1Leones FC
4 Apr 2024Primera BPrimera BLeones FC1-1Orsomarso
25 Aug 2023Primera BPrimera BLeones FC4-0Orsomarso
9 Mar 2023Primera BPrimera BOrsomarso1-0Leones FC
18 Sep 2022Primera BPrimera BOrsomarso1-4Leones FC
18 Apr 2022Primera BPrimera BLeones FC3-1Orsomarso

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC

In the Primera B table, Leones FC sit 16th with 24 points from 29 games, while Orsomarso are 13th with 31 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Envigado371613849:33+1661
2Internacional Palmira351710842:31+1161
3Quindio351710836:26+1061
4Real Cartagena371612959:42+1760
5Union Magdalena351610949:34+1558
6Tigres FC3512121135:29+648
7Ind. Yumbo291211633:22+1147
8Bogota FC3510131229:35-643
9Barranquilla351091643:47-439
10Real Cundinamarca29911933:30+338
11Patriotas29981230:38-835
12Popayan297101233:39-631
13Orsomarso297101222:30-831
14Depor FC29691428:43-1527
15Real Santander295111325:42-1726
16Leones FC29591519:44-2524

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X30%3.02232%2.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 03:0022 Oct 15:011 2.42X 3.022 2.80
12.57 → 2.42 -5.8%X3.07 → 3.02 -1.6%22.52 → 2.80 +11.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Betfair2.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.241.626.4%
Betano2.151.609.0%
1xBet2.201.579.1%
Marathonbet2.201.579.1%
Best of all books2.241.655.2%
Average2.201.617.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.891.808.5%
Betano1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.891.779.4%
William Hill1.851.809.6%
Best of all books1.891.827.9%
Average1.871.809.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leones FC 45%Draw 45%Orsomarso 10%

The statistical model rates Leones FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Orsomarso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.02 | 2.80, which imply roughly 41.3% for a Leones FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Leones FC are 16th (24 pts, 19-44 goals), Orsomarso 13th (31 pts, 22-30).

Over their last five matches, Leones FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Orsomarso averaged 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Leones FC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.423.022.80

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.471.30

Draw no bet

12
1.741.97

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.80

1st half

1X2
3.101.983.47

2nd half

1X2
2.802.233.18

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9414.535.0
HT X5.604.486.13
HT 232.815.34.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.987.752.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.30
1.51.372.76
2.52.201.61
3.53.981.18
4.57.931.03
5.521.01.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.40
1.251.213.58
1.751.472.44
21.642.09
2.251.931.77
2.752.581.42
33.331.26
3.253.791.19
3.755.351.09
47.901.02
4.258.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.941.34
-0.52.421.53
-0.252.071.68
01.752.00
+0.251.512.36
+0.51.392.88
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.851.01
-29.501.01
-1.757.301.03
-1.55.351.09
-1.254.861.12
-14.301.15
+0.751.253.44
+11.105.15
+1.251.085.71
+1.51.066.25
+1.751.018.60

Next Primera B matches

24 OctBarranquilla – Real Cartagena
24 OctBogota FC – Real Santander
24 OctUnion Magdalena – Depor FC
24 OctQuindio – Tigres FC
24 OctReal Cundinamarca – Ind. Yumbo

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

20 OctDepor FC 0-1 Quindio
20 OctInd. Yumbo 3-0 Popayan
20 OctTigres FC 0-0 Real Cundinamarca
19 OctReal Cartagena 3-0 Patriotas
19 OctOrsomarso 0-1 Bogota FC
19 OctInternacional Palmira 0-1 Union Magdalena