Leones FC vs
Orsomarso• Primera B, Colombia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 12:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 3.02 | 2.94 | 7.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.05 | 2.95 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.92 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.62 | 10.4% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 11.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.04 | 2.68 | 11.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.04 | 2.68 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.95 | 6.2% |
| Average | 2.42 | 3.02 | 2.80 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC
Leones FC
1W 3D 6L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against
| 19 Oct | A | Real Santander | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Patriotas | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Union Magdalena | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Barranquilla | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Sep | A | Internacional Palmira | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Popayan | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Envigado | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Depor FC | 0-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Ind. Yumbo | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Real Cartagena | 1-6 | L |
Orsomarso
1W 3D 6L · goals 5:12 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against
| 19 Oct | H | Bogota FC | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Internacional Palmira | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | Popayan | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | H | Quindio | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Oct | A | Envigado | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Sep | A | Ind. Yumbo | 3-4 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Real Santander | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Depor FC | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Tigres FC | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Real Cartagena | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
21 meetings · goals 32:16 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Leones FC
| 12 May 2026Copa Colombia | Copa Colombia | Leones FC2-0Orsomarso |
| 18 Apr 2026Primera B | Primera B | Orsomarso0-0Leones FC |
| 19 Jul 2025Primera B | Primera B | Leones FC0-1Orsomarso |
| 9 Feb 2025Primera B | Primera B | Orsomarso2-3Leones FC |
| 8 Sep 2024Primera B | Primera B | Orsomarso1-1Leones FC |
| 4 Apr 2024Primera B | Primera B | Leones FC1-1Orsomarso |
| 25 Aug 2023Primera B | Primera B | Leones FC4-0Orsomarso |
| 9 Mar 2023Primera B | Primera B | Orsomarso1-0Leones FC |
| 18 Sep 2022Primera B | Primera B | Orsomarso1-4Leones FC |
| 18 Apr 2022Primera B | Primera B | Leones FC3-1Orsomarso |
Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 22 Oct 03:02 UTC
In the Primera B table, Leones FC sit 16th with 24 points from 29 games, while Orsomarso are 13th with 31 points from 29.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 49:33 | +16 | 61 |
| 2 | Internacional Palmira | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 42:31 | +11 | 61 |
| 3 | Quindio | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 36:26 | +10 | 61 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 59:42 | +17 | 60 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:34 | +15 | 58 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 35:29 | +6 | 48 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 33:22 | +11 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 33:30 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 24 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | 1.62 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 1.60 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.24 | 1.65 | 5.2% |
| Average | 2.20 | 1.61 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.80 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.82 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 1.77 | 9.4% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.80 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.89 | 1.82 | 7.9% |
| Average | 1.87 | 1.80 | 9.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Leones FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Orsomarso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.02 | 2.80, which imply roughly 41.3% for a Leones FC win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera B table: Leones FC are 16th (24 pts, 19-44 goals), Orsomarso 13th (31 pts, 22-30).
Over their last five matches, Leones FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Orsomarso averaged 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Leones FC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 3.02 | 2.80 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 1.47 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.74 | 1.97 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.87 | 1.80 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 1.98 | 3.47 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 2.23 | 3.18 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.94 | 14.5 | 35.0 |
| HT X | 5.60 | 4.48 | 6.13 |
| HT 2 | 32.8 | 15.3 | 4.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 7.75 | 2.09 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.30 |
| 1.5 | 1.37 | 2.76 |
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.61 |
| 3.5 | 3.98 | 1.18 |
| 4.5 | 7.93 | 1.03 |
| 5.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 1.75 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 2 | 1.64 | 2.09 |
| 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| 2.75 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 3 | 3.33 | 1.26 |
| 3.25 | 3.79 | 1.19 |
| 3.75 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| 4 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| 4.25 | 8.40 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.94 | 1.34 |
| -0.5 | 2.42 | 1.53 |
| -0.25 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| 0 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| +0.25 | 1.51 | 2.36 |
| +0.5 | 1.39 | 2.88 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.85 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 9.50 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 4.86 | 1.12 |
| -1 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| +0.75 | 1.25 | 3.44 |
| +1 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 5.71 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
Next Primera B matches
| 24 Oct | Barranquilla – Real Cartagena |
| 24 Oct | Bogota FC – Real Santander |
| 24 Oct | Union Magdalena – Depor FC |
| 24 Oct | Quindio – Tigres FC |
| 24 Oct | Real Cundinamarca – Ind. Yumbo |