Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC• Primera B, Colombia

#10.8:1.41-0FT28/09 · Francisco Rivera Escobar, Palmira0.6:2.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.00B36526.18PINMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets49Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.73	3.50	4.50	8.6%
Betano	1.83	3.45	3.95	8.9%
BetVictor	1.70	3.50	4.50	9.6%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	4.33	9.6%
1xBet	1.76	3.40	4.10	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.40	4.00	11.9%
Best of all books	1.83	3.75	4.50	3.5%
Average	1.74	3.50	4.23	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Internacional PalmiraLeones FC

Last 10#1Table position#161.82Points per game0.7810Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 52.657Attack rating4365Defence rating3586Form rating1471H2H rating2974Goals model2668Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 21:40 UTC

Internacional Palmira

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Envigado	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Tigres FC	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Leones FC	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Ind. Yumbo	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Real Cartagena	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Real Cundinamarca	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Real Santander	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Barranquilla	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Quindio	1-1	D

Leones FC

1W 4D 5L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

7 Oct	H	Barranquilla	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Internacional Palmira	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Popayan	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Envigado	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Ind. Yumbo	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Real Cartagena	1-6	L
20 Aug	H	Real Cundinamarca	1-1	D
6 Aug	A	Bogota FC	1-0	W
3 Aug	H	Quindio	1-1	D

Head to head

3Internacional Palmira wins

1draws

1Leones FC wins

5 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Internacional Palmira

21 Mar 2026Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-2Internacional Palmira
10 Sep 2025Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira1-0Leones FC
12 Mar 2025Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-2Internacional Palmira
2 Oct 2024Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC2-0Internacional Palmira
21 Feb 2024Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira2-2Leones FC

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 14 Oct 00:50 UTC

In the Primera B table, Internacional Palmira sit 1st with 60 points from 33 games, while Leones FC are 16th with 21 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	33	17	9	7	41:29	+12	60
2	Envigado	35	15	12	8	47:32	+15	57
3	Quindio	33	16	9	8	34:25	+9	57
4	Real Cartagena	35	15	11	9	55:41	+14	56
5	Union Magdalena	33	15	9	9	47:33	+14	54
6	Tigres FC	33	12	10	11	33:27	+6	46
7	Ind. Yumbo	27	11	10	6	29:21	+8	43
8	Bogota FC	33	9	12	12	28:35	-7	39
9	Barranquilla	33	10	8	15	41:44	-3	38
10	Real Cundinamarca	27	9	9	9	33:30	+3	36
11	Patriotas	27	9	8	10	30:34	-4	35
12	Popayan	27	7	10	10	33:35	-2	31
13	Orsomarso	27	7	9	11	21:28	-7	30
14	Depor FC	27	5	9	13	27:42	-15	24
15	Real Santander	27	4	10	13	23:41	-18	22
16	Leones FC	27	4	9	14	18:43	-25	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X24%3.74216%5.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.51 -13.2%X3.50 → 3.74 +6.9%24.23 → 5.73 +35.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
BetVictor	1.91	1.77	8.9%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.80	1.80	11.1%
Best of all books	1.91	1.86	6.1%
Average	1.84	1.83	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Internacional Palmira 45%Draw 45%Leones FC 10%

The statistical model rated Internacional Palmira at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leones FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 3.74 | 5.73, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Internacional Palmira win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Internacional Palmira are 1st (60 pts, 41-29 goals), Leones FC 16th (21 pts, 18-43).

Over their last five matches, Internacional Palmira averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Leones FC averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Internacional Palmira or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	3.50	4.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.93	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.35	2.11	4.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	8.90	2.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.27
1.5	1.29	3.17
2.5	1.96	1.77
3.5	3.36	1.26
4.5	6.90	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.18
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.35	2.74
2	1.47	2.39
2.25	1.71	1.96
2.75	2.19	1.55
3	2.66	1.38
3.25	3.05	1.28
3.75	4.25	1.15
4	5.90	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.80	1.35
-1	2.42	1.47
-0.75	1.94	1.76
-0.5	1.74	1.97
-0.25	1.51	2.29
0	1.31	2.92

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.73	1.01
-2.5	6.70	1.05
-2.25	6.25	1.06
-2	5.85	1.07
-1.75	4.05	1.17
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+0.75	1.10	5.15
+1	1.01	8.40
+1.25	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.02	8.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.95	1.85