Alianza Lima vs Cienciano• Primera División, Peru

#12.0:1.001:00Tomorrow · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima1.6:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45BTNX4.90DAF27.80BTNMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets88Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.45	4.75	7.90	2.7%
Dafabet	1.43	4.80	7.00	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.38	4.66	7.72	6.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.20	7.50	7.6%
1xBet	1.39	4.45	7.38	8.0%
BetVictor	1.40	4.40	7.00	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.45	7.30	8.6%
William Hill	1.40	4.33	7.00	8.8%
Betfair	1.36	4.50	6.50	11.1%
SBO	1.36	4.03	5.99	15.0%
Best of all books	1.45	4.80	7.90	2.5%
Average	1.40	4.46	7.13	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza LimaCienciano

Last 10#1Table position#72.10Points per game1.619Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4444Defence rating5655Form rating4540H2H rating6074Goals model2654Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

Alianza Lima

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

29 Oct	A	Sporting Cristal	2-3	L
25 Oct	A	UCV Moquegua	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Cusco	2-1	W
1 Oct	H	Palestino	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	ADT	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Universitario	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Juan Pablo II College	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	FBC Melgar	1-1	D

Cienciano

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

29 Oct	H	Atletico Grau	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Comerciantes Unidos	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W
30 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1-1	D
23 Sep	A	ADT	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	FC Cajamarca	5-2	W
31 Aug	H	Cusco	1-2	L

Head to head

5Alianza Lima wins

2draws

4Cienciano wins

11 meetings · goals 13:8 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Alianza Lima

16 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano0-1Alianza Lima
28 Sep 2025Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano2-1Alianza Lima
3 May 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima0-1Cienciano
21 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima3-0Cienciano
14 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano2-1Alianza Lima
20 Aug 2023Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano0-0Alianza Lima
2 Apr 2023Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima2-0Cienciano
16 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano0-2Alianza Lima
31 May 2022Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Lima1-0Cienciano
29 Oct 2021Primera División	Primera División	Cienciano1-1Alianza Lima

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 3 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Alianza Lima sit 1st with 65 points from 31 games, while Cienciano are 7th with 50 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	31	19	8	4	52:23	+29	65
2	Universitario	31	17	8	6	55:35	+20	59
3	FBC Melgar	32	15	9	8	54:37	+17	54
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	32	16	6	10	50:35	+15	54
5	Cusco	32	16	3	13	46:44	+2	51
6	Sporting Cristal	32	15	5	12	62:47	+15	50
7	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53:43	+10	50
8	Alianza Atletico	32	14	7	11	49:46	+3	49
9	Sport Huancayo	32	14	5	13	46:48	-2	47
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	32	13	8	11	39:51	-12	47
11	Sport Boys	31	12	8	11	35:33	+2	44
12	Juan Pablo II College	32	11	8	13	47:57	-10	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	31	8	11	12	42:45	-3	35
14	Atletico Grau	32	9	7	16	29:41	-12	34
15	ADT	31	7	9	15	33:45	-12	30
16	UCV Moquegua	32	7	8	17	25:46	-21	29
17	FC Cajamarca	32	7	7	18	44:65	-21	28
18	UTC Cajamarca	32	5	8	19	38:58	-20	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.39X21%4.45213%7.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.39 -2.1%X4.36 → 4.45 +2.1%26.71 → 7.17 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.69	2.13	6.1%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
SBO	1.65	2.14	7.3%
1xBet	1.68	2.09	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.09	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.14	5.6%
Average	1.67	2.10	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betano	1.88	1.83	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.88	1.87	6.7%
Average	1.86	1.84	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Lima 35%Draw 35%Cienciano 30%

The statistical model rates Alianza Lima at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Cienciano at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.45 | 7.17, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Alianza Lima win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Lima are 1st (65 pts, 52-23 goals), Cienciano 7th (50 pts, 53-43).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Lima averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cienciano averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.46	7.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.77	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.39	6.53

2nd half

1	X	2
1.71	2.79	6.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.00	16.8	54.1
HT X	4.02	6.64	14.1
HT 2	21.7	18.2	12.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	13.8	3.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.20	4.11
2.5	1.67	2.10
3.5	2.66	1.42
4.5	4.89	1.14
5.5	9.40	1.04
6.5	17.3	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.20
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.28	3.18
2.25	1.48	2.43
2.75	1.86	1.87
3	2.10	1.64
3.25	2.37	1.50
3.75	3.16	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.51	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.44	1.48
-1.5	2.10	1.65
-1.25	1.88	1.85
-1	1.63	2.18
-0.75	1.46	2.50
-0.5	1.38	2.94

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3.25	7.20	1.03
-3	6.80	1.06
-2.75	4.71	1.14
-2.5	3.74	1.21
-2.25	3.38	1.26
-2	3.08	1.31
-0.25	1.23	3.57
0	1.10	5.67
+0.25	1.08	6.23
+0.5	1.10	7.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.05	1.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.61
6.5	1.18	3.84
7.5	1.40	2.65
8.5	1.72	2.01
9.5	2.16	1.61
10.5	2.97	1.31
11.5	4.25	1.14
12.5	6.57	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.32
6	1.04	6.03
6.25	1.11	4.64
6.75	1.20	3.66
7	1.22	3.46
7.25	1.32	2.94
7.75	1.46	2.47
8	1.48	2.43
8.25	1.64	2.12
8.75	1.84	1.86
9	1.90	1.82
9.25	2.09	1.66
9.75	2.39	1.49
10	2.52	1.44
10.25	2.80	1.35
10.75	3.32	1.24
11	3.88	1.17
11.25	4.07	1.15
11.75	4.97	1.09
12	6.13	1.04
12.25	6.35	1.03

Next Primera División matches

3 Nov	Comerciantes Unidos – ADT
5 Nov	Universitario – Sport Boys
6 Nov	Atletico Grau – Cusco

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC Cajamarca
2 Nov	UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Deportivo Garcilaso
2 Nov	Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC Melgar
1 Nov	Atletico Grau 1-3 Universitario
1 Nov	Cusco 0-1 Sport Boys
1 Nov	UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas