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Aarhus vs Sonderjyske• Superliga, Denmark

#101.0:2.03-0FT12/10 · Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus1.6:2.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57PINX4.60DAF25.75B365Margin at best2.8%Books10Markets82Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.574.555.533.8%
Betano1.574.455.404.7%
Dafabet1.544.605.405.2%
Bet3651.534.335.755.8%
1xBet1.554.335.167.0%
Marathonbet1.534.335.257.5%
Betfair1.534.335.008.5%
BetVictor1.504.335.258.8%
William Hill1.554.005.009.5%
SBO1.503.914.4914.5%
Best of all books1.574.605.752.8%
Average1.544.325.227.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AarhusSonderjyske
Last 10#10Table position#110.82Points per game0.7310Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 52.838Attack rating6258Defence rating4233Form rating6762H2H rating3857Goals model4350Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Aarhus

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

15 OctAGent0-1L
12 OctHSonderjyske3-0W
2 OctHVendsyssel FF2-1W
20 SepAAC Horsens2-2D
16 SepASkjold Sæby6-1W
13 SepAFC Nordsjaelland0-2L
5 SepHSilkeborg2-2D
2 SepHFC Midtjylland0-2L
30 AugARanders FC1-2L
27 AugHBenfica1-3L

Sonderjyske

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

12 OctAAarhus0-3L
20 SepHRanders FC4-2W
16 SepAAB Copenhagen1-3L
13 SepALyngby1-1D
6 SepHAC Horsens2-5L
3 SepAThisted FC2-0W
31 AugAFC Copenhagen1-3L
23 AugHFC Nordsjaelland0-3L
17 AugABrondby2-3L
7 AugHViborg0-0D

Head to head

21Aarhus wins
12draws
10Sonderjyske wins

43 meetings · goals 76:52 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Aarhus

3 May 2026SuperligaSuperligaAarhus2-1Sonderjyske
15 Mar 2026SuperligaSuperligaSonderjyske1-1Aarhus
9 Nov 2025SuperligaSuperligaAarhus2-3Sonderjyske
29 Oct 2025DBU PokalenDBU PokalenAarhus2-1Sonderjyske
20 Jul 2025SuperligaSuperligaSonderjyske1-1Aarhus
16 Feb 2025SuperligaSuperligaSonderjyske1-4Aarhus
2 Aug 2024SuperligaSuperligaAarhus4-0Sonderjyske
13 Jan 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsSonderjyske1-5Aarhus
13 Jan 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAarhus5-1Sonderjyske
8 Jul 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsSonderjyske2-1Aarhus

Superliga tableSuperligaupdated 18 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the Superliga table, Aarhus sit 10th with 9 points from 11 games, while Sonderjyske are 11th with 8 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Copenhagen1181225:11+1425
2FC Midtjylland1064019:10+922
3Viborg1062217:8+920
4FC Nordsjaelland1154217:13+419
5Brondby1151518:19-116
6AC Horsens1134418:19-113
7Odense1134410:15-513
8Silkeborg1125415:19-411
9Randers FC1132611:16-511
10Aarhus1116415:18-39
11Sonderjyske1122716:24-88
12Lyngby1115515:24-98

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.47X21%4.53216%5.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 13:301 1.54X 4.322 5.22
11.59 → 1.54 -3.1%X4.18 → 4.32 +3.3%24.81 → 5.22 +8.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.532.603.8%
Pinnacle1.502.684.0%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.532.682.7%
Average1.472.576.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Betano1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.532.357.9%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.532.318.6%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.542.327.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aarhus 10%Draw 45%Sonderjyske 45%

The statistical model rated Aarhus at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sonderjyske at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.53 | 5.70, which imply roughly 22.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Superliga table: Aarhus are 10th (9 pts, 15-18 goals), Sonderjyske 11th (8 pts, 16-24).

Over their last five matches, Aarhus averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sonderjyske averaged 1.6 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sonderjyske.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1

Coach: J. Poulsen

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Hansen

Defence

  • 14T. Mølgaard
  • 5F. Tingager
  • 3D. Grétarsson

Midfield

  • 29R. Carstensen
  • 4M. Knudsen
  • 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
  • 39Frederik Emmery
  • 31T. Bech
  • 23M. Anderson

Attack

  • 13J. Serra
Substitutes (9)
  • 28J. Bogere
  • 26J. Andersen
  • 21M. Hedenstad Christiansen
  • 19E. Kahl
  • 18C. McCowatt
  • 25C. Rösler
  • 7M. Solbakken
  • 27S. Tchamche
  • 8S. Jørgensen

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1

Coach: Fatah Abdirahman

Goalkeeper

  • 24N. Shinton

Defence

  • 3A. Munksgaard
  • 12M. Soulas
  • 25B. Bjarnason
  • 19P. Kristensen

Midfield

  • 7S. Emini
  • 10M. Olesen
  • 31I. Seydi
  • 8M. Haidara
  • 17A. Hoeg

Attack

  • 11O. De Rosario
Substitutes (9)
  • 14T. Haltvik
  • 30G. Wagner
  • 1N. Flø
  • 34Elias Hjort- Pedersen
  • 9M. Hoppe
  • 21S. Velkov
  • 22A. Oggesen
  • 26B. Tambedou
  • 33J. Christensen

Match Statistics

AarhusSonderjyske
1.23Expected Goals1.48
411Passes accurate358
8Shots insidebox12
1Shots outsidebox2
2Blocked Shots2
11Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal7
3Offsides1
476Total passes419
9Total Shots14
3Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
10Fouls11
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.544.325.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.401.19

Draw no bet

12
1.214.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.32

1st half

1X2
2.012.515.01

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4719.42.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.4
1.51.135.56
2.51.472.57
3.52.201.65
4.53.711.25
5.56.871.08
6.513.51.03
7.522.51.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.114.89
21.144.40
2.251.283.08
2.751.562.28
31.732.04
3.251.951.81
3.752.451.49
43.011.34
4.253.201.26
4.754.351.14
55.851.07
5.256.201.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.761.40
-1.52.391.54
-1.252.121.67
-11.871.92
-0.751.662.15
-0.51.532.47
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.431.02
-37.501.03
-2.755.361.11
-2.54.261.18
-2.253.851.20
-23.541.26
-0.251.372.91
01.204.07
+0.251.164.47
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.076.72
+11.038.00
+1.51.029.45

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.145.20
2.51.392.85
3.51.871.88
4.52.701.42
5.54.101.21

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.049.50
6.51.076.90
7.51.154.57
8.51.303.14
9.51.542.34
10.51.881.84
11.52.401.51
12.53.111.30
13.54.271.17
14.55.651.10
15.57.801.06
16.59.751.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.312.92
91.442.69
9.251.452.50
9.751.592.15
101.712.11
10.251.791.91
10.752.011.70
112.211.65
11.252.291.54
11.752.591.39

Next Superliga matches

19 OctViborg – FC Midtjylland

All Superliga fixtures and the table

Latest Superliga results

18 OctFC Copenhagen 1-1 Aarhus
18 OctOdense 2-1 Brondby
18 OctSonderjyske 4-0 Silkeborg
18 OctLyngby 3-3 FC Nordsjaelland
16 OctAC Horsens 0-0 Randers FC
11 OctFC Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen