Mozambique vs 
Sudan• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 08:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.00 | 4.75 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.08 | 4.66 | 8.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 2.91 | 4.88 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.15 | 5.05 | 8.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.10 | 4.50 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.00 | 4.60 | 9.7% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.88 | 4.20 | 10.9% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.80 | 4.60 | 11.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 3.15 | 5.05 | 3.9% |
| Average | 1.85 | 2.99 | 4.66 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Sep 09:41 UTC
Mozambique
2W 2D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against
| 25 Sep | H | Senegal | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Jun | A | Indonesia | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Jun | A | Oman | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Jan | A | Nigeria | 0-4 | L |
| 31 Dec | H | Cameroon | 1-2 | L |
| 28 Dec | A | Gabon | 3-2 | W |
| 24 Dec | A | Ivory Coast | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Nov | A | Chad | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Nov | A | Morocco | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Somalia | 1-0 | W |
Sudan
3W 2D 5L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against
| 25 Sep | H | Ethiopia | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Jan | A | Senegal | 1-3 | L |
| 31 Dec | H | Burkina Faso | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Dec | A | Equatorial Guinea | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Dec | A | Algeria | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Dec | A | Bahrain | 1-3 | L |
| 6 Dec | H | Iraq | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Dec | A | Algeria | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Nov | H | Lebanon | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Oman U23 | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Mozambique and Sudan on record.
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 1.38 | 6.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 2.77 | 1.39 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 1.36 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 1.36 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 1.36 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 1.35 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.90 | 1.40 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.80 | 1.37 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 1.50 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 2.42 | 1.50 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 1.55 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 1.46 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 1.47 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.55 | 2.7% |
| Average | 2.44 | 1.49 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mozambique at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sudan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.22 | 5.49, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Mozambique averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sudan averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sudan and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Mozambique
4-2-3-1Coach: Chiquinho Conde
Goalkeeper
- 1Ernan Alberto Siluane
Defence
- 2Bheu Januário
- 15Bruno Wilson
- 8Edmilson Dove
- 5Bruno Langa
Midfield
- 21Guima
- 16A. Amade
- 10Geny Catamo
- 18Gildo Lourenço
- 19Witi
Attack
- 9Faisal Bangal
Substitutes (11)
- 14Oscar Cherene
- 22José Ventura Guirrugo
- 7Alcídio Raice
- 12Kimiss
- 6Manuel Kambala
- 20Cândido Osvaldo Mathe
- 23Chamito
- 11Edson Mucuana
- 3Feliciano Jone
- 17Dayo Antonio
- 4Fernando Data Chamboco
Sudan
Coach: K. Appiah
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 2.99 | 4.65 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 1.87 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.31 | 3.21 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.44 | 1.49 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | 1.86 | 5.60 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 5.65 | 3.08 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.10 | 5.69 |
| 1.5 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
| 2.5 | 2.80 | 1.37 |
| 3.5 | 5.83 | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 11.3 | 1.02 |
| 5.5 | 19.5 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| 1 | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| 1.25 | 1.39 | 2.76 |
| 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.94 |
| 2 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 2.25 | 2.44 | 1.47 |
| 2.75 | 3.38 | 1.23 |
| 3 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 3.25 | 5.22 | 1.10 |
| 3.75 | 8.05 | 1.03 |
| 4 | 9.80 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.16 | 1.32 |
| -1 | 2.74 | 1.41 |
| -0.75 | 2.11 | 1.65 |
| -0.5 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| -0.25 | 1.56 | 2.29 |
| 0 | 1.28 | 3.31 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -2.25 | 7.60 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.13 | 1.04 |
| -1.75 | 4.61 | 1.15 |
| -1.5 | 3.49 | 1.24 |
| +0.25 | 1.21 | 3.93 |
| +0.5 | 1.20 | 4.40 |
| +0.75 | 1.08 | 6.34 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 9.55 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 10.5 |