Burundi vs Algeria• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

2.7:0.32-2FT29/09 · Stade Intwari, Bujumbura3.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

111.5BTNX5.30BTN21.33BTNMargin at best2.8%Books8Markets61Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	10.5	4.83	1.29	7.7%
1xBet	10.5	5.10	1.27	7.9%
Betano	9.75	4.90	1.29	8.2%
Marathonbet	10.5	5.10	1.26	8.5%
William Hill	10.0	4.60	1.29	9.3%
BetVictor	10.5	5.00	1.25	9.5%
Bet365	10.0	4.75	1.27	9.8%
Betfair	10.5	5.00	1.22	11.5%
Best of all books	10.5	5.10	1.29	6.6%
Average	10.3	4.91	1.27	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurundiAlgeria

Last 106Form pts · last 582.7Goals for · last 53.00.3Goals against · last 51.073Attack rating2750Defence rating5067Form rating3313H2H rating880Goals model051Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Sep 09:31 UTC

Burundi

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

25 Sep	A	Togo	0-1	L
26 May	A	Morocco	0-5	L
31 Mar	H	Chad	4-0	W
27 Mar	A	Chad	4-0	W
14 Oct	A	Gabon	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Kenya	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Gambia	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Ivory Coast	0-1	L
10 Jun	H	Mauritania	0-0	D
6 Jun	H	Guinea-Bissau	1-0	W

Algeria

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

29 Sep	A	Burundi	2-2	D
25 Sep	H	Zambia	3-1	W
3 Jul	A	Switzerland	0-2	L
28 Jun	H	Austria	3-3	D
23 Jun	A	Jordan	2-1	W
17 Jun	A	Argentina	0-3	L
11 Jun	A	Bolivia	4-0	W
3 Jun	A	Netherlands	1-0	W
31 Mar	H	Uruguay	0-0	D
27 Mar	H	Guatemala	7-0	W

Head to head

0Burundi wins

0draws

2Algeria wins

2 meetings · goals 0:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Burundi

9 Jan 2024Friendlies	Friendlies	Burundi0-4Algeria
11 Jun 2019Friendlies	Friendlies	Algeria1-0Burundi

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	2	1	1	0	5:0	+5	4
2	Malawi	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
3	Angola	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
4	South Sudan	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg18%11.4X18%5.09274%1.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

110.3 → 10.4 +1.0%X4.91 → 4.97 +1.2%21.27 → 1.28 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betano	1.82	1.93	6.8%
1xBet	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Average	1.82	1.92	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.33	1.54	7.9%
William Hill	2.30	1.55	8.0%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.35	1.52	8.3%
BetVictor	2.38	1.50	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.52	8.7%
Best of all books	2.50	1.57	3.7%
Average	2.35	1.53	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burundi 35%Draw 35%Algeria 30%

The statistical model rated Burundi at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Algeria at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 11.36 | 5.09 | 1.25, which imply roughly 8.8% for a Burundi win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Burundi averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Algeria averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Burundi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Burundi

4-4-2

Coach: P. Sangwa

Goalkeeper

1J. Nahimana

Defence

4A. Muderi
19F. Nsabiyumva
22C. Nduwarugira
18Mossi Nduwumwe

Midfield

8Mokono Elie Eldhino
14Y. Ndayishimiye
5H. Msanga
7J. Girumugisha

Attack

21Asman ndikumana
20B. Kanakimana

Substitutes (12)

11M. Amissi
9S. Abdallah
17Cedric Amissi
12B. Bimenyimana
3K. Icoyitungiye
15Omar Moussa
6Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
13D. Mukombozi
2Franck Nduwimana
10S. Ntibazonkiza
23O. Onésime
16E. Swedi

Algeria

4-2-3-1

Coach: B. Hemdani

Goalkeeper

1M. Mastil

Defence

19S. Radouani
3A. Abada
21R. Bensebaïni
13J. Hadjam

Midfield

10F. Chaïbi
17H. Abdelli
20M. Belloumi
30I. Maza
18A. Boulbina

Attack

12Amin Chiakha

Substitutes (12)

14A. Aouchiche
22M. Bakrar
5Z. Belaïd
26A. Bourabaa
2S. Chergui
7A. Hadj-Moussa
24I. Kebbal
25S. Nair
23A. Ramdane
4A. Touba
6A. Zorgane
11M. Amoura

Match Statistics

BurundiAlgeria

169Passes accurate521

8Shots insidebox4

5Shots outsidebox7

2Blocked Shots2

11Free Kicks12

3Shots on Goal3

1Goalkeeper Saves2

8Shots off Goal6

1Offsides1

243Total passes596

13Total Shots11

1Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks2

13Fouls12

0Red Cards0

30%Ball Possession70%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.3	4.91	1.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.48	1.04	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
7.48	1.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.35	1.53

1st half

1	X	2
9.21	2.41	1.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.28	11.3	1.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.74
1.5	1.24	3.59
2.5	1.82	1.92
3.5	3.04	1.32
4.5	5.78	1.10
5.5	9.66	1.03
6.5	13.6	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.12	4.80
1.75	1.30	3.07
2	1.39	2.68
2.25	1.62	2.18
2.75	2.03	1.71
3	2.39	1.49
3.25	2.70	1.40
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09
4.75	7.70	1.04
5	8.85	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.64	1.42
+1.25	2.11	1.66
+1.5	1.85	1.89
+1.75	1.65	2.13
+2	1.45	2.56
+2.25	1.36	2.89

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.80	1.02
+0.25	4.58	1.15
+0.5	3.55	1.27
+0.75	3.03	1.33
+2.5	1.28	3.23
+2.75	1.19	3.99
+3	1.10	5.58
+3.25	1.09	5.90
+3.5	1.08	6.33
+3.75	1.02	8.10
+4	1.01	8.40