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MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets• Super League, Malawi

#160.4:1.40-3FT18/102.0:0.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.251XBX3.30B36521.67WHMargin at best9.2%Books4Markets44Rating19 · 82Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet5.253.241.6410.9%
Bet3654.753.301.6711.2%
Marathonbet5.103.241.6212.2%
William Hill5.003.001.6713.2%
Best of all books5.253.301.679.2%
Average5.033.201.6511.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MAFCONyasa Big Bullets
Last 10#16Table position#10.72Points per game2.171Form pts · last 5130.4Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 50.017Attack rating830Defence rating1007Form rating937H2H rating9349Goals model5119Overall rating82

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

MAFCO

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

10 OctAChitipa United0-2L
5 SepHMoyale Barracks1-2L
23 AugACIVO United0-1L
15 AugHMasters FC1-1D
8 AugHBlue Eagles0-1L
26 JulAKamuzu Barracks1-4L
18 JulHRed Lions2-0W
5 JulABe Forward Wanderers0-3L
28 JunAEkhaya0-1L
20 JunHDedza Dynamos3-0W

Nyasa Big Bullets

7W 2D 1L · goals 15:2 · per match 1.5 for, 0.2 against

11 OctHBlue Eagles2-0W
5 SepHSilver Strikers5-0W
23 AugAMitundu Baptist0-0D
16 AugAKaronga United1-0W
9 AugHChitipa United2-0W
25 JulADedza Dynamos0-1L
19 JulAEkhaya0-0D
4 JulHCreck2-0W
29 JunHMasters FC1-0W
21 JunAKamuzu Barracks2-1W

Head to head

1MAFCO wins
4draws
6Nyasa Big Bullets wins

11 meetings · goals 3:13 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for MAFCO

3 May 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets1-0MAFCO
21 Oct 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets3-0MAFCO
3 Aug 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueMAFCO0-1Nyasa Big Bullets
6 Oct 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets1-0MAFCO
11 May 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueMAFCO1-1Nyasa Big Bullets
9 Aug 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueMAFCO0-0Nyasa Big Bullets
23 Apr 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets4-0MAFCO
30 Oct 2022Super LeagueSuper LeagueMAFCO1-0Nyasa Big Bullets
17 Apr 2022Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets1-0MAFCO
22 Sep 2021Super LeagueSuper LeagueNyasa Big Bullets1-1MAFCO

Super League tableRegular Seasonupdated 30 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Super League table, MAFCO sit 16th with 13 points from 18 games, while Nyasa Big Bullets are 1st with 39 points from 18.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nyasa Big Bullets18116126:7+1939
2Be Forward Wanderers18106230:12+1836
3Blue Eagles18111628:20+834
4Silver Strikers1896324:11+1333
5Ekhaya1867519:15+425
6Mitundu Baptist1867516:15+125
7Chitipa United1874713:19-625
8Masters FC1765617:17023
9Red Lions1857613:15-222
10Moyale Barracks1857618:21-322
11CIVO United1863911:17-621
12Dedza Dynamos1848612:21-920
13Karonga United1746716:24-818
14Creck18441014:22-816
15Kamuzu Barracks18351016:25-914
16MAFCO18341112:24-1213

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.03X28%3.20254%1.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 18:5018 Oct 09:401 5.03X 3.202 1.65
15.03 → 5.03 0.0%X3.26 → 3.20 -1.8%21.64 → 1.65 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
Pinnacle2.511.458.8%
1xBet2.441.479.0%
Marathonbet2.441.479.0%
Best of all books2.511.506.5%
Average2.471.478.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.251.559.0%
1xBet2.271.549.0%
Marathonbet2.271.529.8%
Best of all books2.271.558.6%
Average2.261.549.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

MAFCO 10%Draw 45%Nyasa Big Bullets 45%

The statistical model rated MAFCO at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nyasa Big Bullets at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.03 | 3.20 | 1.65, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: MAFCO are 16th (13 pts, 12-24 goals), Nyasa Big Bullets 1st (39 pts, 26-7).

Over their last five matches, MAFCO averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nyasa Big Bullets averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nyasa Big Bullets and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.033.201.65

Double chance

1XX212
2.011.101.27

Draw no bet

12
3.501.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.261.54

1st half

1X2
5.991.942.30

2nd half

1X2
5.252.182.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.7518.026.0
HT X9.754.634.33
HT 250.516.52.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.146.801.54

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.10
1.51.462.43
2.52.471.47
3.54.851.11
4.511.01.04
5.529.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.085.45
1.251.283.16
1.751.602.15
21.841.82
2.252.151.60
2.752.951.31
33.981.17
3.254.451.14
48.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.521.42
+0.52.101.66
+0.751.811.88
+11.532.30
+1.251.382.68
+1.51.303.05
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.254.341.14
03.731.21
+1.751.174.00
+21.066.05
+2.51.047.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
81.881.92
8.52.101.67

Next Super League matches

31 OctRed Lions – Silver Strikers
1 NovBe Forward Wanderers – Dedza Dynamos
1 NovMoyale Barracks – Karonga United

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

24 OctSilver Strikers 0-0 Kamuzu Barracks
18 OctMoyale Barracks 0-1 Silver Strikers
10 OctSilver Strikers 0-1 Be Forward Wanderers
10 OctChitipa United 2-0 MAFCO