Chitipa United vs MAFCO• Super League, Malawi

#70.6:0.62-0FT10/100.6:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX2.951XB24.341XBMargin at best8.2%Books8Markets39Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.92	2.95	4.20	9.8%
Bet365	1.91	2.88	4.20	10.9%
Betano	1.93	2.90	4.05	11.0%
1xBet	1.85	2.95	4.34	11.0%
Betfair	1.91	2.90	4.00	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.89	2.85	4.15	12.1%
William Hill	1.95	2.70	4.00	13.3%
BetVictor	1.80	2.75	3.60	19.7%
Best of all books	1.95	2.95	4.34	8.2%
Average	1.90	2.86	4.07	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chitipa UnitedMAFCO

Last 10#7Table position#161.39Points per game0.728Form pts · last 510.6Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5075Defence rating2589Form rating1129H2H rating7182Goals model1858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 11:31 UTC

Chitipa United

4W 3D 3L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

6 Sep	H	Creck	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Karonga United	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Mitundu Baptist	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Nyasa Big Bullets	0-2	L
25 Jul	H	Ekhaya	1-0	W
19 Jul	A	Dedza Dynamos	2-1	W
5 Jul	H	Silver Strikers	0-0	D
27 Jun	H	Kamuzu Barracks	2-1	W
21 Jun	A	Red Lions	0-1	L
31 May	H	Be Forward Wanderers	0-4	L

MAFCO

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Chitipa United	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Moyale Barracks	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	CIVO United	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Masters FC	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Blue Eagles	0-1	L
26 Jul	A	Kamuzu Barracks	1-4	L
18 Jul	H	Red Lions	2-0	W
5 Jul	A	Be Forward Wanderers	0-3	L
28 Jun	A	Ekhaya	0-1	L
20 Jun	H	Dedza Dynamos	3-0	W

Head to head

2Chitipa United wins

2draws

5MAFCO wins

9 meetings · goals 5:10 · last 9: 2W 2D 5L for Chitipa United

24 May 2026Super League	Super League	MAFCO2-0Chitipa United
25 Oct 2025Super League	Super League	Chitipa United2-1MAFCO
5 Apr 2025Super League	Super League	MAFCO1-0Chitipa United
24 Aug 2024Super League	Super League	Chitipa United0-0MAFCO
23 Jun 2024Super League	Super League	MAFCO2-0Chitipa United
11 Nov 2023Super League	Super League	Chitipa United1-1MAFCO
15 Apr 2023Super League	Super League	MAFCO2-1Chitipa United
11 Jul 2021Super League	Super League	MAFCO1-0Chitipa United
4 Apr 2021Super League	Super League	Chitipa United1-0MAFCO

Super League tableRegular Seasonupdated 30 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Super League table, Chitipa United sit 7th with 25 points from 18 games, while MAFCO are 16th with 13 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nyasa Big Bullets	18	11	6	1	26:7	+19	39
2	Be Forward Wanderers	18	10	6	2	30:12	+18	36
3	Blue Eagles	18	11	1	6	28:20	+8	34
4	Silver Strikers	18	9	6	3	24:11	+13	33
5	Ekhaya	18	6	7	5	19:15	+4	25
6	Mitundu Baptist	18	6	7	5	16:15	+1	25
7	Chitipa United	18	7	4	7	13:19	-6	25
8	Masters FC	17	6	5	6	17:17	0	23
9	Red Lions	18	5	7	6	13:15	-2	22
10	Moyale Barracks	18	5	7	6	18:21	-3	22
11	CIVO United	18	6	3	9	11:17	-6	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	18	4	8	6	12:21	-9	20
13	Karonga United	17	4	6	7	16:24	-8	18
14	Creck	18	4	4	10	14:22	-8	16
15	Kamuzu Barracks	18	3	5	10	16:25	-9	14
16	MAFCO	18	3	4	11	12:24	-12	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X31%2.86222%4.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.90 +1.1%X2.93 → 2.86 -2.4%24.22 → 4.07 -3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Pinnacle	2.63	1.40	9.5%
Marathonbet	2.56	1.40	10.5%
1xBet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
BetVictor	2.20	1.33	20.6%
Best of all books	2.63	1.44	7.5%
Average	2.51	1.40	11.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.44	20.7%
Best of all books	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Average	2.17	1.52	12.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chitipa United 45%Draw 45%MAFCO 10%

The statistical model rated Chitipa United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and MAFCO at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 2.86 | 4.07, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Chitipa United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Chitipa United are 7th (25 pts, 13-19 goals), MAFCO 16th (13 pts, 12-24).

Over their last five matches, Chitipa United averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; MAFCO averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Chitipa United or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	2.86	4.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.71	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.17	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	1.85	4.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	5.50	2.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.07
1.5	1.50	2.24
2.5	2.51	1.40
3.5	4.50	1.10
4.5	8.90	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.05
1	1.13	4.45
1.25	1.34	2.87
1.75	1.67	2.00
2	1.90	1.69
2.25	2.29	1.52
2.75	3.11	1.28
3	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.25	1.26
-1	2.86	1.34
-0.75	2.19	1.56
-0.5	1.87	1.75
-0.25	1.61	2.10
0	1.33	2.84

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.08	1.04
-1.75	4.72	1.12
-1.5	3.65	1.21
+0.25	1.24	3.40
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.85	1.85

Next Super League matches

31 Oct	Red Lions – Silver Strikers
1 Nov	Be Forward Wanderers – Dedza Dynamos
1 Nov	Moyale Barracks – Karonga United

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

24 Oct	Silver Strikers 0-0 Kamuzu Barracks
18 Oct	MAFCO 0-3 Nyasa Big Bullets
18 Oct	Moyale Barracks 0-1 Silver Strikers
10 Oct	Silver Strikers 0-1 Be Forward Wanderers