Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta• Second League - Group 1, Russia

#52.0:1.22-1FT10/10 · Stadion Spartak, Khasavyurt2.0:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30DAFX3.15DAF22.90DAFMargin at best9.7%Books3Markets31Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.30	3.15	2.90	9.7%
1xBet	2.28	3.14	2.84	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.14	2.77	12.2%
Best of all books	2.30	3.15	2.90	9.7%
Average	2.28	3.14	2.84	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PobedaRubin Yalta

Last 10#5Table position#41.65Points per game1.709Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5050Defence rating5057Form rating4362H2H rating3869Goals model3156Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Pobeda

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Kyzyltash	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Rubin Yalta	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Angust Nazran	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Spartak Nalchik	4-3	W
20 Sep	A	Dynamo Makhachkala II	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Astrakhan	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Izberbash	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Rostov II	0-4	L
22 Aug	H	Lugansk	3-0	W
12 Aug	A	Volgar Astrakhan	0-2	L

Rubin Yalta

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	A	Pobeda	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	FK Chayka 2	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Shahter Taganrog	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Sevastopol	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Kyzyltash	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Druzhba	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Nart Cherkessk	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Izberbash	2-1	W
9 Aug	A	Dynamo Makhachkala II	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Angust Nazran	3-2	W

Head to head

2Pobeda wins

2draws

1Rubin Yalta wins

5 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Pobeda

18 Apr 2026Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Rubin Yalta1-1Pobeda
26 Jul 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Rubin Yalta0-1Pobeda
26 Apr 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Pobeda3-2Rubin Yalta
14 Sep 2024Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Rubin Yalta2-0Pobeda
19 May 2024Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Pobeda0-0Rubin Yalta

Second League - Group 1 tableSouthupdated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Second League - Group 1 table, Pobeda sit 5th with 33 points from 20 games, while Rubin Yalta are 4th with 34 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sevastopol	21	16	2	3	38:17	+21	50
2	Shahter Taganrog	21	14	4	3	42:20	+22	46
3	Rostov II	21	14	4	3	45:16	+29	46
4	Rubin Yalta	20	9	7	4	29:19	+10	34
5	Pobeda	20	10	3	7	38:27	+11	33
6	Kyzyltash	21	9	4	8	36:30	+6	31
7	Nart Cherkessk	20	9	3	8	27:19	+8	30
8	Spartak Nalchik	20	7	7	6	27:20	+7	28
9	Druzhba	20	7	6	7	23:25	-2	27
10	Lugansk	21	6	6	9	24:30	-6	24
11	Astrakhan	20	5	5	10	22:32	-10	20
12	Izberbash	21	6	0	15	19:57	-38	18
13	Angust Nazran	20	4	4	12	9:21	-12	16
14	FK Chayka 2	21	4	2	15	17:43	-26	14
15	Dynamo Makhachkala II	21	3	5	13	19:39	-20	14
16	PSK Dinskaya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X29%3.14232%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.28 -2.1%X3.13 → 3.14 +0.3%22.90 → 2.84 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Average	1.79	1.88	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Average	1.61	2.11	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pobeda 45%Draw 45%Rubin Yalta 10%

The statistical model rated Pobeda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rubin Yalta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.14 | 2.84, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Pobeda win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 1 table: Pobeda are 5th (33 pts, 38-27 goals), Rubin Yalta 4th (34 pts, 29-19).

Over their last five matches, Pobeda averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Rubin Yalta averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pobeda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.14	2.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.48	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	2.03	3.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	11.5	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.50
1.5	1.21	3.58
2.5	1.79	1.88
3.5	2.92	1.31
4.5	5.00	1.14

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.75	1.27	3.14
2	1.35	2.74
2.25	1.57	2.17
2.75	1.99	1.68
3	2.33	1.48
3.25	2.62	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.58	1.21
-0.75	2.70	1.36
-0.25	1.96	1.69
0	1.66	2.03
+0.25	1.46	2.38
+0.75	1.23	3.42

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
+1	1.10	5.00
+1.5	1.06	6.00

Next Second League - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Astrakhan – Druzhba
24 Oct	Pobeda – Nart Cherkessk
24 Oct	Izberbash – Spartak Nalchik
24 Oct	Rostov II – Kyzyltash

All Second League - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Second League - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Rubin Yalta 3-1 Astrakhan
17 Oct	Nart Cherkessk 1-3 Rostov II
17 Oct	Kyzyltash 4-1 Pobeda
17 Oct	Sevastopol 2-2 Izberbash
10 Oct	Rostov II 0-0 Druzhba
10 Oct	Astrakhan 0-0 Kyzyltash