Pobeda vs Nart Cherkessk• Second League - Group 1, Russia

#51.8:1.811:00Today · Stadion Spartak, Khasavyurt1.8:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.781XBX4.10DAF23.621XBMargin at best8.2%Books2Markets24Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 01:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.78	4.00	3.62	8.8%
Dafabet	1.76	4.10	3.50	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	4.10	3.62	8.2%
Average	1.77	4.05	3.56	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PobedaNart Cherkessk

Last 10#5Table position#71.65Points per game1.509Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5036Defence rating6447Form rating5329H2H rating7158Goals model4241Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Pobeda

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Kyzyltash	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Rubin Yalta	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Angust Nazran	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Spartak Nalchik	4-3	W
20 Sep	A	Dynamo Makhachkala II	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Astrakhan	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Izberbash	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Rostov II	0-4	L
22 Aug	H	Lugansk	3-0	W
12 Aug	A	Volgar Astrakhan	0-2	L

Nart Cherkessk

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Rostov II	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Lugansk	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Dynamo Makhachkala II	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Izberbash	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Angust Nazran	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Druzhba	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Spartak Nalchik	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Kyzyltash	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Rubin Yalta	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Shahter Taganrog	2-3	L

Head to head

1Pobeda wins

2draws

4Nart Cherkessk wins

7 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 7: 1W 2D 4L for Pobeda

2 May 2026Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Nart Cherkessk0-1Pobeda
25 Oct 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Pobeda0-0Nart Cherkessk
27 Sep 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Nart Cherkessk1-0Pobeda
30 Aug 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Nart Cherkessk1-0Pobeda
31 May 2025Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Pobeda0-1Nart Cherkessk
17 Aug 2024Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Nart Cherkessk1-0Pobeda
20 Apr 2024Second League - Group 1	Second League - Group 1	Pobeda1-1Nart Cherkessk

Second League - Group 1 tableSouthupdated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Second League - Group 1 table, Pobeda sit 5th with 33 points from 20 games, while Nart Cherkessk are 7th with 30 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sevastopol	21	16	2	3	38:17	+21	50
2	Shahter Taganrog	21	14	4	3	42:20	+22	46
3	Rostov II	21	14	4	3	45:16	+29	46
4	Rubin Yalta	20	9	7	4	29:19	+10	34
5	Pobeda	20	10	3	7	38:27	+11	33
6	Kyzyltash	21	9	4	8	36:30	+6	31
7	Nart Cherkessk	20	9	3	8	27:19	+8	30
8	Spartak Nalchik	20	7	7	6	27:20	+7	28
9	Druzhba	20	7	6	7	23:25	-2	27
10	Lugansk	21	6	6	9	24:30	-6	24
11	Astrakhan	20	5	5	10	22:32	-10	20
12	Izberbash	21	6	0	15	19:57	-38	18
13	Angust Nazran	20	4	4	12	9:21	-12	16
14	FK Chayka 2	21	4	2	15	17:43	-26	14
15	Dynamo Makhachkala II	21	3	5	13	19:39	-20	14
16	PSK Dinskaya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.77X23%4.05226%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Average	1.55	2.25	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Best of all books	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Average	1.56	2.30	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pobeda 10%Draw 45%Nart Cherkessk 45%

The statistical model rates Pobeda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nart Cherkessk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 4.05 | 3.56, which imply roughly 24.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 1 table: Pobeda are 5th (33 pts, 38-27 goals), Nart Cherkessk 7th (30 pts, 27-19).

Over their last five matches, Pobeda averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nart Cherkessk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	4.05	3.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.95	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	2.34	4.10

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.70	3.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.80	16.0	29.0
HT X	5.20	6.00	9.00
HT 2	18.0	16.0	6.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.5
1.5	1.15	4.50
2.5	1.55	2.25
3.5	2.40	1.50
4.5	4.00	1.19

4 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
2	1.23	3.75
3	1.90	1.80
4	3.50	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.60	1.10
-2	4.70	1.14
-1.5	2.90	1.35
-1	2.30	1.55
0	1.38	2.80

Next Second League - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Astrakhan – Druzhba
24 Oct	Izberbash – Spartak Nalchik
24 Oct	Rostov II – Kyzyltash

All Second League - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Second League - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Rubin Yalta 3-1 Astrakhan
17 Oct	Nart Cherkessk 1-3 Rostov II
17 Oct	Kyzyltash 4-1 Pobeda
17 Oct	Sevastopol 2-2 Izberbash
10 Oct	Rostov II 0-0 Druzhba
10 Oct	Astrakhan 0-0 Kyzyltash