Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik• 1. Division, Kazakhstan

#82.4:1.21-0FT15/101.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.541XBX3.931XB21.741XBMargin at best11.2%Books1Markets12Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 04:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.54	3.93	1.74	11.2%
Best of all books	3.54	3.93	1.74	11.2%
Average	3.54	3.93	1.74	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArysAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10#8Table position#41.20Points per game1.7215Form pts · last 572.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 50.871Attack rating2940Defence rating6055Form rating4564H2H rating3636Goals model6452Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 06:00 UTC

Arys

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

15 Oct	H	Akademiya Ontustik	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Yelimay Semey 2	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	Aktobe Jas	4-1	W
11 Sep	A	Kaspij Aktau 2	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Ekibastuz	3-1	W
27 Aug	A	Sport Academy Kairat	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Taraz	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Khan Tengri	0-0	D
7 Aug	H	Tobol 2	3-0	W
31 Jul	A	Astana II	0-2	L

Akademiya Ontustik

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	A	Arys	0-1	L
8 Oct	A	Shakhter Karagandy	0-2	L
17 Sep	H	Jaiyq	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Yelimay Semey 2	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Aktobe Jas	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	Kaspij Aktau 2	2-1	W
20 Aug	H	Ekibastuz	3-2	W
13 Aug	A	Sport Academy Kairat	0-0	D
6 Aug	H	Khan Tengri	3-1	W
30 Jul	A	Taraz	1-2	L

Head to head

2Arys wins

1draws

1Akademiya Ontustik wins

4 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Arys

9 Jul 20261. Division	1. Division	Akademiya Ontustik1-2Arys
3 Aug 20231. Division	1. Division	Arys3-3Akademiya Ontustik
27 Apr 20231. Division	1. Division	Akademiya Ontustik2-5Arys
26 Mar 2019Cup	Cup	Akademiya Ontustik6-0Arys

1. Division table1st Divisionupdated 21 Oct 06:01 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Arys sit 8th with 30 points from 25 games, while Akademiya Ontustik are 4th with 43 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy	25	21	2	2	66:9	+57	65
2	Sport Academy Kairat	25	18	6	1	69:13	+56	60
3	Turan Turkistan	25	17	3	5	53:22	+31	54
4	Akademiya Ontustik	25	13	4	8	36:30	+6	43
5	Astana II	25	11	3	11	49:50	-1	36
6	Taraz	25	9	7	9	36:33	+3	34
7	Jaiyq	25	9	5	11	23:31	-8	32
8	Arys	25	9	3	13	33:45	-12	30
9	Khan Tengri	25	8	5	12	32:46	-14	29
10	Kaspij Aktau 2	25	8	4	13	35:46	-11	28
11	Ekibastuz	25	7	6	12	32:56	-24	27
12	Aktobe Jas	25	6	6	13	43:75	-32	24
13	Tobol 2	25	5	5	15	48:62	-14	20
14	Yelimay Semey 2	25	3	3	19	20:57	-37	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.47X25%3.55249%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.37	9.3%
Best of all books	1.49	2.37	9.3%
Average	1.49	2.37	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Best of all books	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Average	1.49	2.38	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arys 35%Draw 35%Akademiya Ontustik 30%

The statistical model rated Arys at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Akademiya Ontustik at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.47 | 3.55 | 1.86, which imply roughly 28.8% for a Arys win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Arys are 8th (30 pts, 33-45 goals), Akademiya Ontustik 4th (43 pts, 36-30).

Over their last five matches, Arys averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Akademiya Ontustik averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arys or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.54	3.93	1.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.84	1.20	1.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
3.86	2.50	2.22

2nd half

1	X	2
3.78	2.63	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.49	2.37
3	1.82	1.84
3.5	2.36	1.50
4	3.58	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.74	1.37
+1	1.47	2.43

Next 1. Division matches

22 Oct	Akademiya Ontustik – Turan Turkistan
22 Oct	Aktobe Jas – Astana II
22 Oct	Ekibastuz – Taraz
22 Oct	Jaiyq – Arys

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

16 Oct	Turan Turkistan 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy
9 Oct	Jaiyq 1-1 Turan Turkistan
9 Oct	Ekibastuz 1-1 Khan Tengri
8 Oct	Shakhter Karagandy 2-0 Akademiya Ontustik