OddsFilter

Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik• 1. Division, Kazakhstan

#12.6:0.22-0FTToday · Shakhter Stadion, Karaganda1.6:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.151XBX6.311XB210.41XBMargin at best12.4%Books1Markets17Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.156.3110.412.4%
Best of all books1.156.3110.412.4%
Average1.156.3110.412.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shakhter KaragandyAkademiya Ontustik
Last 10#1Table position#42.71Points per game1.7913Form pts · last 5132.6Goals for · last 51.60.2Goals against · last 50.862Attack rating3880Defence rating2050Form rating50100H2H rating095Goals model573Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 09:11 UTC

Shakhter Karagandy

9W 1D 0L · goals 28:3 · per match 2.8 for, 0.3 against

17 SepHTaraz0-0D
11 SepAJaiyq2-1W
3 SepHKhan Tengri4-0W
27 AugAYelimay Semey 23-0W
21 AugHAstana II4-0W
13 AugAAktobe Jas6-1W
6 AugHKaspij Aktau 21-0W
31 JulATobol 22-0W
24 JulHArys4-1W
16 JulAEkibastuz2-0W

Akademiya Ontustik

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

17 SepHJaiyq0-0D
10 SepAYelimay Semey 21-0W
3 SepHAktobe Jas2-1W
27 AugAKaspij Aktau 22-1W
20 AugHEkibastuz3-2W
13 AugASport Academy Kairat0-0D
6 AugHKhan Tengri3-1W
30 JulATaraz1-2L
23 JulHAstana II2-1W
17 JulATobol 23-2W

Head to head

3Shakhter Karagandy wins
0draws
0Akademiya Ontustik wins

3 meetings · goals 8:2 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Shakhter Karagandy

2 Jul 20261. Division1. DivisionAkademiya Ontustik1-2Shakhter Karagandy
25 Sep 20251. Division1. DivisionAkademiya Ontustik0-2Shakhter Karagandy
27 Jun 20251. Division1. DivisionShakhter Karagandy4-1Akademiya Ontustik

1. Division table1st Divisionupdated 8 Oct 14:01 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Shakhter Karagandy sit 1st with 65 points from 24 games, while Akademiya Ontustik are 4th with 43 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy24212166:8+5865
2Sport Academy Kairat23175166:12+5456
3Turan Turkistan23162551:21+3050
4Akademiya Ontustik24134736:29+743
5Astana II231031042:43-133
6Jaiyq23941021:26-531
7Taraz2386930:32-230
8Arys24831332:45-1327
9Ekibastuz23751131:53-2226
10Kaspij Aktau 223741229:41-1225
11Khan Tengri23741229:44-1525
12Aktobe Jas23651238:69-3123
13Tobol 223441540:57-1716
14Yelimay Semey 224331819:50-3112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.15X14%6.3129%10.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 02:118 Oct 06:311 1.15X 6.312 10.4
11.23 → 1.15 -6.5%X5.35 → 6.31 +17.9%29.00 → 10.4 +15.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.352.829.5%
Best of all books1.352.829.5%
Average1.352.829.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.781.889.4%
Best of all books1.781.889.4%
Average1.781.889.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shakhter Karagandy 45%Draw 45%Akademiya Ontustik 10%

The statistical model rated Shakhter Karagandy at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Akademiya Ontustik at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.40, which imply roughly 87% for a Shakhter Karagandy win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Shakhter Karagandy are 1st (65 pts, 66-8 goals), Akademiya Ontustik 4th (43 pts, 36-29).

Over their last five matches, Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Akademiya Ontustik averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Shakhter Karagandy.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.156.3110.4

Double chance

X212
3.941.04

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.781.88

1st half

1X2
1.493.068.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
2.51.352.82
31.562.22
3.51.991.69
42.741.37
4.53.381.25

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.621.41
-22.051.65
-1.51.622.10
-11.412.60