Shakhter Karagandy vs
Akademiya Ontustik• 1. Division, Kazakhstan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.4 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.4 | 12.4% |
| Average | 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.4 | 12.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 09:11 UTC
Shakhter Karagandy
9W 1D 0L · goals 28:3 · per match 2.8 for, 0.3 against
| 17 Sep | H | Taraz | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Jaiyq | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | H | Khan Tengri | 4-0 | W |
| 27 Aug | A | Yelimay Semey 2 | 3-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Astana II | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Aug | A | Aktobe Jas | 6-1 | W |
| 6 Aug | H | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1-0 | W |
| 31 Jul | A | Tobol 2 | 2-0 | W |
| 24 Jul | H | Arys | 4-1 | W |
| 16 Jul | A | Ekibastuz | 2-0 | W |
Akademiya Ontustik
7W 2D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against
| 17 Sep | H | Jaiyq | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Sep | A | Yelimay Semey 2 | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | H | Aktobe Jas | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Aug | A | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | Ekibastuz | 3-2 | W |
| 13 Aug | A | Sport Academy Kairat | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Aug | H | Khan Tengri | 3-1 | W |
| 30 Jul | A | Taraz | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Jul | H | Astana II | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Jul | A | Tobol 2 | 3-2 | W |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 8:2 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Shakhter Karagandy
| 2 Jul 20261. Division | 1. Division | Akademiya Ontustik1-2Shakhter Karagandy |
| 25 Sep 20251. Division | 1. Division | Akademiya Ontustik0-2Shakhter Karagandy |
| 27 Jun 20251. Division | 1. Division | Shakhter Karagandy4-1Akademiya Ontustik |
1. Division table1st Divisionupdated 8 Oct 14:01 UTC
In the 1. Division table, Shakhter Karagandy sit 1st with 65 points from 24 games, while Akademiya Ontustik are 4th with 43 points from 24.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66:8 | +58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 66:12 | +54 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 51:21 | +30 | 50 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36:29 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 31 |
| 7 | Taraz | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:45 | -13 | 27 |
| 9 | Ekibastuz | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:53 | -22 | 26 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 40:57 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19:50 | -31 | 12 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.82 | 9.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.35 | 2.82 | 9.5% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.82 | 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.88 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 1.88 | 9.4% |
| Average | 1.78 | 1.88 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Shakhter Karagandy at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Akademiya Ontustik at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.40, which imply roughly 87% for a Shakhter Karagandy win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Division table: Shakhter Karagandy are 1st (65 pts, 66-8 goals), Akademiya Ontustik 4th (43 pts, 36-29).
Over their last five matches, Shakhter Karagandy averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Akademiya Ontustik averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Shakhter Karagandy.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | 6.31 | 10.4 |
Double chance
| X2 | 12 |
|---|---|
| 3.94 | 1.04 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.78 | 1.88 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 3.06 | 8.80 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.35 | 2.82 |
| 3 | 1.56 | 2.22 |
| 3.5 | 1.99 | 1.69 |
| 4 | 2.74 | 1.37 |
| 4.5 | 3.38 | 1.25 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.62 | 1.41 |
| -2 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| -1.5 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| -1 | 1.41 | 2.60 |