Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding• League One, China

#130.8:1.011:30Tomorrow · Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan1.6:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38DAFX3.40BFR23.00B365Margin at best4.8%Books8Markets76Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 01:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.38	3.30	2.90	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.30	3.26	2.91	8.5%
Betano	2.35	3.20	2.85	8.9%
Betfair	2.25	3.30	2.80	10.5%
1xBet	2.28	3.12	2.86	10.9%
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.12	2.79	12.1%
William Hill	2.30	2.90	2.80	13.7%
Best of all books	2.38	3.30	3.00	5.7%
Average	2.28	3.16	2.86	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding

Last 10#13Table position#61.00Points per game1.445Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6755Defence rating4556Form rating4420H2H rating8041Goals model5939Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 03:01 UTC

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	A	Wuxi Wugou	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Guangzhou E-Power	1-3	L
6 Oct	H	Meizhou Kejia	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Dongguan United	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Changchun Yatai	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Shaanxi Union	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Suzhou Dongwu	3-4	L
22 Aug	H	Hebei Kungfu	1-2	L
16 Aug	A	Nanjing City	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Dalian Huayi	2-1	W

Yanbian Longding

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Dongguan United	5-0	W
11 Oct	H	Nantong Zhiyun	0-1	L
6 Oct	A	Changchun Yatai	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	Guangzhou E-Power	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Guangxi Hengchen	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Wuxi Wugou	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Shaanxi Union	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Ningbo Professional	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Dalian Huayi	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Shenzhen Juniors	0-1	L

Head to head

1Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins

2draws

4Yanbian Longding wins

7 meetings · goals 6:13 · last 7: 1W 2D 4L for Heilongjiang Lava Spring

4 Jul 2026League One	League One	Yanbian Longding3-0Heilongjiang Lava Spring
4 Oct 2025League One	League One	Heilongjiang Lava Spring2-1Yanbian Longding
26 May 2025League One	League One	Yanbian Longding3-0Heilongjiang Lava Spring
21 Sep 2024League One	League One	Heilongjiang Lava Spring0-1Yanbian Longding
4 May 2024League One	League One	Yanbian Longding3-2Heilongjiang Lava Spring
10 Oct 2023League One	League One	Heilongjiang Lava Spring1-1Yanbian Longding
18 Jun 2023League One	League One	Yanbian Longding1-1Heilongjiang Lava Spring

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 24 Oct 01:01 UTC

In the League One table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 13th with 27 points from 27 games, while Yanbian Longding are 6th with 39 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Guangzhou E-Power	27	18	6	3	55:26	+29	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	27	14	9	4	36:20	+16	51
3	Guangxi Hengchen	27	13	8	6	43:30	+13	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	27	12	10	5	42:31	+11	46
5	Shaanxi Union	27	13	6	8	51:28	+23	45
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39:29	+10	39
7	Hebei Kungfu	27	10	7	10	26:26	0	37
8	Wuxi Wugou	27	10	6	11	41:33	+8	36
9	Changchun Yatai	27	10	6	11	41:44	-3	32
10	Ningbo Professional	27	9	7	11	28:32	-4	31
11	Dalian Huayi	27	7	10	10	32:39	-7	31
12	Suzhou Dongwu	27	7	10	10	31:39	-8	28
13	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	27	5	12	10	38:49	-11	27
14	Nanjing City	27	6	7	14	22:37	-15	25
15	Meizhou Kejia	27	7	4	16	25:54	-29	16
16	Dongguan United	27	3	7	17	26:59	-33	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X29%3.18232%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.52 → 2.28 -9.5%X3.10 → 3.18 +2.6%22.58 → 2.86 +10.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.78	1.99	6.4%
Betfair	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Betano	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.85	1.99	4.3%
Average	1.78	1.93	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.62	2.14	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heilongjiang Lava Spring 10%Draw 45%Yanbian Longding 45%

The statistical model rates Heilongjiang Lava Spring at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Yanbian Longding at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.18 | 2.86, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 13th (27 pts, 38-49 goals), Yanbian Longding 6th (39 pts, 39-29).

Over their last five matches, Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Yanbian Longding averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Yanbian Longding.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.16	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.50	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	2.15	3.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.58	2.47	3.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.69	13.0	28.6
HT X	5.48	5.00	6.68
HT 2	25.8	13.8	4.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	11.1	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.08
1.5	1.23	3.62
2.5	1.78	1.93
3.5	2.90	1.36
4.5	5.43	1.11
5.5	10.7	1.04
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.11	4.86
1.75	1.29	3.18
2	1.34	2.85
2.25	1.55	2.24
2.75	1.97	1.74
3	2.28	1.53
3.25	2.55	1.43
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.66	1.42
-0.5	2.25	1.63
-0.25	1.97	1.77
0	1.66	2.11
+0.25	1.47	2.49
+0.5	1.37	2.98

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.40	1.01
-1.75	5.60	1.10
-1.5	4.28	1.17
-1.25	3.90	1.20
-1	3.48	1.25
+0.75	1.25	3.52
+1	1.12	5.07
+1.25	1.10	5.50
+1.5	1.09	5.97
+1.75	1.03	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.43
6.5	1.17	3.88
7.5	1.39	2.64
8.5	1.72	1.98
9.5	2.18	1.58
10.5	2.95	1.31
11.5	4.36	1.13
12.5	6.78	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.14
6	1.05	5.85
6.25	1.12	4.53
6.75	1.21	3.58
7	1.24	3.38
7.25	1.33	2.88
7.75	1.47	2.42
8	1.53	2.31
8.25	1.66	2.09
8.75	1.86	1.84
9	1.96	1.76
9.25	2.12	1.64
9.75	2.43	1.47
10	2.63	1.40
10.25	2.86	1.33
10.75	3.40	1.23
11	3.98	1.16
11.25	4.18	1.14
11.75	5.12	1.08
12	6.33	1.03
12.25	6.56	1.03

Next League One matches

24 Oct	Dalian Huayi – Guangxi Hengchen
24 Oct	Changchun Yatai – Meizhou Kejia
24 Oct	Hebei Kungfu – Ningbo Professional
24 Oct	Nantong Zhiyun – Shenzhen Juniors
24 Oct	Dongguan United – Nanjing City
25 Oct	Wuxi Wugou – Shaanxi Union

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

18 Oct	Meizhou Kejia 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun
18 Oct	Nanjing City 1-0 Hebei Kungfu
18 Oct	Shaanxi Union 4-0 Guangzhou E-Power
17 Oct	Guangxi Hengchen 2-2 Changchun Yatai
17 Oct	Shenzhen Juniors 1-1 Dalian Huayi
17 Oct	Ningbo Professional 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu