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Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai• League One, China

#31.0:0.62-2FT17/10 · Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning0.8:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39PINX4.54PIN27.35PINMargin at best7.6%Books6Markets87Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:54 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.384.567.368.0%
BetVictor1.364.407.0010.5%
1xBet1.364.257.2310.9%
Bet3651.364.336.5012.0%
Marathonbet1.354.256.8512.2%
William Hill1.364.007.0012.8%
Best of all books1.384.567.368.0%
Average1.364.306.9911.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guangxi HengchenChangchun Yatai
Last 10#3Table position#91.74Points per game1.198Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4463Defence rating3863Form rating38100H2H rating066Goals model3463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 01:01 UTC

Guangxi Hengchen

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

17 OctHChangchun Yatai2-2D
11 OctHShenzhen Juniors1-1D
7 OctADongguan United0-1L
25 SepAWuxi Wugou1-0W
18 SepANantong Zhiyun1-0W
12 SepHYanbian Longding2-1W
6 SepHHebei Kungfu0-1L
29 AugANanjing City2-0W
22 AugHSuzhou Dongwu3-3D
15 AugHMeizhou Kejia1-0W

Changchun Yatai

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

17 OctAGuangxi Hengchen2-2D
10 OctADalian Huayi1-1D
6 OctHYanbian Longding1-1D
26 SepANantong Zhiyun0-2L
19 SepAShenzhen Juniors1-1D
12 SepHHeilongjiang Lava Spring1-0W
5 SepHNingbo Professional2-0W
30 AugAGuangzhou E-Power0-3L
23 AugHDongguan United6-0W
14 AugAShaanxi Union1-2L

Head to head

1Guangxi Hengchen wins
0draws
0Changchun Yatai wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Guangxi Hengchen

27 Jun 2026League OneLeague OneChangchun Yatai1-2Guangxi Hengchen

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 24 Oct 01:01 UTC

In the League One table, Guangxi Hengchen sit 3rd with 47 points from 27 games, while Changchun Yatai are 9th with 32 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power27186355:26+2960
2Nantong Zhiyun27149436:20+1651
3Guangxi Hengchen27138643:30+1347
4Shenzhen Juniors271210542:31+1146
5Shaanxi Union27136851:28+2345
6Yanbian Longding27109839:29+1039
7Hebei Kungfu271071026:26037
8Wuxi Wugou271061141:33+836
9Changchun Yatai271061141:44-332
10Ningbo Professional27971128:32-431
11Dalian Huayi277101032:39-731
12Suzhou Dongwu277101031:39-828
13Heilongjiang Lava Spring275121038:49-1127
14Nanjing City27671422:37-1525
15Meizhou Kejia27741625:54-2916
16Dongguan United27371726:59-3316

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.36X21%4.30213%6.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 15:3016 Oct 18:301 1.36X 4.272 6.99
11.37 → 1.36 -0.7%X4.27 → 4.27 0.0%26.88 → 6.99 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Pinnacle1.652.196.3%
1xBet1.622.128.9%
Marathonbet1.622.128.9%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.632.157.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.851.877.5%
Average1.831.849.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guangxi Hengchen 45%Draw 45%Changchun Yatai 10%

The statistical model rated Guangxi Hengchen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Changchun Yatai at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.30 | 6.99, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Guangxi Hengchen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Guangxi Hengchen are 3rd (47 pts, 43-30 goals), Changchun Yatai 9th (32 pts, 41-44).

Over their last five matches, Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Changchun Yatai averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guangxi Hengchen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.364.306.99

Double chance

1XX212
1.052.711.14

Draw no bet

12
1.135.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.84

1st half

1X2
1.852.426.54

2nd half

1X2
1.692.845.88

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9718.750.7
HT X4.036.7315.0
HT 223.019.112.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3614.43.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.6
1.51.184.23
2.51.632.15
3.52.571.43
4.54.601.15
5.58.531.03
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.70
1.251.085.65
1.751.203.71
21.263.31
2.251.452.49
2.751.781.91
32.021.69
3.252.281.54
3.752.921.33
43.781.19
4.254.111.16
4.755.501.08
57.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.441.48
-1.52.111.64
-1.251.881.83
-11.632.16
-0.751.472.47
-0.51.402.86
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.901.04
-3.256.801.10
-36.401.07
-2.754.521.15
-2.53.651.22
-2.253.281.27
-23.051.32
-0.251.263.41
01.115.35
+0.251.095.88
+0.51.126.25
+0.751.018.70
+11.019.10
+1.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.96
7.51.203.63
8.51.432.53
9.51.761.93
10.52.181.58
11.52.871.33
12.54.001.16
13.55.991.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.71
71.075.45
7.251.134.34
7.751.223.49
81.253.30
8.251.332.86
8.751.472.43
91.542.30
9.251.642.11
9.751.831.87
101.951.76
10.252.061.68
10.752.351.51
112.581.42
11.252.721.37
11.753.181.27
123.661.20
12.253.841.18
12.754.621.11
135.591.06
13.255.791.05

Next League One matches

24 OctDalian Huayi – Guangxi Hengchen
24 OctChangchun Yatai – Meizhou Kejia
24 OctHebei Kungfu – Ningbo Professional
24 OctNantong Zhiyun – Shenzhen Juniors
24 OctDongguan United – Nanjing City
25 OctWuxi Wugou – Shaanxi Union

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

18 OctMeizhou Kejia 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun
18 OctNanjing City 1-0 Hebei Kungfu
18 OctShaanxi Union 4-0 Guangzhou E-Power
17 OctShenzhen Juniors 1-1 Dalian Huayi
17 OctNingbo Professional 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu
17 OctWuxi Wugou 0-2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring