Naftan vs ML Vitebsk• Premier League, Belarus

#161.0:2.210:00Tomorrow · Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk1.8:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

122.0MARX9.23PIN21.12DAFMargin at best4.7%Books4Markets57Rating19 · 81Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	22.0	8.00	1.11	7.1%
Marathonbet	22.0	8.00	1.11	7.1%
Pinnacle	16.9	9.23	1.10	7.7%
Dafabet	14.0	8.60	1.12	8.1%
Best of all books	22.0	9.23	1.12	4.7%
Average	18.7	8.46	1.11	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NaftanML Vitebsk

Last 10#16Table position#10.63Points per game2.196Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 50.236Attack rating648Defence rating9233Form rating677H2H rating9312Goals model8819Overall rating81

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

Naftan

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:25 · per match 0.8 for, 2.5 against

31 Oct	A	Baranovichi	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	FC Isloch Minsk R.	0-6	L
19 Oct	A	Torpedo Zhodino	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Belshina	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Slavia Mozyr	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bate Borisov	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	FC Minsk	0-3	L
2 Sep	A	Dinamo Minsk	1-5	L
28 Aug	A	FC Vitebsk	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Neman	0-2	L

ML Vitebsk

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:5 · per match 2.1 for, 0.5 against

1 Nov	H	FC Minsk	4-0	W
28 Oct	A	FC Isloch Minsk R.	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	FC Vitebsk	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Neman	1-0	W
15 Oct	H	Torpedo Zhodino	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Gomel	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Arsenal	5-1	W
13 Sep	A	FC Dnepr Mogilev	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Dinamo Minsk	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Belshina	1-1	D

Head to head

1Naftan wins

0draws

6ML Vitebsk wins

7 meetings · goals 9:14 · last 7: 1W 0D 6L for Naftan

27 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	ML Vitebsk2-1Naftan
22 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	ML Vitebsk2-0Naftan
12 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Naftan0-3ML Vitebsk
14 Jul 2024Coppa	Coppa	ML Vitebsk2-1Naftan
11 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Naftan1-2ML Vitebsk
2 Oct 20221. Division	1. Division	Naftan2-3ML Vitebsk
22 May 20221. Division	1. Division	ML Vitebsk0-4Naftan

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 6 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Naftan sit 16th with 17 points from 27 games, while ML Vitebsk are 1st with 59 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	27	17	8	2	56:19	+37	59
2	FC Isloch Minsk R.	27	17	7	3	51:21	+30	58
3	Dinamo Minsk	27	18	4	5	50:23	+27	58
4	Dinamo Brest	27	15	5	7	48:27	+21	50
5	Neman	27	14	4	9	33:25	+8	46
6	FC Vitebsk	27	11	7	9	30:26	+4	40
7	FC Gomel	27	11	7	9	38:29	+9	40
8	Torpedo Zhodino	27	10	6	11	35:35	0	36
9	FC Minsk	27	10	4	13	33:40	-7	34
10	Slavia Mozyr	27	8	7	12	34:38	-4	31
11	Baranovichi	27	8	7	12	30:43	-13	31
12	Arsenal	27	6	9	12	25:44	-19	27
13	Belshina	27	6	6	15	28:50	-22	24
14	FC Dnepr Mogilev	27	4	11	12	26:41	-15	23
15	Bate Borisov	27	4	9	14	19:34	-15	21
16	Naftan	27	4	5	18	24:65	-41	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg15%18.7X11%8.46284%1.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

120.0 → 18.7 -6.3%X5.70 → 8.46 +48.4%21.20 → 1.11 -7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	2.74	7.9%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	2.74	7.9%
Average	1.40	2.62	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.46	1.48	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.47	8.7%
Best of all books	2.46	1.48	8.2%
Average	2.46	1.48	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Naftan 0%Draw 50%ML Vitebsk 50%

The statistical model rates Naftan at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and ML Vitebsk at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 18.73 | 8.46 | 1.11, which imply roughly 11.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Naftan are 16th (17 pts, 24-65 goals), ML Vitebsk 1st (59 pts, 56-19).

Over their last five matches, Naftan averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; ML Vitebsk averaged 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : ML Vitebsk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
18.7	8.46	1.11

Double chance

1X	12
5.85	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.46	1.48

1st half

1	X	2
14.0	2.93	1.46

2nd half

1	X	2
13.6	3.98	1.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	35.0	33.0	28.0
HT X	34.0	10.5	3.82
HT 2	103.0	30.0	1.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
6.30	19.5	1.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	5.25
2.5	1.40	2.62
3.5	2.08	1.70
4.5	3.28	1.25
5.5	5.80	1.07

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.60
1.75	1.11	4.80
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.50	2.37
3	1.63	2.11
3.25	1.86	1.86
3.75	2.34	1.52
4	2.81	1.36
4.25	2.99	1.31
4.75	3.99	1.17
5	5.20	1.10
5.25	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.75	2.44	1.46
+2	2.21	1.62
+2.25	1.87	1.81
+2.5	1.68	2.01
+2.75	1.53	2.26
+3	1.38	2.69

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	7.80	1.02
+0.75	4.95	1.11
+1	4.65	1.12
+1.25	3.28	1.25
+1.5	2.70	1.38
+3.25	1.31	2.92
+3.5	1.26	3.20
+3.75	1.18	3.90
+4	1.10	5.15
+4.5	1.07	5.75

Next Premier League matches

6 Nov	FC Gomel – Arsenal
7 Nov	Belshina – FC Isloch Minsk R.
7 Nov	Bate Borisov – Torpedo Zhodino
7 Nov	FC Vitebsk – Dinamo Minsk
8 Nov	Neman – FC Dnepr Mogilev
8 Nov	FC Minsk – Dinamo Brest

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

1 Nov	ML Vitebsk 4-0 FC Minsk
1 Nov	Torpedo Zhodino 3-0 Belshina
1 Nov	Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Neman
1 Nov	FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-1 Slavia Mozyr
31 Oct	FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 FC Gomel
31 Oct	Dinamo Brest 3-1 FC Vitebsk