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ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk• Premier League, Belarus

#12.0:0.44-0FT01/11 · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel0.8:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.271XBX5.40DAF213.3MARMargin at best4.8%Books4Markets91Rating78 · 23Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:37 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.274.8513.07.1%
Marathonbet1.264.8513.37.5%
Dafabet1.265.409.808.1%
SBO1.244.817.7214.4%
Best of all books1.275.4013.34.8%
Average1.264.9810.98.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ML VitebskFC Minsk
Last 10#1Table position#92.19Points per game1.2612Form pts · last 512.0Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 52.071Attack rating2983Defence rating1780Form rating2088H2H rating1376Goals model2478Overall rating23

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

ML Vitebsk

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:5 · per match 2.1 for, 0.5 against

1 NovHFC Minsk4-0W
28 OctAFC Isloch Minsk R.0-1L
24 OctAFC Vitebsk2-0W
18 OctHNeman1-0W
15 OctHTorpedo Zhodino2-0W
11 OctAFC Gomel5-1W
18 SepHArsenal5-1W
13 SepAFC Dnepr Mogilev1-1D
6 SepHDinamo Minsk0-0D
2 SepHBelshina1-1D

FC Minsk

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

1 NovAML Vitebsk0-4L
23 OctHBaranovichi1-3L
17 OctAFC Isloch Minsk R.2-4L
10 OctHTorpedo Zhodino0-1L
3 OctHArsenal0-0D
18 SepABelshina0-2L
11 SepHSlavia Mozyr1-0W
6 SepANaftan3-0W
30 AugABate Borisov1-2L
21 AugHFC Vitebsk0-1L

Head to head

2ML Vitebsk wins
1draws
0FC Minsk wins

3 meetings · goals 8:4 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for ML Vitebsk

21 Jun 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Minsk2-2ML Vitebsk
19 Oct 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueML Vitebsk4-1FC Minsk
25 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Minsk1-2ML Vitebsk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 6 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, ML Vitebsk sit 1st with 59 points from 27 games, while FC Minsk are 9th with 34 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1ML Vitebsk27178256:19+3759
2FC Isloch Minsk R.27177351:21+3058
3Dinamo Minsk27184550:23+2758
4Dinamo Brest27155748:27+2150
5Neman27144933:25+846
6FC Vitebsk27117930:26+440
7FC Gomel27117938:29+940
8Torpedo Zhodino271061135:35036
9FC Minsk271041333:40-734
10Slavia Mozyr27871234:38-431
11Baranovichi27871230:43-1331
12Arsenal27691225:44-1927
13Belshina27661528:50-2224
14FC Dnepr Mogilev274111226:41-1523
15Bate Borisov27491419:34-1521
16Naftan27451824:65-4117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.26X18%4.9828%10.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:011 Nov 06:501 1.26X 4.982 10.9
11.27 → 1.26 -0.8%X4.80 → 4.98 +3.8%216.0 → 10.9 -31.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.722.056.9%
Marathonbet1.722.056.9%
Best of all books1.722.056.9%
Average1.722.056.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.351.537.9%
Marathonbet2.351.518.8%
Best of all books2.351.537.9%
Average2.351.528.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ML Vitebsk 50%Draw 50%FC Minsk 0%

The statistical model rated ML Vitebsk at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Minsk at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.26 | 4.98 | 10.94, which imply roughly 79.4% for a ML Vitebsk win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: ML Vitebsk are 1st (59 pts, 56-19 goals), FC Minsk 9th (34 pts, 33-40).

Over their last five matches, ML Vitebsk averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; FC Minsk averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : ML Vitebsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

ML Vitebsk

4-3-3

Coach: Juan Díaz

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. Pavlyuchenko

Defence

  • 20Z. Volkov
  • 6K. Gomanov
  • 45I. Moskalenchik

Midfield

  • 23S. Balanovich
  • 4A. Ode
  • 55V. Gromyko
  • 15V. Bocherov
  • 10D. Cleonise
  • 12R. Bosić

Attack

  • 9B. Diabaté
Substitutes (9)
  • 27A. Mesarović
  • 7T. Ivanov
  • 8S. Gnaka
  • 3N. Baranok
  • 5M. Mohammadi
  • 2Aleksey Nosko
  • 30Pavel Shcherbachenya
  • 22Y. Skibskiy
  • 99Mark Bulanov

FC Minsk

3-4-3

Coach: A. Chelyadinskiy

Goalkeeper

  • 30A. Gutor

Defence

  • 79I. Sviridenko
  • 4R. Khadarkevich
  • 66Francisco Campos
  • 19K. Kuchinskiy

Midfield

  • 15V. Yatskevich
  • 6F. Abena
  • 13I. Aleksievich
  • 80A. Ksenofontov

Attack

  • 10G. Zherdev
  • 17E. Zubovich
Substitutes (10)
  • 9M. Dieye
  • 2V. Dikhtievskiy
  • 29I. Dubinets
  • 7H. Gomis
  • 89G. Abdul
  • 22A. Makas
  • 24S. Matusevich
  • 8A. Migdalenok
  • 23A. Turich
  • 16M. Gerashchenko

Match Statistics

ML VitebskFC Minsk
0Red Cards0
1Yellow Cards2
12Shots off Goal2
9Corner Kicks0
14Shots on Goal2
7Free Kicks8
65%Ball Possession35%
0Blocked Shots0
26Total Shots4

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.264.9810.9

Double chance

X212
3.451.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.351.52

1st half

1X2
1.732.339.55

2nd half

1X2
1.483.129.75

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.7822.470.5
HT X3.716.6421.8
HT 226.724.423.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.288.304.95

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.30
1.51.213.58
2.51.722.05
3.52.561.40
4.54.401.14
5.58.801.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.037.40
1.251.124.77
1.751.253.30
21.322.92
2.251.522.33
2.751.851.88
32.091.61
3.252.321.51
3.752.991.31
43.821.19
4.254.151.16
57.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.621.38
-2.252.431.46
-22.141.57
-1.751.901.79
-1.51.771.99
-1.251.542.26
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.58.501.01
-47.901.02
-3.755.801.07
-3.54.701.12
-3.254.411.14
-34.051.16
-2.753.161.27
-11.352.75
-0.751.293.09
-0.251.124.80
01.019.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.96
7.51.134.32
8.51.322.93
9.51.582.18
10.51.951.75
11.52.501.44
12.53.361.24
13.54.751.11
14.56.901.03
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.027.04
71.026.76
7.251.085.23
7.751.154.14
81.173.94
8.251.243.32
8.751.362.78
91.402.62
9.251.502.37
9.751.672.07
101.751.96
10.251.861.84
10.752.091.66
112.251.56
11.252.371.50
11.752.731.37
123.061.29
12.253.221.26
12.753.821.18
134.481.12
13.254.661.11
13.755.681.06
146.991.02

Next Premier League matches

6 NovFC Gomel – Arsenal
7 NovNaftan – ML Vitebsk
7 NovBelshina – FC Isloch Minsk R.
7 NovBate Borisov – Torpedo Zhodino
7 NovFC Vitebsk – Dinamo Minsk
8 NovNeman – FC Dnepr Mogilev

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

1 NovTorpedo Zhodino 3-0 Belshina
1 NovDinamo Minsk 0-1 Neman
1 NovFC Isloch Minsk R. 3-1 Slavia Mozyr
31 OctFC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 FC Gomel
31 OctDinamo Brest 3-1 FC Vitebsk
30 OctArsenal 1-0 Bate Borisov