Samgurali vs Spaeri• Erovnuli Liga, Georgia

#61.8:1.811:00Today · Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili1.0:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09PINX3.78PIN23.20B365Margin at best5.6%Books8Markets60Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 02:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.09	3.78	2.91	8.7%
Dafabet	2.05	3.70	2.90	10.3%
Betfair	2.00	3.70	3.00	10.4%
1xBet	2.00	3.58	3.03	10.9%
Betano	2.07	3.55	2.90	11.0%
Bet365	1.91	3.60	3.20	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.58	2.96	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.40	2.90	12.7%
Best of all books	2.09	3.78	3.20	5.6%
Average	2.02	3.61	2.98	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SamguraliSpaeri

Last 10#6Table position#91.27Points per game0.906Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.264Attack rating3655Defence rating4575Form rating2564H2H rating3662Goals model3861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 05:30 UTC

Samgurali

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	A	Dinamo Batumi	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Meshakhte	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Gagra	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	2-3	L
14 Sep	A	Torpedo Kutaisi	2-3	L
9 Sep	H	Dila	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	FC Iberia 1999	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Rustavi	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Dila	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Spaeri	4-3	W

Spaeri

0W 5D 5L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

23 Oct	H	Gagra	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-3	D
21 Sep	H	Dila	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	FC Iberia 1999	0-1	L
9 Sep	H	Rustavi	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Meshakhte	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Dinamo Batumi	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Samgurali	3-4	L
17 Aug	A	Gagra	1-1	D

Head to head

2Samgurali wins

1draws

1Spaeri wins

4 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Samgurali

22 Aug 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Spaeri3-4Samgurali
20 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Spaeri0-1Samgurali
17 May 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Samgurali0-0Spaeri
16 Mar 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Spaeri4-1Samgurali

Erovnuli Liga tableUmaglesi Ligaupdated 31 Oct 00:12 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga table, Samgurali sit 6th with 38 points from 30 games, while Spaeri are 9th with 27 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	16	8	6	53:37	+16	56
2	FC Iberia 1999	30	17	4	9	45:33	+12	55
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	15	9	6	50:32	+18	54
4	Rustavi	30	15	7	8	36:26	+10	52
5	Dila	30	12	4	14	40:37	+3	40
6	Samgurali	30	11	5	14	43:55	-12	38
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	30	9	10	11	48:41	+7	37
8	Gagra	30	6	12	12	26:43	-17	30
9	Spaeri	30	5	12	13	38:49	-11	27
10	Meshakhte	30	3	11	16	23:49	-26	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X25%3.64230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 2.01 +18.9%X3.77 → 3.64 -3.4%23.93 → 2.99 -23.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.20	6.4%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.62	2.16	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.52	2.32	8.9%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.27	9.8%
Best of all books	1.55	2.32	7.6%
Average	1.53	2.28	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Samgurali 45%Draw 45%Spaeri 10%

The statistical model rates Samgurali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Spaeri at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.64 | 2.99, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Samgurali win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Samgurali are 6th (38 pts, 43-55 goals), Spaeri 9th (27 pts, 38-49).

Over their last five matches, Samgurali averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Spaeri averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Samgurali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.61	2.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.67	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.30	3.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.38	2.58	3.19

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.01	13.9	27.8
HT X	5.28	6.25	7.73
HT 2	21.8	14.6	5.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	15.5	2.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.16	4.15
2.5	1.62	2.16
3.5	2.50	1.44
4.5	4.33	1.14
5.5	7.90	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.19	3.75
2	1.26	3.33
2.25	1.43	2.55
2.75	1.76	1.94
3	1.98	1.70
3.25	2.25	1.54
3.75	2.93	1.32
4	3.72	1.20
4.25	4.06	1.17
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.22	1.59
-0.5	2.02	1.72
-0.25	1.79	1.90
0	1.56	2.26
+0.25	1.43	2.56
+0.5	1.38	2.84

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.04
-3	9.20	1.01
-2.75	6.65	1.05
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2.25	4.90	1.11
-2	6.40	1.05
-1.75	4.50	1.13
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.21	1.26
-1	2.86	1.34
+0.75	1.22	3.51
+1	1.10	5.10
+1.25	1.08	5.51
+1.5	1.07	5.90
+1.75	1.03	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.41	2.60
8.5	1.62	2.10
9	1.84	1.82
9.5	2.05	1.70
10	2.60	1.41
10.5	2.96	1.32

Next Erovnuli Liga matches

31 Oct	Dinamo Tbilisi – FC Iberia 1999
1 Nov	Gagra – Rustavi
1 Nov	Dinamo Batumi – Meshakhte
2 Nov	Torpedo Kutaisi – Dila

All Erovnuli Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga results

26 Oct	FC Iberia 1999 3-2 Torpedo Kutaisi
24 Oct	Dinamo Batumi 3-0 Samgurali
24 Oct	Meshakhte 2-1 Dila
23 Oct	Rustavi 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi
23 Oct	Spaeri 0-0 Gagra
19 Oct	Dila 0-2 FC Iberia 1999