Spaeri vs Gagra• Erovnuli Liga, Georgia

#91.2:2.414:00Today · Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi0.6:2.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05WHX3.50B36523.20PINMargin at best8.6%Books8Markets52Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	3.41	3.20	9.4%
Dafabet	2.04	3.45	3.15	9.8%
Betfair	2.00	3.50	3.10	10.8%
1xBet	1.99	3.45	3.16	10.9%
Betano	2.05	3.40	3.05	11.0%
Bet365	2.00	3.50	3.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.45	3.08	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.10	3.10	13.3%
Best of all books	2.05	3.50	3.20	8.6%
Average	2.02	3.41	3.11	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SpaeriGagra

Last 10#9Table position#80.90Points per game1.002Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 52.467Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating5085H2H rating1566Goals model3466Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

Spaeri

0W 4D 6L · goals 13:24 · per match 1.3 for, 2.4 against

18 Oct	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-3	D
21 Sep	H	Dila	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	FC Iberia 1999	0-1	L
9 Sep	H	Rustavi	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Meshakhte	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Dinamo Batumi	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Samgurali	3-4	L
17 Aug	A	Gagra	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Dinamo Tbilisi	1-2	L

Gagra

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Dinamo Batumi	1-3	L
11 Oct	A	Samgurali	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Meshakhte	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Dinamo Tbilisi	0-4	L
10 Sep	H	Torpedo Kutaisi	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Dila	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	FC Iberia 1999	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	Aragvi Dusheti	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Rustavi	0-3	L
17 Aug	H	Spaeri	1-1	D

Head to head

3Spaeri wins

2draws

1Gagra wins

6 meetings · goals 12:6 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Spaeri

17 Aug 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Gagra1-1Spaeri
11 May 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Spaeri3-0Gagra
11 Mar 2026Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Gagra0-3Spaeri
5 Nov 2024David Kipiani Cup	David Kipiani Cup	Spaeri2-2Gagra
12 Dec 2022Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Spaeri3-1Gagra
8 Dec 2022Erovnuli Liga	Erovnuli Liga	Gagra2-0Spaeri

Erovnuli Liga tableUmaglesi Ligaupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga table, Spaeri sit 9th with 26 points from 29 games, while Gagra are 8th with 29 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	29	15	8	6	50:37	+13	53
2	Rustavi	29	15	7	7	36:24	+12	52
3	FC Iberia 1999	29	16	4	9	42:31	+11	52
4	Dinamo Tbilisi	29	14	9	6	48:32	+16	51
5	Dila	29	12	4	13	39:35	+4	40
6	Samgurali	29	11	5	13	43:52	-9	38
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	29	9	10	10	46:38	+8	37
8	Gagra	29	6	11	12	26:43	-17	29
9	Spaeri	29	5	11	13	38:49	-11	26
10	Meshakhte	29	2	11	16	21:48	-27	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X26%3.41229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 2.02 +0.5%X3.51 → 3.41 -2.8%23.03 → 3.11 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.67	2.14	6.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.14	3.9%
Average	1.67	2.07	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.56	2.24	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spaeri 45%Draw 45%Gagra 10%

The statistical model rates Spaeri at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gagra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.41 | 3.11, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Spaeri win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Spaeri are 9th (26 pts, 38-49 goals), Gagra 8th (29 pts, 26-43).

Over their last five matches, Spaeri averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Gagra averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Spaeri or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.41	3.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.65	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.24	3.58

2nd half

1	X	2
2.35	2.54	3.30

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.18	13.8	28.8
HT X	5.30	5.66	7.42
HT 2	22.6	13.8	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	13.3	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.18	4.10
2.5	1.67	2.07
3.5	2.63	1.41
4.5	4.83	1.14
5.5	9.00	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.20
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.28	3.21
2.25	1.46	2.45
2.75	1.82	1.86
3	2.09	1.63
3.25	2.35	1.50
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.05	1.16
4.25	4.41	1.14
4.75	5.95	1.07
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.89	1.34
-0.75	2.31	1.52
-0.5	2.00	1.71
-0.25	1.77	1.95
0	1.52	2.35
+0.25	1.38	2.70

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.70	1.05
-1.75	4.60	1.13
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.21	1.26
+0.5	1.32	3.14
+0.75	1.19	3.80
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.25	1.06	6.05
+1.5	1.05	6.50
+1.75	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.43	2.54
9.5	1.63	2.08
10	1.84	1.82
10.5	2.11	1.62
11	2.55	1.43
11.5	2.88	1.34

Next Erovnuli Liga matches

23 Oct	Rustavi – Dinamo Tbilisi
24 Oct	Dinamo Batumi – Samgurali
26 Oct	FC Iberia 1999 – Torpedo Kutaisi

All Erovnuli Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga results

19 Oct	Dila 0-2 FC Iberia 1999
18 Oct	Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 Spaeri
18 Oct	Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi
17 Oct	Gagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi
17 Oct	Samgurali 2-0 Meshakhte
11 Oct	Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi