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Samgurali vs Meshakhte• Erovnuli Liga, Georgia

#61.8:2.22-0FT17/10 · Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili0.8:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.58PINX3.90B36525.281XBMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets55Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.583.805.099.3%
BetVictor1.533.905.2510.0%
1xBet1.513.905.2810.8%
Bet3651.553.904.7511.2%
Marathonbet1.503.905.0512.1%
William Hill1.573.505.0012.3%
Best of all books1.583.905.287.9%
Average1.543.825.0710.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SamguraliMeshakhte
Last 10#6Table position#101.31Points per game0.593Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 50.82.2Goals against · last 51.269Attack rating3135Defence rating6550Form rating5093H2H rating760Goals model4065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:01 UTC

Samgurali

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:22 · per match 1.7 for, 2.2 against

11 OctHGagra3-0W
19 SepHDinamo Tbilisi2-3L
14 SepATorpedo Kutaisi2-3L
9 SepHDila1-3L
5 SepAFC Iberia 19991-2L
30 AugHRustavi1-1D
26 AugADila1-2L
22 AugASpaeri4-3W
16 AugHDinamo Batumi0-4L
9 AugAMeshakhte2-1W

Meshakhte

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

10 OctHFC Iberia 19991-2L
19 SepAGagra1-1D
14 SepHRustavi0-1L
10 SepADinamo Tbilisi0-0D
5 SepHSpaeri2-2D
31 AugATorpedo Kutaisi2-0W
21 AugHDinamo Batumi0-1L
16 AugADila1-3L
9 AugHSamgurali1-2L
1 AugASamgurali0-1L

Head to head

9Samgurali wins
2draws
1Meshakhte wins

12 meetings · goals 20:6 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Samgurali

9 Aug 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaMeshakhte1-2Samgurali
1 Aug 2026David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani CupSamgurali1-0Meshakhte
6 May 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaSamgurali3-1Meshakhte
8 Mar 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaMeshakhte0-0Samgurali
19 Oct 2017Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Samgurali5-0Meshakhte
11 Aug 2017Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Meshakhte1-1Samgurali
19 May 2017Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Samgurali2-0Meshakhte
31 Mar 2017Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Meshakhte0-1Samgurali
13 Nov 2016Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Meshakhte0-1Samgurali
26 Sep 2016Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga 2Samgurali1-0Meshakhte

Erovnuli Liga tableUmaglesi Ligaupdated 18 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga table, Samgurali sit 6th with 38 points from 29 games, while Meshakhte are 10th with 17 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi29158650:37+1353
2Rustavi29157736:24+1252
3Dinamo Tbilisi29149648:32+1651
4FC Iberia 199928154940:31+949
5Dila281241239:33+640
6Samgurali291151343:52-938
7Torpedo Kutaisi299101046:38+837
8Gagra296111226:43-1729
9Spaeri295111338:49-1126
10Meshakhte292111621:48-2717

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X24%3.82218%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 08:4017 Oct 06:301 1.54X 3.822 5.07
11.52 → 1.54 +1.3%X3.85 → 3.82 -0.8%25.08 → 5.07 -0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.811.995.5%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.711.989.0%
Best of all books1.812.005.2%
Average1.751.997.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.751.939.0%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Marathonbet1.751.909.8%
Best of all books1.781.938.0%
Average1.761.929.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Samgurali 45%Draw 45%Meshakhte 10%

The statistical model rated Samgurali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Meshakhte at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 3.82 | 5.07, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Samgurali win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Samgurali are 6th (38 pts, 43-52 goals), Meshakhte 10th (17 pts, 21-48).

Over their last five matches, Samgurali averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Meshakhte averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Samgurali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Samgurali

4-1-4-1

Coach: G. Oniani

Goalkeeper

  • 21A. Siukaev

Defence

  • 13L. Gegetchkori
  • 25M. Shatirishvili
  • 4O. Patarkatsishvili
  • 27L. Shergelashvili

Midfield

  • 10L. Gilmore
  • 20Vinicius Vianna
  • 8I. Bidzinashvili

Attack

  • 9T. Gaprindashvili
  • 15Gean Carlos
  • 19I. Siradze
Substitutes (8)
  • 26Z. Iashvili
  • 33Isac Martins
  • 12A. Kasradze
  • 11D. Krasovski
  • 39Ryan
  • 17N. Tsetskhladze
  • 22G. Gogia
  • 28Cláudio Cebolinha

Meshakhte

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 29L. Shovnadze

Defence

  • 31Eric Pimentel
  • 38I. Zotko
  • 40L. Ugrekhelidze
  • 26B. Gabiskiria

Midfield

  • 23B. Shubitidze
  • 27G. Kantaria
  • 7E. Jijavadze
  • 30M. Pyrogov

Attack

  • 11M. Kvirkvia
  • 10G. Gogolashvili
Substitutes (9)
  • 19I. Dgebuadze
  • 16G. Gegia
  • 20L. Kurdadze
  • 25R. Novruzov
  • 6G. Papuashvili
  • 18T. Patsatsia
  • 22T. Šikalo
  • 1L. Tkeshelashvili
  • 24S. Chkhetiani

Match Statistics

SamguraliMeshakhte
53%Ball Possession47%
0Free Kicks0
5Shots on Goal3
5Corner Kicks3
8Shots off Goal8
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
0Blocked Shots0
13Total Shots11

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.543.825.07

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.221.18

Draw no bet

12
1.223.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.92

1st half

1X2
2.082.275.21

2nd half

1X2
1.882.614.93

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2616.444.3
HT X4.306.2011.3
HT 222.317.78.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4712.32.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.3
1.51.193.78
2.51.751.99
3.52.741.35
4.55.101.10
5.510.01.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.55
1.251.095.25
1.751.263.33
21.332.92
2.251.532.30
2.751.911.77
32.221.55
3.252.521.43
3.753.281.25
44.401.14
4.254.751.12
4.756.401.05
59.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.511.44
-1.252.231.57
-11.951.78
-0.751.682.01
-0.51.562.30
-0.251.362.76
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.451.01
-39.001.01
-2.756.101.06
-2.54.751.12
-2.254.391.14
-24.001.17
-1.753.001.31
01.183.88
+0.251.144.35
+0.751.066.71
+11.029.00
+1.51.019.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.821.98

Next Erovnuli Liga matches

19 OctDila – FC Iberia 1999

All Erovnuli Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga results

18 OctDinamo Tbilisi 3-1 Spaeri
18 OctTorpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi
17 OctGagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi
11 OctDinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi
11 OctSamgurali 3-0 Gagra
10 OctSpaeri 3-3 Torpedo Kutaisi