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Samgurali vs Gagra• Erovnuli Liga, Georgia

#61.4:2.43-0FT11/10 · Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili0.8:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.40B36523.53PINMargin at best7.7%Books8Markets49Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:26 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.973.313.539.3%
Dafabet1.963.353.4010.3%
Betano1.983.253.4010.7%
1xBet1.913.403.4410.8%
Betfair1.953.403.3011.0%
Bet3652.003.403.1011.7%
Marathonbet1.893.403.3512.2%
William Hill1.953.103.4013.0%
Best of all books2.003.403.537.7%
Average1.953.333.3711.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SamguraliGagra
Last 10#6Table position#81.31Points per game1.003Form pts · last 521.4Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 51.464Attack rating3637Defence rating6317Form rating8362H2H rating3863Goals model3750Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:01 UTC

Samgurali

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:22 · per match 1.7 for, 2.2 against

11 OctHGagra3-0W
19 SepHDinamo Tbilisi2-3L
14 SepATorpedo Kutaisi2-3L
9 SepHDila1-3L
5 SepAFC Iberia 19991-2L
30 AugHRustavi1-1D
26 AugADila1-2L
22 AugASpaeri4-3W
16 AugHDinamo Batumi0-4L
9 AugAMeshakhte2-1W

Gagra

1W 5D 4L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

11 OctASamgurali0-3L
19 SepHMeshakhte1-1D
14 SepADinamo Tbilisi0-4L
10 SepHTorpedo Kutaisi1-1D
5 SepADila0-1L
31 AugHFC Iberia 19992-0W
26 AugHAragvi Dusheti0-0D
22 AugARustavi0-3L
17 AugHSpaeri1-1D
8 AugADinamo Batumi2-2D

Head to head

15Samgurali wins
13draws
6Gagra wins

34 meetings · goals 44:28 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Samgurali

24 Jun 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaGagra0-0Samgurali
2 May 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaSamgurali2-0Gagra
2 Mar 2026Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaGagra0-1Samgurali
2 Nov 2025Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaSamgurali1-1Gagra
24 Aug 2025Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaGagra2-0Samgurali
7 May 2025Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaSamgurali0-2Gagra
16 Mar 2025Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaGagra0-2Samgurali
10 Nov 2024Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaSamgurali4-2Gagra
1 Sep 2024Erovnuli LigaErovnuli LigaGagra1-3Samgurali
27 Jul 2024David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani CupSamgurali0-0Gagra

Erovnuli Liga tableUmaglesi Ligaupdated 18 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga table, Samgurali sit 6th with 38 points from 29 games, while Gagra are 8th with 29 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi29158650:37+1353
2Rustavi29157736:24+1252
3Dinamo Tbilisi29149648:32+1651
4FC Iberia 199928154940:31+949
5Dila281241239:33+640
6Samgurali291151343:52-938
7Torpedo Kutaisi299101046:38+837
8Gagra296111226:43-1729
9Spaeri295111338:49-1126
10Meshakhte292111621:48-2717

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X27%3.33227%3.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 15:4011 Oct 01:001 1.95X 3.352 3.34
11.95 → 1.95 0.0%X3.49 → 3.35 -4.0%23.19 → 3.34 +4.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.871.925.6%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
Marathonbet1.821.859.0%
Betano1.781.8510.2%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.821.897.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.692.009.2%
Marathonbet1.691.979.9%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.692.038.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Samgurali 45%Draw 45%Gagra 10%

The statistical model rated Samgurali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gagra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.33 | 3.37, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Samgurali win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Samgurali are 6th (38 pts, 43-52 goals), Gagra 8th (29 pts, 26-43).

Over their last five matches, Samgurali averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Gagra averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Samgurali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Samgurali

4-1-4-1

Coach: G. Oniani

Goalkeeper

  • 21A. Siukaev

Defence

  • 13L. Gegetchkori
  • 25M. Shatirishvili
  • 4O. Patarkatsishvili
  • 27L. Shergelashvili

Midfield

  • 10L. Gilmore
  • 20Vinicius Vianna
  • 8I. Bidzinashvili

Attack

  • 9T. Gaprindashvili
  • 15Gean Carlos
  • 19I. Siradze
Substitutes (9)
  • 28Cláudio Cebolinha
  • 22G. Gogia
  • 14T. Goletiani
  • 26Z. Iashvili
  • 33Isac Martins
  • 12A. Kasradze
  • 11D. Krasovski
  • 39Ryan
  • 17N. Tsetskhladze

Gagra

4-4-2

Coach: Ž. Ljubenović

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Vorobey

Defence

  • 40Claudinei
  • 14Z. Tchavtchanidze
  • 2Augusto
  • 7P. Borges

Midfield

  • 33L. Gurchiani
  • 21alexander feikrishvili
  • 25Wanderson

Attack

  • 11S. Zoidze
  • 30G. Goshteliani
  • 9D. Mujiri
Substitutes (9)
  • 17Vinicius Cesar
  • 8I. Skrypnyk
  • 22G. Sadghobelashvili
  • 5Y. Nazarov
  • 19G. Khachidze
  • 35Alexander Timchenko
  • 4V. Arsić
  • 23A. Andreychuk
  • 29R. Adeyeye

Match Statistics

SamguraliGagra
7Shots off Goal6
53%Ball Possession47%
0Red Cards0
2Corner Kicks7
0Free Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
8Shots on Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
15Total Shots9

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.953.333.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.691.25

Draw no bet

12
1.442.51

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.03

1st half

1X2
2.522.153.87

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7110.22.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.87
1.51.243.49
2.51.821.89
3.53.011.32
4.55.701.10
5.512.51.03
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.10
1.251.134.60
1.751.303.04
21.392.67
2.251.612.15
2.752.051.67
32.421.47
3.252.721.37
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.255.251.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.731.37
-0.752.191.57
-0.51.951.78
-0.251.712.03
01.442.54
+0.251.332.90
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.101.04
-26.251.06
-1.754.391.14
-1.53.421.23
-1.253.101.29
+0.751.164.15
+11.066.25
+1.251.056.70
+1.51.047.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
81.313.05
8.51.492.38
91.642.06
9.51.941.80
102.231.55
10.52.551.43

Next Erovnuli Liga matches

19 OctDila – FC Iberia 1999

All Erovnuli Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga results

18 OctDinamo Tbilisi 3-1 Spaeri
18 OctTorpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Rustavi
17 OctGagra 1-3 Dinamo Batumi
17 OctSamgurali 2-0 Meshakhte
11 OctDinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi
10 OctSpaeri 3-3 Torpedo Kutaisi