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Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W• NWSL Women, USA

#141.2:2.421:00Today · PayPal Park1.8:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60B365X4.09PIN22.27MARMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets73Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.464.092.279.2%
Bet3652.603.802.1511.3%
1xBet2.463.642.2712.2%
Marathonbet2.463.642.2712.2%
William Hill2.453.602.2513.0%
BetVictor2.403.302.1019.6%
Best of all books2.604.092.277.0%
Average2.473.682.2212.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bay FC WPortland Thorns W
Last 10#14Table position#70.96Points per game1.594Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6043Defence rating5744Form rating5640H2H rating6046Goals model5443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Bay FC W

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

3 OctAKansas City W1-5L
27 SepHOrlando Pride W1-3L
20 SepHRacing Louisville W2-0W
17 SepADenver Summit W2-2D
13 SepASeattle Reign FC W0-2L
5 SepHKansas City W1-2L
30 AugAWashington Spirit W0-1L
23 AugHHouston Dash W1-0W
15 AugAUtah Royals W2-3L
9 AugAChicago Red Stars W0-0D

Portland Thorns W

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

4 OctHBoston Legacy W2-4L
27 SepHHouston Dash W1-1D
19 SepAOrlando Pride W4-1W
13 SepHChicago Red Stars W1-1D
6 SepHWashington Spirit W1-2L
29 AugANJ/NY Gotham FC W1-1D
23 AugHDenver Summit W1-0W
16 AugHOrlando Pride W2-1W
9 AugABoston Legacy W4-3W
2 AugAUtah Royals W1-5L

Head to head

2Bay FC W wins
0draws
3Portland Thorns W wins

5 meetings · goals 7:8 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Bay FC W

21 May 2026NWSL WomenNWSL WomenPortland Thorns W2-0Bay FC W
5 Oct 2025NWSL WomenNWSL WomenPortland Thorns W2-1Bay FC W
7 Jun 2025NWSL WomenNWSL WomenBay FC W1-0Portland Thorns W
31 Aug 2024NWSL WomenNWSL WomenPortland Thorns W1-3Bay FC W
2 May 2024NWSL WomenNWSL WomenBay FC W2-3Portland Thorns W

NWSL Women tableNwsl Womenupdated 18 Oct 04:50 UTC

In the NWSL Women table, Bay FC W sit 14th with 26 points from 27 games, while Portland Thorns W are 7th with 43 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W28167535:22+1355
2San Diego Wave W28173842:29+1354
3Washington Spirit W28164840:26+1452
4Kansas City W28145950:38+1247
5Angel City W28137848:31+1746
6Utah Royals W281441044:37+746
7Portland Thorns W27127845:39+643
8North Carolina Courage W281331251:41+1042
9Seattle Reign FC W271241133:32+140
10Denver Summit W281081047:40+738
11Orlando Pride W271031436:43-733
12Boston Legacy W28951438:47-932
13Houston Dash W27861334:39-530
14Bay FC W27751528:42-1426
15Racing Louisville W28731837:54-1724
16Chicago Red Stars W27522015:63-4817

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.47X24%3.68240%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 17:501 2.47X 3.682 2.22
12.46 → 2.47 +0.4%X3.60 → 3.68 +2.2%22.28 → 2.22 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.432.667.5%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
BetVictor1.332.2020.6%
Best of all books1.502.664.3%
Average1.422.4810.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Marathonbet1.382.679.9%
BetVictor1.292.3819.5%
Best of all books1.532.672.8%
Average1.412.4811.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bay FC W 10%Draw 45%Portland Thorns W 45%

The statistical model rates Bay FC W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portland Thorns W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.68 | 2.22, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NWSL Women table: Bay FC W are 14th (26 pts, 28-42 goals), Portland Thorns W 7th (43 pts, 45-39).

Over their last five matches, Bay FC W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Portland Thorns W averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portland Thorns W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.473.682.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.421.18

Draw no bet

12
1.881.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.48

1st half

1X2
2.872.392.70

2nd half

1X2
2.712.722.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8814.820.0
HT X6.906.606.45
HT 221.514.83.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9317.51.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.8
1.51.114.57
2.51.422.48
3.52.061.62
4.53.271.23
5.55.331.09
6.59.001.04
7.513.01.01
8.521.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.144.40
2.251.303.09
2.751.502.24
31.622.00
3.251.841.77
3.752.291.47
42.871.34
4.253.141.27
55.551.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.361.46
-0.252.161.56
01.911.74
+0.251.671.97
+0.51.552.18
+0.751.392.58
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.801.02
-28.701.01
-1.755.751.14
-1.54.571.15
-1.254.001.23
-13.811.21
-0.752.911.35
+11.253.43
+1.251.213.78
+1.51.184.13
+1.751.175.00
+21.057.47
+2.51.047.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.88
7.51.283.13
8.51.552.27
9.51.891.87
10.52.461.46
11.53.361.24
12.54.911.09
13.56.971.02
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.114.64
71.134.41
7.251.203.62
7.751.312.96
81.352.79
8.251.452.48
8.751.622.14
91.712.02
9.251.821.89
9.752.041.69
102.211.58
10.252.331.52
10.752.701.38
113.041.29
11.253.201.26
11.753.821.18
124.531.12
12.254.721.10
12.755.801.05
137.221.01

Next NWSL Women matches

18 OctChicago Red Stars W – Seattle Reign FC W

All NWSL Women fixtures and the table

Latest NWSL Women results

18 OctDenver Summit W 2-3 Angel City W
17 OctNorth Carolina Courage W 1-2 San Diego Wave W
17 OctUtah Royals W 0-2 Kansas City W
17 OctWashington Spirit W 1-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
4 OctHouston Dash W 2-3 Washington Spirit W
4 OctChicago Red Stars W 0-3 Denver Summit W