Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji• Erovnuli Liga 2, Georgia

#61.0:1.811:00Today · Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti1.0:2.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40B365X3.25BFR22.80DAFMargin at best8.2%Books6Markets35Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 04:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.44	3.15	2.70	9.8%
Betfair	2.40	3.25	2.63	10.5%
Betano	2.42	3.10	2.70	10.6%
Bet365	2.40	3.10	2.70	11.0%
1xBet	2.38	3.10	2.64	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.10	2.64	12.2%
Best of all books	2.44	3.25	2.70	8.8%
Average	2.40	3.13	2.67	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aragvi DushetiGareji

Last 10#6Table position#11.31Points per game1.836Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5053Defence rating4750Form rating5020H2H rating8040Goals model6041Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 02:01 UTC

Aragvi Dusheti

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Samtredia	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Telavi	1-4	L
20 Sep	A	Sioni	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Odishi 1919	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Merani Martvili	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Shturmi	3-4	L
30 Aug	A	Kolkheti Poti	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Gagra	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Gori	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Gareji	2-0	W

Gareji

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	H	Telavi	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Odishi 1919	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Shturmi	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Gori	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Samtredia	1-6	L
6 Sep	H	Sioni	3-3	D
29 Aug	A	Merani Martvili	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Kolkheti Poti	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Aragvi Dusheti	0-2	L
8 Aug	A	Telavi	0-0	D

Head to head

2Aragvi Dusheti wins

0draws

5Gareji wins

7 meetings · goals 7:12 · last 7: 2W 0D 5L for Aragvi Dusheti

15 Aug 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji0-2Aragvi Dusheti
10 May 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti0-1Gareji
11 Mar 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji1-0Aragvi Dusheti
5 Oct 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti1-3Gareji
10 Aug 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji2-0Aragvi Dusheti
1 May 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti3-5Gareji
7 Mar 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji0-1Aragvi Dusheti

Erovnuli Liga 2 tablePirveli Ligaupdated 24 Oct 02:01 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, Aragvi Dusheti sit 6th with 38 points from 29 games, while Gareji are 1st with 53 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gareji	29	15	8	6	37:30	+7	53
2	Telavi	29	12	10	7	34:28	+6	46
3	Shturmi	29	12	10	7	32:26	+6	46
4	Merani Martvili	29	11	7	11	34:37	-3	40
5	Samtredia	29	12	4	13	51:41	+10	40
6	Aragvi Dusheti	29	11	5	13	32:41	-9	38
7	Sioni	29	9	9	11	36:37	-1	36
8	Odishi 1919	29	9	8	12	30:41	-11	35
9	Kolkheti Poti	29	7	10	12	38:35	+3	31
10	Gori	29	7	9	13	29:37	-8	30

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.37X29%3.11233%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.43 → 2.37 -2.5%X3.17 → 3.11 -1.9%22.66 → 2.71 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Betano	1.95	1.70	10.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	1.99	1.72	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Average	1.75	1.92	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aragvi Dusheti 10%Draw 45%Gareji 45%

The statistical model rates Aragvi Dusheti at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gareji at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.11 | 2.71, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga 2 table: Aragvi Dusheti are 6th (38 pts, 32-41 goals), Gareji 1st (53 pts, 37-30).

Over their last five matches, Aragvi Dusheti averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Gareji averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gareji.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.13	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.44	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.05	2.02	3.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.73	2.34	3.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.08	13.2	30.7
HT X	5.83	4.85	6.17
HT 2	28.0	14.5	4.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.93	8.80	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.35
1.5	1.28	3.08
2.5	1.99	1.72
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	7.00	1.07
5.5	12.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.36	2.71
2	1.48	2.33
2.25	1.73	1.92
2.75	2.28	1.52
3	2.78	1.34
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	4.10	1.16
-0.75	2.88	1.32
-0.25	2.04	1.63
0	1.76	1.95
+0.25	1.52	2.27
+0.75	1.25	3.28

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	4.60	1.13
+1	1.11	4.85
+1.5	1.07	5.90

Next Erovnuli Liga 2 matches

24 Oct	Telavi – Kolkheti Poti
24 Oct	Shturmi – Sioni

All Erovnuli Liga 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Erovnuli Liga 2 results

17 Oct	Samtredia 0-1 Aragvi Dusheti
17 Oct	Kolkheti Poti 4-0 Odishi 1919
17 Oct	Gareji 2-1 Telavi
10 Oct	Aragvi Dusheti 1-4 Telavi
10 Oct	Shturmi 2-0 Kolkheti Poti
10 Oct	Samtredia 3-0 Sioni