Samtredia vs 
Aragvi Dusheti• Erovnuli Liga 2, Georgia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 | 9.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 5.15 | 9.20 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.15 | 8.70 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 5.18 | 7.42 | 12.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.25 | 5.25 | 9.50 | 9.6% |
| Average | 1.24 | 5.18 | 8.71 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC
Samtredia
8W 0D 2L · goals 25:4 · per match 2.5 for, 0.4 against
| 10 Oct | H | Sioni | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Rustavi | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Merani Martvili | 5-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Kolkheti Poti | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Gareji | 6-1 | W |
| 7 Sep | A | Telavi | 3-0 | W |
| 2 Sep | H | FC Iberia 1999 | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Odishi 1919 | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Shturmi | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Gori | 1-0 | W |
Aragvi Dusheti
4W 2D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 17 Oct | A | Samtredia | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Telavi | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Sioni | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Odishi 1919 | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Merani Martvili | 1-3 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Shturmi | 3-4 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Kolkheti Poti | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Aug | A | Gagra | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Gori | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Gareji | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Samtredia
| 8 Aug 2026Erovnuli Liga 2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 | Aragvi Dusheti2-4Samtredia |
| 6 May 2026Erovnuli Liga 2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 | Samtredia2-0Aragvi Dusheti |
| 7 Mar 2026Erovnuli Liga 2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 | Aragvi Dusheti2-1Samtredia |
| 21 Jul 2024David Kipiani Cup | David Kipiani Cup | Aragvi Dusheti0-2Samtredia |
Erovnuli Liga 2 tablePirveli Ligaupdated 24 Oct 02:01 UTC
In the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, Samtredia sit 5th with 40 points from 29 games, while Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 38 points from 29.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 37:30 | +7 | 53 |
| 2 | Telavi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 34:28 | +6 | 46 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 32:26 | +6 | 46 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 40 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 51:41 | +10 | 40 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 38 |
| 7 | Sioni | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Odishi 1919 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 35 |
| 9 | Kolkheti Poti | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 38:35 | +3 | 31 |
| 10 | Gori | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 2.35 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 2.33 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 2.33 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.34 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 1.80 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.84 | 1.83 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.81 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Samtredia at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Aragvi Dusheti at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 5.22 | 8.77, which imply roughly 80% for a Samtredia win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Erovnuli Liga 2 table: Samtredia are 5th (40 pts, 51-41 goals), Aragvi Dusheti 6th (38 pts, 32-41).
Over their last five matches, Samtredia averaged 3.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Aragvi Dusheti averaged 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Samtredia or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 5.18 | 8.70 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 3.30 | 1.09 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.10 | 6.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.82 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.56 | 7.38 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 3.14 | 7.45 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.73 | 20.0 | 65.5 |
| HT X | 4.10 | 9.00 | 20.0 |
| HT 2 | 19.5 | 22.0 | 16.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 17.8 | 3.71 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 18.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 5.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.51 | 2.34 |
| 3.5 | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| 4.5 | 3.95 | 1.17 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.18 | 3.90 |
| 2.25 | 1.34 | 2.82 |
| 2.75 | 1.61 | 2.09 |
| 3 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| 3.75 | 2.64 | 1.38 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 5 | 6.80 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 2.71 | 1.36 |
| -2 | 2.40 | 1.46 |
| -1.75 | 1.99 | 1.74 |
| -1.5 | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| -1.25 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| -1 | 1.39 | 2.62 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
| -3 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -2.75 | 3.41 | 1.24 |
| -2.5 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| -0.75 | 1.31 | 2.96 |
| -0.25 | 1.14 | 4.39 |
| 0 | 1.05 | 7.10 |
Next Erovnuli Liga 2 matches
| 24 Oct | Aragvi Dusheti – Gareji |
| 24 Oct | Telavi – Kolkheti Poti |
| 24 Oct | Shturmi – Sioni |
Latest Erovnuli Liga 2 results
| 17 Oct | Kolkheti Poti 4-0 Odishi 1919 |
| 17 Oct | Gareji 2-1 Telavi |
| 10 Oct | Aragvi Dusheti 1-4 Telavi |
| 10 Oct | Shturmi 2-0 Kolkheti Poti |
| 10 Oct | Samtredia 3-0 Sioni |