Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#50.8:1.41-0FT24/10 · Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Buenos Aires1.6:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.55BTN25.471XBMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets53Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.70	3.50	5.00	7.4%
Betano	1.62	3.55	5.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.56	3.54	5.47	10.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.25	5.00	10.6%
Pinnacle	1.74	3.17	4.62	10.7%
Bet365	1.80	3.10	4.20	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.69	3.28	4.50	11.9%
William Hill	1.62	3.30	5.00	12.0%
BetVictor	1.53	3.00	4.60	20.4%
Best of all books	1.80	3.55	5.47	2.0%
Average	1.66	3.30	4.84	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Villa DalmineSan Martín Burzaco

Last 10#5Table position#111.66Points per game1.245Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6756Defence rating4442Form rating5838H2H rating6263Goals model3747Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 02:01 UTC

Villa Dalmine

2W 4D 4L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Villa San Carlos	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Liniers	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Real Pilar	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	UAI Urquiza	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Ituzaingó	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Excursionistas	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Sarandi	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Argentino de Merlo	0-0	D
25 Aug	H	Talleres Remedios	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Deportivo Laferrere	2-0	W

San Martín Burzaco

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Excursionistas	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Arsenal Sarandi	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Argentino de Merlo	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Talleres Remedios	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Deportivo Laferrere	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Brown DE Adrogue	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Deportivo Armenio	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Flandria	0-2	L
25 Aug	H	Argentino Quilmes	3-2	W
22 Aug	A	Defensores Unidos	0-2	L

Head to head

1Villa Dalmine wins

2draws

2San Martín Burzaco wins

5 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Villa Dalmine

12 Jun 2026Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	San Martín Burzaco0-2Villa Dalmine
16 Aug 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	San Martín Burzaco1-0Villa Dalmine
29 Mar 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine1-1San Martín Burzaco
4 Aug 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine0-0San Martín Burzaco
15 Mar 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	San Martín Burzaco1-0Villa Dalmine

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 25 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Villa Dalmine sit 5th with 68 points from 41 games, while San Martín Burzaco are 11th with 51 points from 41.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	41	24	9	8	68:31	+37	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	41	21	13	7	55:27	+28	76
3	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46:26	+20	71
4	Sportivo Italiano	41	19	12	10	47:33	+14	69
5	Villa Dalmine	41	18	14	9	40:27	+13	68
6	Deportivo Camioneros	41	18	13	10	48:34	+14	67
7	Real Pilar	41	18	11	12	44:40	+4	65
8	Deportivo Armenio	41	17	11	13	42:39	+3	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50:52	-2	58
10	Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39:35	+4	57
11	San Martín Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41:46	-5	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40:43	-3	50
13	Flandria	41	13	9	19	39:49	-10	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	11	15	15	39:54	-15	48
15	Argentino de Merlo	41	12	11	18	37:44	-7	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33:40	-7	47
17	Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41:49	-8	47
18	Liniers	41	10	15	16	34:43	-9	45
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25:37	-12	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33:40	-7	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23:36	-13	39
22	Ituzaingó	41	1	14	26	28:67	-39	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X24%3.77214%6.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.73 → 1.66 -4.0%X3.11 → 3.30 +6.1%24.62 → 4.84 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.32	1.54	8.0%
Betano	2.22	1.57	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.52	10.4%
1xBet	2.10	1.59	10.5%
BetVictor	1.91	1.48	19.9%
Best of all books	2.32	1.60	5.6%
Average	2.18	1.55	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.63	8.5%
Betano	2.22	1.57	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
BetVictor	1.91	1.47	20.4%
Best of all books	2.22	1.65	5.7%
Average	2.09	1.59	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Villa Dalmine 10%Draw 45%San Martín Burzaco 45%

The statistical model rated Villa Dalmine at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Martín Burzaco at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.77 | 6.67, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Villa Dalmine are 5th (68 pts, 40-27 goals), San Martín Burzaco 11th (51 pts, 41-46).

Over their last five matches, Villa Dalmine averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; San Martín Burzaco averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or San Martín Burzaco.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.30	4.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.04	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.01	5.62

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.34	5.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	17.1	53.5
HT X	4.14	4.66	10.1
HT 2	28.8	17.3	8.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	7.35	3.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	6.33
1.5	1.38	2.60
2.5	2.18	1.55
3.5	3.79	1.17
4.5	6.90	1.03
5.5	21.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.88
1	1.10	5.54
1.25	1.23	3.53
1.75	1.47	2.28
2	1.65	1.99
2.25	1.89	1.70
2.75	2.51	1.39
3	3.32	1.25
3.25	3.69	1.20
3.75	5.18	1.10
4	7.45	1.03
4.25	7.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.85	1.30
-1.25	2.52	1.39
-1	2.17	1.56
-0.75	1.82	1.81
-0.5	1.70	1.97
-0.25	1.41	2.45

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.20	1.03
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2.25	5.82	1.08
-2	5.35	1.10
-1.75	3.70	1.20
0	1.21	3.46
+0.25	1.16	3.86
+0.75	1.06	6.53
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	2.00	1.80
10.5	1.80	1.91
11.5	1.85	1.85

Next Primera B Metropolitana matches

26 Oct

UAI Urquiza – Villa San Carlos

All Primera B Metropolitana fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B Metropolitana results

25 Oct	Talleres Remedios 4-0 Dock Sud
24 Oct	Real Pilar 2-1 Liniers
24 Oct	Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Argentino Quilmes
24 Oct	Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 Comunicaciones
24 Oct	Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 Deportivo Camioneros
24 Oct	Excursionistas 4-0 Sportivo Italiano