Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#12.0:0.64-0FT24/10 · Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires1.2:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36PINX5.25B365210.71XBMargin at best1.9%Books9Markets72Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.35	4.60	9.00	6.9%
Betano	1.36	4.20	8.50	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.36	4.10	7.94	10.5%
Bet365	1.25	5.25	8.50	10.8%
Betfair	1.30	4.50	8.50	10.9%
1xBet	1.26	4.50	10.7	10.9%
William Hill	1.30	4.20	9.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.30	4.40	8.20	11.8%
BetVictor	1.25	3.75	8.00	19.2%
Best of all books	1.36	5.25	10.7	1.9%
Average	1.30	4.39	8.76	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ExcursionistasSportivo Italiano

Last 10#1Table position#41.98Points per game1.6810Form pts · last 5112.0Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 50.463Attack rating3840Defence rating6048Form rating5271H2H rating2963Goals model3760Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 02:01 UTC

Excursionistas

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	San Martín Burzaco	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Villa San Carlos	4-0	W
3 Oct	A	Liniers	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Real Pilar	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	UAI Urquiza	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Villa Dalmine	3-0	W
7 Sep	H	Ituzaingó	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Arsenal Sarandi	0-3	L
25 Aug	H	Argentino de Merlo	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Talleres Remedios	2-1	W

Sportivo Italiano

5W 2D 3L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

17 Oct	H	Arsenal Sarandi	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Argentino de Merlo	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Talleres Remedios	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Deportivo Laferrere	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Brown DE Adrogue	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Deportivo Armenio	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Flandria	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Argentino Quilmes	2-0	W
25 Aug	H	Defensores Unidos	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	0-1	L

Head to head

6Excursionistas wins

6draws

9Sportivo Italiano wins

21 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Excursionistas

13 Jun 2026Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano0-1Excursionistas
2 Aug 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano2-1Excursionistas
15 Mar 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas2-0Sportivo Italiano
10 Jul 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas1-1Sportivo Italiano
20 Feb 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Sportivo Italiano0-3Excursionistas
4 Jul 2023Primera C	Primera C	Excursionistas1-1Sportivo Italiano
26 Feb 2023Primera C	Primera C	Sportivo Italiano0-0Excursionistas
20 Jun 2022Primera C	Primera C	Sportivo Italiano2-0Excursionistas
12 Feb 2022Primera C	Primera C	Excursionistas1-1Sportivo Italiano
29 Aug 2021Primera C	Primera C	Sportivo Italiano3-0Excursionistas

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 25 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Excursionistas sit 1st with 81 points from 41 games, while Sportivo Italiano are 4th with 69 points from 41.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	41	24	9	8	68:31	+37	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	41	21	13	7	55:27	+28	76
3	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46:26	+20	71
4	Sportivo Italiano	41	19	12	10	47:33	+14	69
5	Villa Dalmine	41	18	14	9	40:27	+13	68
6	Deportivo Camioneros	41	18	13	10	48:34	+14	67
7	Real Pilar	41	18	11	12	44:40	+4	65
8	Deportivo Armenio	41	17	11	13	42:39	+3	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50:52	-2	58
10	Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39:35	+4	57
11	San Martín Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41:46	-5	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40:43	-3	50
13	Flandria	41	13	9	19	39:49	-10	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	11	15	15	39:54	-15	48
15	Argentino de Merlo	41	12	11	18	37:44	-7	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33:40	-7	47
17	Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41:49	-8	47
18	Liniers	41	10	15	16	34:43	-9	45
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25:37	-12	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33:40	-7	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23:36	-13	39
22	Ituzaingó	41	1	14	26	28:67	-39	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.25X19%4.6929%10.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.24 → 1.30 +4.8%X4.77 → 4.39 -8.0%211.0 → 8.76 -20.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.19	1.62	7.4%
1xBet	2.03	1.70	8.1%
Betano	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.19	1.85	-0.3%
Average	2.04	1.66	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.70	1.41	8.0%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
Betano	2.52	1.44	9.1%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.78	1.36	9.5%
BetVictor	2.30	1.30	20.4%
Best of all books	2.78	1.45	4.9%
Average	2.59	1.40	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Excursionistas 45%Draw 45%Sportivo Italiano 10%

The statistical model rated Excursionistas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Italiano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 4.69 | 10.39, which imply roughly 80% for a Excursionistas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Excursionistas are 1st (81 pts, 68-31 goals), Sportivo Italiano 4th (69 pts, 47-33).

Over their last five matches, Excursionistas averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Sportivo Italiano averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Excursionistas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.30	4.39	8.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.10	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	5.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.59	1.40

1st half

1	X	2
1.77	2.23	9.07

2nd half

1	X	2
1.62	2.65	9.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.89	21.6	75.6
HT X	3.70	6.05	17.2
HT 2	27.8	23.0	16.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.29	9.15	4.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.62
1.5	1.32	2.92
2.5	2.04	1.66
3.5	3.48	1.23
4.5	6.44	1.06
5.5	10.4	1.10
6.5	8.70	1.13
7.5	21.0	–

19 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.05	6.68
1.25	1.25	3.47
1.75	1.44	2.37
2	1.54	2.16
2.25	1.84	1.77
2.75	2.02	2.30
3	2.81	1.33
3.25	2.33	2.29
3.75	3.14	1.83
4	6.15	1.07
4.25	4.55	1.52
4.75	5.26	1.34
5	2.28	1.50
5.25	2.53	1.42
5.75	3.20	1.26
6	3.96	1.17
6.25	4.25	1.15
7	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.69	1.39
-2	2.76	1.35
-1.75	2.10	1.62
-1.5	1.96	1.72
-1.25	1.65	2.06
-1	1.47	2.39

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.10	1.06
-4	5.45	1.08
-3.75	6.77	1.13
-3.5	7.02	1.07
-3.25	5.48	1.14
-3	5.17	1.16
-2.75	3.71	1.26
-2.5	3.50	1.26
-0.75	1.32	2.90
-0.5	1.28	3.05
-0.25	1.15	4.54
0	1.05	6.95
+0.25	1.05	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	2.02	1.78

Next Primera B Metropolitana matches

26 Oct

UAI Urquiza – Villa San Carlos

All Primera B Metropolitana fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B Metropolitana results

25 Oct	Talleres Remedios 4-0 Dock Sud
24 Oct	Real Pilar 2-1 Liniers
24 Oct	Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Argentino Quilmes
24 Oct	Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 Comunicaciones
24 Oct	Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 Deportivo Camioneros
24 Oct	Villa Dalmine 1-0 San Martín Burzaco