Førde vs Djerv• 3. Division - Girone 3, Norway

#82.0:3.81-3FT17/103.4:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.40BVCX4.91PIN21.53WHMargin at best8.5%Books5Markets54Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L55.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.40	4.60	1.53	9.8%
1xBet	4.36	4.80	1.49	10.9%
William Hill	4.20	4.40	1.53	11.9%
Marathonbet	4.20	4.80	1.48	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.83	4.91	1.51	12.7%
Best of all books	4.40	4.91	1.53	8.5%
Average	4.20	4.70	1.51	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FørdeDjerv

Last 10#8Table position#11.29Points per game2.214Form pts · last 5152.0Goals for · last 53.43.8Goals against · last 51.237Attack rating6324Defence rating7621Form rating7950H2H rating5044Goals model5639Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 09:10 UTC

Førde

3W 2D 5L · goals 20:29 · per match 2.0 for, 2.9 against

10 Oct	A	Austevoll	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Fyllingsdalen	6-2	W
26 Sep	A	Åsane II	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Fana	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Aalesund	3-4	L
12 Sep	A	Vard	0-9	L
5 Sep	A	Os	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Stord	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Floro	4-2	W
15 Aug	A	Gneist	2-1	W

Djerv

9W 0D 1L · goals 29:13 · per match 2.9 for, 1.3 against

12 Oct	H	Brann II	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Gneist	5-0	W
26 Sep	H	Sogndal II	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Stord	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Austevoll	5-2	W
8 Sep	H	Haugesund	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Askøy	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Varegg	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Nord	4-0	W
15 Aug	H	Fyllingsdalen	3-0	W

Head to head

1Førde wins

1draws

1Djerv wins

3 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Førde

1 May 20263. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Djerv3-2Førde
20 Oct 20243. Division - Girone 1	3. Division - Girone 1	Djerv1-1Førde
11 May 20243. Division - Girone 1	3. Division - Girone 1	Førde2-0Djerv

3. Division - Girone 3 tableGroup Cupdated 17 Oct 14:31 UTC

In the 3. Division - Girone 3 table, Førde sit 8th with 31 points from 24 games, while Djerv are 1st with 53 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Djerv	24	16	5	3	62:31	+31	53
2	Os	23	17	1	5	76:39	+37	52
3	Askøy	23	12	7	4	40:29	+11	43
4	Vard	23	12	5	6	62:42	+20	41
5	Fana	23	13	2	8	64:45	+19	41
6	Brann II	23	10	6	7	54:43	+11	36
7	Austevoll	23	10	6	7	45:51	-6	36
8	Førde	24	9	4	11	44:54	-10	31
9	Sogndal II	23	9	3	11	61:49	+12	30
10	Stord	23	5	9	9	44:61	-17	24
11	Varegg	23	6	5	12	37:46	-9	23
12	Åsane II	23	4	7	12	39:57	-18	19
13	Gneist	23	5	3	15	39:67	-28	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	23	1	3	19	19:72	-53	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.20X19%4.70259%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.18	3.90	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.18	3.90	10.4%
Best of all books	1.18	3.90	10.4%
Average	1.18	3.90	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.30	3.20	8.2%
BetVictor	1.25	3.50	8.6%
1xBet	1.28	3.23	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.14	10.0%
Best of all books	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Average	1.28	3.27	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Førde 10%Draw 45%Djerv 45%

The statistical model rated Førde at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Djerv at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.20 | 4.70 | 1.51, which imply roughly 21.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division - Girone 3 table: Førde are 8th (31 pts, 44-54 goals), Djerv 1st (53 pts, 62-31).

Over their last five matches, Førde averaged 2 goals scored and 3.8 conceded per game; Djerv averaged 3.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Djerv and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.20	4.70	1.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.27	1.15	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
3.60	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.28	3.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.96	2.92	1.90

2nd half

1	X	2
4.00	3.22	1.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.90	15.5	15.0
HT X	11.7	10.2	5.20
HT 2	27.0	14.7	2.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.43	51.0	1.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	26.0
1.5	1.01	8.30
2.5	1.18	3.90
3.5	1.56	2.22
4.5	2.22	1.54
5.5	3.50	1.22

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.02	7.88
2	1.03	7.50
2.25	1.10	5.05
2.75	1.21	3.58
3	1.26	3.20
3.25	1.41	2.57
3.75	1.67	2.02
4	1.83	1.82
4.25	2.02	1.66
4.75	2.51	1.42
5	2.97	1.30
5.25	3.28	1.25
6	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.35	1.50
+0.75	2.11	1.61
+1	1.89	1.79
+1.25	1.68	1.99
+1.5	1.55	2.20
+1.75	1.42	2.51

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.02
-1	7.10	1.04
-0.75	5.00	1.10
-0.25	3.68	1.20
0	3.34	1.24
+0.25	2.69	1.37
+2	1.28	3.05
+2.25	1.25	3.28
+2.5	1.21	3.58
+2.75	1.14	4.39
+3	1.07	5.80
+3.5	1.05	6.40

Latest 3. Division - Girone 3 results

17 Oct	Fana 4-1 Fyllingsdalen
17 Oct	Stord 5-2 Gneist
12 Oct	Djerv 1-0 Brann II
5 Oct	Fana 5-2 Åsane II
3 Oct	Førde 6-2 Fyllingsdalen
3 Oct	Gneist 0-5 Djerv