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Lillestrom vs Aalesund• Eliteserien, Norway

#51.6:1.416:00Tomorrow · Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom2.4:2.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX4.46PIN23.80B365Margin at best3.4%Books10Markets73Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.824.363.744.6%
Pinnacle1.824.483.634.8%
Dafabet1.854.203.655.3%
Bet3651.804.203.805.7%
Betfair1.804.203.706.4%
Betano1.804.203.607.1%
Marathonbet1.774.253.647.5%
William Hill1.804.003.509.1%
BetVictor1.754.103.609.3%
SBO1.793.633.2014.7%
Best of all books1.854.483.802.7%
Average1.804.163.617.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LillestromAalesund
Last 10#5Table position#141.68Points per game0.969Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 52.41.4Goals against · last 52.440Attack rating6063Defence rating3763Form rating3885H2H rating1556Goals model4463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 20:50 UTC

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

5 NovHPlzen0-1L
1 NovAStart1-0W
28 OctHSogndal2-1W
25 OctHBrann3-2W
22 OctHReal Sociedad0-6L
18 OctASandefjord2-0W
15 OctASparta Praha1-1D
11 OctHMolde2-2D
1 OctABærum5-1W
20 SepAViking0-3L

Aalesund

5W 0D 5L · goals 22:19 · per match 2.2 for, 1.9 against

31 OctHSandefjord3-4L
28 OctAKristiansund BK2-0W
25 OctASarpsborg 08 FF1-2L
17 OctAKristiansund BK4-1W
11 OctHSarpsborg 08 FF2-4L
19 SepAMolde2-1W
16 SepAFørde4-3W
13 SepAKFUM Oslo1-2L
4 SepHStart2-0W
30 AugAViking1-2L

Head to head

6Lillestrom wins
3draws
3Aalesund wins

12 meetings · goals 26:14 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Lillestrom

15 Mar 2026EliteserienEliteserienAalesund1-3Lillestrom
10 Aug 20251. Division1. DivisionLillestrom5-1Aalesund
31 Mar 20251. Division1. DivisionAalesund2-2Lillestrom
3 Sep 2023EliteserienEliteserienAalesund1-1Lillestrom
19 Jul 2023EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom5-1Aalesund
6 Nov 2022EliteserienEliteserienAalesund2-1Lillestrom
29 Jun 2022NM CupenNM CupenLillestrom1-0Aalesund
28 Apr 2022EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom2-0Aalesund
30 Oct 2017EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom4-0Aalesund
17 Apr 2017EliteserienEliteserienAalesund3-1Lillestrom

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Lillestrom sit 5th with 42 points from 25 games, while Aalesund are 14th with 24 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Viking25192464:26+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859
3Molde25134859:39+2043
4Rosenborg25134849:31+1843
5Lillestrom25133936:33+342
6Tromso25117743:38+540
7Brann251021345:42+332
8Valerenga25951143:46-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731
10KFUM Oslo25871032:41-931
11Fredrikstad25851229:44-1529
12Sandefjord25761226:34-827
13Ham-Kam25761235:53-1827
14Aalesund25591143:57-1424
15Kristiansund BK25651429:51-2223
16Start25541626:55-2919

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.80X22%4.17226%3.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:016 Nov 21:101 1.80X 4.172 3.61
11.76 → 1.80 +2.3%X4.18 → 4.17 -0.2%23.68 → 3.61 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.333.414.5%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Betfair1.333.256.0%
Betano1.372.956.9%
1xBet1.323.187.2%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
Marathonbet1.283.0810.6%
Best of all books1.373.412.3%
Average1.323.216.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Betano1.392.807.7%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
1xBet1.333.048.1%
Marathonbet1.332.988.7%
BetVictor1.303.109.2%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.352.957.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lillestrom 45%Draw 45%Aalesund 10%

The statistical model rates Lillestrom at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aalesund at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 4.17 | 3.61, which imply roughly 55.6% for a Lillestrom win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Lillestrom are 5th (42 pts, 36-33 goals), Aalesund 14th (24 pts, 43-57).

Over their last five matches, Lillestrom averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Aalesund averaged 2.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lillestrom or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.804.163.61

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.971.20

Draw no bet

12
1.392.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.352.95

1st half

1X2
2.212.633.68

2nd half

1X2
2.052.993.51

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6813.625.7
HT X5.357.759.23
HT 216.714.05.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6028.52.24

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.3
1.51.086.92
2.51.323.21
3.51.851.91
4.52.861.39
5.54.971.15
6.58.751.05
7.513.11.02
8.522.8–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.076.31
21.095.88
2.251.193.97
2.751.362.83
31.482.54
3.251.652.17
3.752.011.76
42.321.57
4.252.551.47
4.753.241.27
54.171.18
5.254.441.15
67.881.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.571.47
-12.301.59
-0.751.981.80
-0.51.782.01
-0.251.582.28
01.402.86
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.11.04
-310.31.01
-2.756.471.08
-2.55.191.13
-2.254.741.15
-24.371.18
-1.753.421.29
-1.52.851.38
+0.251.323.18
+0.51.293.58
+0.751.174.32
+11.096.20
+1.251.106.80
+1.51.066.91
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.134.58
9.51.273.29
10.51.512.39
11.51.801.92
12.52.261.56
13.52.901.34
14.54.001.17
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
10.251.382.62
10.751.502.31
111.712.06
11.251.682.03
11.751.851.81
122.051.75
12.252.081.62
12.752.361.47
13.252.701.36

Next Eliteserien matches

7 NovKristiansund BK – Valerenga
7 NovRosenborg – Start
8 NovTromso – Bodo/Glimt
8 NovHam-Kam – Sarpsborg 08 FF
8 NovSandefjord – Molde
8 NovViking – KFUM Oslo

All Eliteserien fixtures and the table

Latest Eliteserien results

1 NovValerenga 4-0 Tromso
1 NovKFUM Oslo 2-2 Ham-Kam
1 NovStart 0-1 Lillestrom
1 NovSarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 Kristiansund BK
1 NovBrann 3-2 Molde
31 OctAalesund 3-4 Sandefjord