Valerenga vs Tromso• Eliteserien, Norway

#81.2:1.24-0FT01/11 · Intility Arena, Oslo1.8:2.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.521XBX3.85PIN22.73PINMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets75Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 16:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.44	3.88	2.74	3.3%
1xBet	2.52	3.80	2.59	4.6%
Dafabet	2.42	3.80	2.70	4.7%
Betfair	2.40	3.75	2.60	6.8%
Betano	2.40	3.65	2.62	7.2%
Bet365	2.35	3.75	2.62	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.70	2.52	7.5%
BetVictor	2.38	3.60	2.55	9.0%
William Hill	2.40	3.50	2.50	10.2%
SBO	2.43	3.49	2.43	11.0%
Best of all books	2.52	3.88	2.74	2.0%
Average	2.42	3.69	2.59	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValerengaTromso

Last 10#8Table position#61.28Points per game1.609Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 52.440Attack rating6067Defence rating3358Form rating4240H2H rating6050Goals model5047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:10 UTC

Valerenga

4W 2D 4L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	H	Tromso	4-0	W
28 Oct	A	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-3	L
24 Oct	A	Bodo/Glimt	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Brann	3-1	W
12 Oct	A	KFUM Oslo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Skeid	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lillestrom	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Molde	3-4	L

Tromso

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

1 Nov	A	Valerenga	0-4	L
28 Oct	H	Haugesund	3-2	W
25 Oct	A	Viking	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	KFUM Oslo	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Ham-Kam	3-2	W
16 Sep	A	Alta	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Rosenborg	3-5	L
6 Sep	A	Kristiansund BK	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Sarpsborg 08 FF	0-0	D

Head to head

9Valerenga wins

6draws

6Tromso wins

21 meetings · goals 32:25 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Valerenga

11 Jul 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Tromso4-0Valerenga
4 Oct 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga1-0Tromso
31 May 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Tromso2-1Valerenga
15 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga1-4Tromso
1 May 2024NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Valerenga1-0Tromso
17 Mar 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga3-1Tromso
3 Dec 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga1-1Tromso
9 Jul 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Tromso0-0Valerenga
21 Aug 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga1-0Tromso
12 May 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Tromso1-0Valerenga

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Valerenga sit 8th with 32 points from 25 games, while Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viking	25	19	2	4	64:26	+38	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	25	19	2	4	61:23	+38	59
3	Molde	25	13	4	8	59:39	+20	43
4	Rosenborg	25	13	4	8	49:31	+18	43
5	Lillestrom	25	13	3	9	36:33	+3	42
6	Tromso	25	11	7	7	43:38	+5	40
7	Brann	25	10	2	13	45:42	+3	32
8	Valerenga	25	9	5	11	43:46	-3	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	25	8	7	10	32:39	-7	31
10	KFUM Oslo	25	8	7	10	32:41	-9	31
11	Fredrikstad	25	8	5	12	29:44	-15	29
12	Sandefjord	25	7	6	12	26:34	-8	27
13	Ham-Kam	25	7	6	12	35:53	-18	27
14	Aalesund	25	5	9	11	43:57	-14	24
15	Kristiansund BK	25	6	5	14	29:51	-22	23
16	Start	25	5	4	16	26:55	-29	19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.31X25%3.78235%2.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.44 → 2.43 -0.4%X3.66 → 3.68 +0.5%22.53 → 2.58 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.51	2.64	4.1%
Betano	1.53	2.47	5.8%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.51	2.46	6.9%
BetVictor	1.47	2.50	8.0%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.64	3.2%
Average	1.49	2.50	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.66	8.0%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Betano	1.44	2.57	8.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.61	8.7%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.42	2.67	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valerenga 10%Draw 45%Tromso 45%

The statistical model rated Valerenga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tromso at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.69, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Valerenga are 8th (32 pts, 43-46 goals), Tromso 6th (40 pts, 43-38).

Over their last five matches, Valerenga averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Tromso averaged 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tromso.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Valerenga

4-4-2

Coach: J. Moesgaard

Goalkeeper

1O. Hedvall

Defence

3H. Sjåtil
4A. Kiil Olsen
55S. Jarl
26D. Gjengaar

Midfield

24P. Strand
29F. Ambina
11G. Zahid
77L. Haren

Attack

17M. Grundetjern
90O. Saeter

Substitutes (9)

28M. Westergaard
5K. Tshiembe
9G. Rajkovic
6V. Hedenstad
15O. Holm
13S. Lønning
37I. Näsberg
7H. Nielsen
49A. Jatta

Tromso

5-3-2

Coach: J. Vik

Goalkeeper

1J. Haugaard

Defence

37S. Innvær
4V. Skjærvik
25C. Øyvann
30I. Vådebu
29A. Warneryd

Midfield

5D. Edvardsson
11R. Jenssen
70M. Bjørlo

Attack

7L. Olden Larsen
9D. Braut

Substitutes (8)

21L. Hien
22H. Larsen
12O. Lauvli
27M. Mikkelsen
15V. Erlien
17I. Dahlqvist
24V. Osuji
8J. Grundt

Match Statistics

ValerengaTromso

2.35Expected Goals0.33

781Passes accurate292

12Shots insidebox2

6Shots outsidebox1

2Blocked Shots0

10Free Kicks11

9Shots on Goal0

7Shots off Goal3

2Offsides0

838Total passes358

18Total Shots3

2Yellow Cards0

3Corner Kicks2

0Goalkeeper Saves5

0Red Cards2

12Fouls11

70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.69	2.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.52	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.40	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
2.66	2.72	2.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.82	13.0	22.4
HT X	6.28	6.39	6.63
HT 2	22.0	13.2	4.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	19.1	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.4
1.5	1.14	5.25
2.5	1.49	2.50
3.5	2.23	1.62
4.5	3.77	1.24
5.5	7.02	1.08
6.5	11.5	1.03
7.5	17.9	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.75
1.75	1.14	4.54
2	1.18	4.11
2.25	1.33	2.96
2.75	1.60	2.24
3	1.78	1.99
3.25	2.03	1.76
3.75	2.55	1.48
4	3.18	1.31
4.25	3.39	1.26
4.75	4.61	1.15
5	6.20	1.08
5.25	6.46	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.81	1.40
-0.5	2.37	1.56
-0.25	2.12	1.69
0	1.82	1.97
+0.25	1.62	2.24
+0.5	1.49	2.57

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.04
-2	8.40	1.02
-1.75	5.75	1.11
-1.5	4.48	1.17
-1.25	4.07	1.20
-1	3.66	1.26
+0.75	1.36	3.01
+1	1.22	4.02
+1.25	1.18	4.30
+1.5	1.15	4.75
+1.75	1.09	6.05
+2	1.02	8.70
+2.5	1.04	10.6

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.32
7.5	1.12	4.46
8.5	1.27	3.17
9.5	1.49	2.40
10.5	1.85	1.90
11.5	2.28	1.54
12.5	2.99	1.30
13.5	3.83	1.17
14.5	4.52	1.09
15.5	6.90	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.15
8	1.15	3.72
9	1.33	2.78
9.25	1.37	2.66
9.75	1.52	2.30
10	1.62	2.17
10.25	1.72	2.05
10.75	1.90	1.80
11	2.04	1.70
11.25	2.14	1.60
11.75	2.44	1.45
12	2.62	1.37
12.25	2.83	1.33
13	3.32	1.20
14	4.35	1.10
15	5.35	1.05

Next Eliteserien matches

7 Nov	Kristiansund BK – Valerenga
7 Nov	Rosenborg – Start
8 Nov	Tromso – Bodo/Glimt
8 Nov	Ham-Kam – Sarpsborg 08 FF
8 Nov	Sandefjord – Molde
8 Nov	Viking – KFUM Oslo

All Eliteserien fixtures and the table

Latest Eliteserien results

1 Nov	KFUM Oslo 2-2 Ham-Kam
1 Nov	Start 0-1 Lillestrom
1 Nov	Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 Kristiansund BK
1 Nov	Brann 3-2 Molde
31 Oct	Aalesund 3-4 Sandefjord
31 Oct	Fredrikstad 0-3 Rosenborg