Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence• USL League One, USA

#141.2:2.44-1FT24/10 · Fitzpatrick Stadium2.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60BFRX4.15PIN21.86DAFMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets53Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.60	4.10	1.82	7.1%
Pinnacle	3.60	4.15	1.74	9.3%
Betano	3.50	3.95	1.80	9.4%
Betfair	3.60	4.20	1.70	10.4%
1xBet	3.52	4.00	1.74	10.9%
Bet365	3.40	4.10	1.73	11.6%
Marathonbet	3.44	4.00	1.72	12.2%
William Hill	3.40	3.75	1.75	13.2%
BetVictor	3.20	3.60	1.65	19.6%
Best of all books	3.60	4.20	1.82	6.5%
Average	3.47	3.98	1.74	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Portland Hearts of PineCharlotte Independence

Last 10#14Table position#11.00Points per game2.132Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 52.42.4Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6725Defence rating7513Form rating8750H2H rating5034Goals model6635Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 18:31 UTC

Portland Hearts of Pine

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Forward Madison	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Boise	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Spokane Velocity	3-3	D
26 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-4	L
19 Sep	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Alta	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Westchester SC	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Charlotte Independence	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Fort Wayne	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Richmond Kickers	1-1	D

Charlotte Independence

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:13 · per match 2.6 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Greenville Triumph	3-0	W
10 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Boise	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Westchester SC	5-4	W
6 Sep	A	Union Omaha	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Alta	5-0	W

Head to head

1Portland Hearts of Pine wins

1draws

1Charlotte Independence wins

3 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Portland Hearts of Pine

2 Sep 2026USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence3-2Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Aug 2025USL League One	USL League One	Portland Hearts of Pine4-2Charlotte Independence
19 Jul 2025USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence1-1Portland Hearts of Pine

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 25 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the USL League One table, Portland Hearts of Pine sit 14th with 31 points from 31 games, while Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	31	20	6	5	73:42	+31	66
2	Union Omaha	31	19	4	8	54:34	+20	61
3	Forward Madison	31	16	7	8	54:30	+24	55
4	Boise	31	16	7	8	49:41	+8	55
5	Spokane Velocity	31	16	6	9	50:43	+7	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	52:36	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	51:45	+6	47
8	Fort Wayne	31	12	9	10	47:40	+7	45
9	Naples	31	13	4	14	38:46	-8	43
10	Westchester SC	31	11	6	14	53:49	+4	39
11	Sarasota Paradise	31	11	6	14	47:49	-2	39
12	Corpus Christi	31	9	9	13	34:49	-15	36
13	Alta	31	8	9	14	38:46	-8	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	31	7	10	14	44:57	-13	31
15	Greenville Triumph	31	7	6	18	36:60	-24	27
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40:66	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	31	7	5	19	37:64	-27	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.46X22%4.01251%1.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.75 → 3.46 -7.7%X4.10 → 3.93 -4.1%21.65 → 1.75 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betano	1.35	2.87	8.9%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.35	3.25	4.8%
Average	1.31	2.91	10.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Betano	1.36	2.82	9.0%
1xBet	1.33	2.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.88	9.9%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.32	2.83	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portland Hearts of Pine 10%Draw 45%Charlotte Independence 45%

The statistical model rated Portland Hearts of Pine at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Charlotte Independence at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.46 | 4.01 | 1.75, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th (31 pts, 44-57 goals), Charlotte Independence 1st (66 pts, 73-42).

Over their last five matches, Portland Hearts of Pine averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Charlotte Independence averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Charlotte Independence.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.47	3.98	1.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.90	1.24	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
2.62	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	2.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.62	2.56	2.17

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.93	2.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.70	14.0	17.3
HT X	8.93	7.65	5.23
HT 2	26.3	13.9	2.61

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.31	24.5	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.0
1.5	1.07	5.50
2.5	1.31	2.91
3.5	1.80	1.84
4.5	2.67	1.34
5.5	4.28	1.13

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.07	5.85
2	1.08	5.45
2.25	1.19	3.78
2.75	1.37	2.78
3	1.43	2.39
3.25	1.60	2.05
3.75	1.94	1.67
4	2.20	1.50
4.25	2.53	1.43
4.75	3.21	1.26
5	4.10	1.16
5.25	4.40	1.14
6	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.17	1.52
+0.5	1.92	1.69
+0.75	1.76	1.88
+1	1.54	2.14
+1.25	1.44	2.38
+1.5	1.38	2.72

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.30	1.02
-1.5	6.45	1.05
-1.25	6.11	1.06
-1	5.75	1.07
-0.75	4.16	1.16
-0.25	2.98	1.31
0	2.75	1.38
+1.75	1.25	3.28
+2	1.15	4.25
+2.25	1.19	4.20
+2.5	1.11	4.90
+3	1.01	8.40
+3.5	1.01	9.00

Latest USL League One results

25 Oct	Alta 2-2 Corpus Christi
24 Oct	Fort Wayne 0-2 Boise
24 Oct	Sarasota Paradise 2-2 Westchester SC
24 Oct	Naples 1-0 Spokane Velocity
24 Oct	Richmond Kickers 0-1 Greenville Triumph
24 Oct	Forward Madison 0-0 Union Omaha