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Boca Juniors vs River Plate• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina

2.0:0.61-0FT01/11 · Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires1.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27MARX3.25BTN23.67PINMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets78Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.273.253.602.6%
Pinnacle2.233.223.673.1%
Marathonbet2.273.223.563.2%
Bet3652.203.203.505.3%
1xBet2.223.163.495.3%
Dafabet2.213.103.406.9%
BetVictor2.153.203.407.2%
Betfair2.103.003.608.7%
William Hill2.202.903.3010.2%
SBO2.163.013.1811.0%
Best of all books2.273.253.672.1%
Average2.203.133.476.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
Last 1010Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 50.659Attack rating4150Defence rating5057Form rating4360H2H rating4052Goals model4856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:10 UTC

Boca Juniors

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

25 OctAIndependiente1-0W
21 OctAVasco DA Gama3-1W
17 OctHTalleres Cordoba2-1W
14 OctHVasco DA Gama0-1L
9 OctAInstituto Cordoba2-2D
3 OctHUnion Santa Fe3-0W
27 SepARacing Club3-2W
20 SepASan Lorenzo2-0W
16 SepASao Paulo1-1D
12 SepHCentral Cordoba de Santiago3-1W

River Plate

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

25 OctHRacing Club1-0W
18 OctABelgrano Cordoba3-0W
14 OctASarmiento Junin1-1D
11 OctHEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1-0W
19 SepHHuracan1-2L
12 SepAAtletico Tucuman2-1W
6 SepHIndepend. Rivadavia3-1W
30 AugABanfield3-2W
27 AugHSanta Fe1-1D
23 AugHVelez Sarsfield2-2D

Head to head

10Boca Juniors wins
6draws
8River Plate wins

24 meetings · goals 26:25 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Boca Juniors

19 Apr 2026Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate0-1Boca Juniors
9 Nov 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors2-0River Plate
27 Apr 2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate2-1Boca Juniors
21 Sep 2024Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors0-1River Plate
21 Apr 2024Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCopa de la Liga ProfesionalRiver Plate2-3Boca Juniors
25 Feb 2024Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCopa de la Liga ProfesionalRiver Plate1-1Boca Juniors
1 Oct 2023Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCopa de la Liga ProfesionalBoca Juniors0-2River Plate
7 May 2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate1-0Boca Juniors
11 Sep 2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaBoca Juniors1-0River Plate
20 Mar 2022Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional ArgentinaRiver Plate0-1Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 2 Nov 04:50 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434
2River Plate1692522:12+1029
3Argentinos JRS1685317:13+429
4Rosario Central1684420:16+428
5Belgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026
7Huracan1657417:13+422
8Racing Club1656517:15+221
9Barracas Central1656515:15021
10Tigre1648418:15+320
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
12Banfield1653817:19-218
13Atletico Tucuman1635815:20-514
14Aldosivi160886:19-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X30%3.11226%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 12:201 2.20X 3.132 3.47
12.22 → 2.20 -0.9%X3.05 → 3.13 +2.6%23.34 → 3.47 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.311.663.5%
Betano2.321.653.7%
Marathonbet2.381.604.5%
1xBet2.361.595.3%
Betfair2.301.606.0%
Bet3652.401.537.0%
BetVictor2.171.599.0%
Best of all books2.401.661.9%
Average2.321.605.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Betano1.951.806.8%
William Hill1.911.837.0%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
1xBet1.981.757.6%
Marathonbet1.981.748.0%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
Best of all books2.001.873.5%
Average1.951.797.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Boca Juniors 45%Draw 45%River Plate 10%

The statistical model rated Boca Juniors at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and River Plate at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.11 | 3.59, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Boca Juniors win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Boca Juniors averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; River Plate averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Boca Juniors

4-3-1-2

Coach: R. Arruabarrena

River Plate

Coach: Leonardo Ponzio

Goalkeeper

  • 41S. Beltrán

Defence

  • 29G. Montiel
  • 28L. Martínez
  • 30N. Otamendi
  • 21M. Acuña

Midfield

  • 50T. Andrada
  • 44L. Silva
  • 26T. Galván
  • 23T. Almada

Attack

  • 10Á. Correa
  • 18L. Beltrán
Substitutes (10)
  • 25L. Pereyra
  • 3F. Ortega
  • 24J. Meza
  • 43V. Lucero
  • 20G. González
  • 27Santiago Joaquín Espíndola
  • 8M. Arambarri
  • 19R. Borré
  • 33E. Centurión
  • 9S. Driussi

Match Statistics

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
1.23Expected Goals0.13
440Passes accurate144
10Shots insidebox1
6Shots outsidebox2
2Blocked Shots0
8Free Kicks17
6Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal3
1Offsides2
514Total passes216
16Total Shots3
7Yellow Cards2
10Corner Kicks2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
0Red Cards2
17Fouls8
71%Ball Possession29%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.203.133.47

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.631.34

Draw no bet

12
1.552.37

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.951.79

1st half

1X2
2.911.984.09

2nd half

1X2
2.622.243.68

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5914.438.4
HT X5.144.377.24
HT 229.214.65.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.866.802.39

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.087.25
1.51.422.78
2.52.321.60
3.54.341.20
4.58.781.04
5.517.81.02
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.086.10
11.105.54
1.251.273.40
1.751.532.43
21.742.09
2.252.031.77
2.752.701.45
33.591.28
3.253.881.23
3.755.391.12
47.681.04
4.257.901.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.611.46
-0.52.201.67
-0.251.881.92
01.552.43
+0.251.402.88
+0.51.323.40
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.021.02
-28.301.02
-1.755.831.11
-1.54.451.17
-1.253.971.23
-13.531.28
+0.751.204.42
+11.096.77
+1.251.077.12
+1.51.057.97
+1.751.019.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.51.303.35
7.51.712.13
8.51.761.97
9.52.071.68
10.53.001.36

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.5
4.51.037.73
5.51.105.08
6.51.243.36
7.51.512.40
8.51.891.85
9.52.431.49
10.53.261.26
11.54.341.15
12.55.791.08
13.58.501.05
14.510.81.03
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.75
61.124.07
6.251.173.95
6.751.273.18
71.312.90
7.251.402.63
7.751.562.24
81.762.01
8.251.801.95
8.752.001.69
92.171.62
9.252.301.49
102.831.32
113.701.15
124.921.07

Next Liga Profesional Argentina matches

2 NovDefensa Y Justicia – Independiente
2 NovPlatense – Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 NovAtletico Tucuman – Argentinos JRS
3 NovIndepend. Rivadavia – Banfield

All Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Profesional Argentina results

1 NovLanus 1-1 Gimnasia M.
1 NovBelgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas Central
1 NovNewells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe
1 NovEstudiantes L.P. 3-3 Instituto Cordoba
31 OctVelez Sarsfield 2-2 San Lorenzo
31 OctDeportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres Cordoba