Velez Sarsfield vs
San Lorenzo• Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.15 | 4.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.29 | 4.32 | 5.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.18 | 4.23 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.50 | 5.8% |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.15 | 4.20 | 6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.12 | 4.15 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 9.6% |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.82 | 3.55 | 14.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 3.29 | 4.50 | 2.6% |
| Average | 1.96 | 3.13 | 4.12 | 7.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:02 UTC
Velez Sarsfield
4W 5D 1L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against
| 26 Oct | A | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 5-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Gimnasia M. | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lanus | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Oct | H | Platense | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Sep | H | Tigre | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Newells Old Boys | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Estudiantes L.P. | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | H | Boca Juniors | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | River Plate | 2-2 | D |
San Lorenzo
4W 3D 3L · goals 6:8 · per match 0.6 for, 0.8 against
| 24 Oct | H | Newells Old Boys | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Estudiantes L.P. | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Deportivo Riestra | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Defensa Y Justicia | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Boca Juniors | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Independiente | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Talleres Cordoba | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Sep | A | Instituto Cordoba | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Union Santa Fe | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Velez Sarsfield
| 20 Apr 2026Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo0-0Velez Sarsfield |
| 7 Aug 2025Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo1-0Velez Sarsfield |
| 8 Feb 2025Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | Velez Sarsfield0-0San Lorenzo |
| 14 Sep 2024Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo0-1Velez Sarsfield |
| 7 Aug 2024Copa Argentina | Copa Argentina | San Lorenzo1-3Velez Sarsfield |
| 29 Apr 2023Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | Velez Sarsfield0-0San Lorenzo |
| 8 Oct 2022Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo1-0Velez Sarsfield |
| 7 Nov 2021Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | Velez Sarsfield2-1San Lorenzo |
| 9 Feb 2020Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | San Lorenzo1-0Velez Sarsfield |
| 13 Nov 2018Liga Profesional Argentina | Liga Profesional Argentina | Velez Sarsfield0-0San Lorenzo |
Liga Profesional Argentina tableApertura - Group Bupdated 30 Oct 02:20 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 1.58 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 2.42 | 1.57 | 5.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 1.53 | 5.4% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 1.50 | 5.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.31 | 1.52 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 1.46 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.55 | 1.58 | 2.5% |
| Average | 2.42 | 1.53 | 6.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.20 | 1.65 | 6.1% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.70 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 1.64 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 1.62 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.70 | 4.3% |
| Average | 2.11 | 1.66 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Velez Sarsfield at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and San Lorenzo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.13, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Velez Sarsfield win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Velez Sarsfield averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; San Lorenzo averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 3.13 | 4.12 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.37 | 2.89 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.11 | 1.66 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.61 | 1.95 | 4.79 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.37 | 2.19 | 4.33 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.12 | 15.0 | 46.9 |
| HT X | 4.62 | 4.35 | 8.36 |
| HT 2 | 29.8 | 15.3 | 6.96 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 6.48 | 2.70 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.96 |
| 1.5 | 1.46 | 2.60 |
| 2.5 | 2.42 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 4.72 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 10.1 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 18.8 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 50.5 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1 | 1.10 | 5.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.29 | 3.21 |
| 1.75 | 1.60 | 2.26 |
| 2 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 2.75 | 2.90 | 1.33 |
| 3 | 4.00 | 1.19 |
| 3.25 | 4.27 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 4 | 9.40 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.33 | 1.28 |
| -1 | 2.93 | 1.37 |
| -0.75 | 2.24 | 1.59 |
| -0.5 | 1.94 | 1.86 |
| -0.25 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| 0 | 1.37 | 2.98 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.77 | 1.02 |
| -2.25 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.63 | 1.03 |
| -1.75 | 4.94 | 1.13 |
| -1.5 | 3.82 | 1.23 |
| +0.25 | 1.27 | 3.46 |
| +0.5 | 1.22 | 4.26 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 5.36 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 10.1 |
| +1.25 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 9.30 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.04 | 9.00 |
| 5.5 | 1.08 | 5.69 |
| 6.5 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 7.5 | 1.40 | 2.66 |
| 8.5 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| 9.5 | 2.19 | 1.59 |
| 10.5 | 2.90 | 1.33 |
| 11.5 | 3.97 | 1.18 |
| 12.5 | 5.21 | 1.10 |
| 13.5 | 6.78 | 1.05 |
| 14.5 | 10.3 | 1.03 |
| 15.5 | 12.0 | 1.02 |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.09 | 4.59 |
| 7 | 1.22 | 3.17 |
| 7.25 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 7.75 | 1.43 | 2.49 |
| 8 | 1.47 | 2.32 |
| 8.25 | 1.59 | 2.12 |
| 8.75 | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| 9 | 1.98 | 1.79 |
| 9.25 | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| 9.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| 10 | 2.47 | 1.42 |
| 10.25 | 2.78 | 1.34 |
| 11 | 3.20 | 1.21 |
| 12 | 4.32 | 1.10 |
| 13 | 5.52 | 1.05 |