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FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew• Major League Soccer, USA

#92.2:2.40-0LiveToday · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati1.8:1.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37PINX4.00B36522.77PINMargin at best3.3%Books5Markets66Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.344.002.813.3%
Bet3652.304.002.754.8%
BetVictor2.304.002.636.5%
Marathonbet2.283.882.647.5%
William Hill2.253.602.6010.7%
Best of all books2.344.002.813.3%
Average2.293.902.696.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
Last 10#9Table position#131.29Points per game1.105Form pts · last 5122.2Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.255Attack rating4533Defence rating6736Form rating6440H2H rating6058Goals model4243Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

FC Cincinnati

2W 4D 4L · goals 15:24 · per match 1.5 for, 2.4 against

14 OctHNew England Revolution2-3L
10 OctAAtlanta United FC3-1W
26 SepACF Montreal1-3L
20 SepAHouston Dynamo2-2D
12 SepHCharlotte3-3D
9 SepAPhiladelphia Union0-5L
30 AugANashville SC0-4L
22 AugHSeattle Sounders1-1D
19 AugHNew York City FC2-1W
15 AugAOrlando City SC1-1D

Columbus Crew

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

14 OctHCharlotte3-1W
10 OctAOrlando City SC2-3L
27 SepHInter Miami2-1W
19 SepACF Montreal2-0W
16 SepHOrlando City SC2-1W
12 SepHNew York Red Bulls0-1L
9 SepADC United1-2L
5 SepHColorado Rapids3-0W
30 AugHNew England Revolution1-3L
27 AugAClub America0-2L

Head to head

6FC Cincinnati wins
6draws
10Columbus Crew wins

22 meetings · goals 26:43 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for FC Cincinnati

25 Jul 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerColumbus Crew2-1FC Cincinnati
8 Nov 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati2-1Columbus Crew
2 Nov 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerColumbus Crew4-0FC Cincinnati
27 Oct 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati1-0Columbus Crew
12 Jul 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati2-4Columbus Crew
17 May 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerColumbus Crew1-1FC Cincinnati
14 Sep 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati0-0Columbus Crew
11 May 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerColumbus Crew1-2FC Cincinnati
2 Dec 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerFC Cincinnati2-3Columbus Crew
20 Aug 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerColumbus Crew3-0FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 18 Oct 05:40 UTC

In the Major League Soccer table, FC Cincinnati sit 9th with 36 points from 28 games, while Columbus Crew are 13th with 32 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC29206363:22+4166
2Inter Miami291410570:50+2052
3New England Revolution291541048:41+749
4Chicago Fire29146952:43+948
5Charlotte30138953:45+847
6Philadelphia Union301371061:48+1346
7Orlando City SC291151354:69-1538
8New York Red Bulls291061339:54-1536
9FC Cincinnati28991060:68-836
10New York City FC29891242:40+233
11Toronto FC297121044:55-1133
12DC United28712936:47-1133
13Columbus Crew29951544:47-332
14Atlanta United FC29861536:48-1230
15CF Montreal29661735:59-2424

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.26X24%3.90234%2.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 13:301 2.30X 3.892 2.68
11.88 → 2.30 +22.3%X4.01 → 3.89 -3.0%23.46 → 2.68 -22.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.373.224.0%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
BetVictor1.303.257.7%
Marathonbet1.312.9210.6%
Best of all books1.373.402.4%
Average1.333.206.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
William Hill1.353.007.4%
BetVictor1.293.258.3%
Marathonbet1.313.088.8%
Best of all books1.353.254.8%
Average1.323.157.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Cincinnati 10%Draw 45%Columbus Crew 45%

The statistical model rates FC Cincinnati at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Columbus Crew at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.90 | 2.73, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Major League Soccer table: FC Cincinnati are 9th (36 pts, 60-68 goals), Columbus Crew 13th (32 pts, 44-47).

Over their last five matches, FC Cincinnati averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Columbus Crew averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Columbus Crew and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Cincinnati

3-4-1-2

Coach: Pat Noonan

Goalkeeper

  • 18R. Celentano

Defence

  • 11S. Gidi
  • 6J. Malatini
  • 15T. Hadebe

Midfield

  • 23D. Douděra
  • 5O. Nwobodo
  • 20P. Bucha
  • 3T. Malacia
  • 10Evander

Attack

  • 16T. Barlow
  • 9K. Denkey
Substitutes (9)
  • 22G. Valenzuela
  • 27B. Anunga
  • 66E. Echenique
  • 4N. Hagglund
  • 99A. Jabbari
  • 13E. Louro
  • 17K. Mboma Dem
  • 29Bryan Josías Ramírez León
  • 24K. Smith

Columbus Crew

3-4-3

Coach: L. Courtois

Goalkeeper

  • 28P. Schulte

Defence

  • 31S. Moreira
  • 25S. Zawadzki
  • 18M. Amundsen

Midfield

  • 2M. Herrera
  • 16T. Habroune
  • 20André Gomes
  • 11B. Lennon

Attack

  • 10Brais Méndez
  • 33G. Tapia
  • 8S. Rodríguez
Substitutes (9)
  • 17S. Bangoura
  • 3E. Bailly
  • 7D. Chambost
  • 26L. Giaccone
  • 1N. Hagen
  • 77Josef Martínez
  • 23M. Farsi
  • 14A. Sejdić
  • 19J. Thiaré

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.293.902.69

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.571.23

Draw no bet

12
1.741.98

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.323.15

1st half

1X2
2.642.603.03

2nd half

1X2
2.462.872.78

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4913.122.0
HT X6.437.257.30
HT 220.013.34.24

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8126.51.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0126.0
1.51.087.24
2.51.333.20
3.51.851.90
4.52.921.37
5.55.091.15
6.510.01.06
7.519.01.02
8.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.075.75
21.095.30
2.251.203.68
2.751.372.66
31.492.50
3.251.662.13
3.752.031.73
42.341.55
4.252.561.40
4.753.281.25
54.151.16
5.254.401.14
67.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.591.46
-0.52.281.61
-0.251.991.78
01.742.05
+0.251.572.33
+0.51.462.65
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.501.08
-2.256.701.08
-26.701.08
-1.754.831.15
-1.53.831.21
-1.253.551.27
-13.241.31
+0.751.333.10
+11.224.06
+1.251.184.30
+1.51.154.58
+1.751.105.95
+21.027.90
+2.51.018.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.472.55
41.692.10
4.52.111.69
52.681.44
5.53.091.33

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.30
7.51.233.42
8.51.462.48
9.51.851.88
10.52.291.54
11.53.051.28
12.54.301.15
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.612.24
102.061.72

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