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San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC• Major League Soccer, USA

1.6:1.01-1FTToday · Avaya Stadium, San Jose3.0:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.74PINX4.06PIN21.92PINMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets65Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.704.071.933.4%
Bet3653.704.001.904.7%
BetVictor3.603.901.876.9%
Marathonbet3.483.781.917.5%
William Hill3.303.601.9110.4%
Best of all books3.704.071.933.4%
Average3.563.871.906.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Jose EarthquakesNashville SC
Last 109Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 50.635Attack rating6538Defence rating6341Form rating5950H2H rating5032Goals model6841Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

San Jose Earthquakes

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

15 OctAReal Salt Lake1-1D
11 OctAColorado Rapids1-1D
27 SepHPortland Timbers3-1W
19 SepHLos Angeles FC2-2D
13 SepHHouston Dynamo1-0W
10 SepASan Diego3-2W
6 SepAAustin1-1D
30 AugAHouston Dynamo0-0D
23 AugHMinnesota United FC1-5L
20 AugALos Angeles Galaxy0-1L

Nashville SC

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:7 · per match 2.4 for, 0.7 against

15 OctHSporting Kansas City4-0W
11 OctAAustin4-1W
27 SepHToronto FC2-0W
20 SepHChicago Fire3-0W
12 SepAInter Miami2-2D
9 SepAToronto FC1-2L
4 SepANew York City FC0-0D
30 AugHFC Cincinnati4-0W
23 AugHColumbus Crew3-2W
19 AugANew York Red Bulls1-0W

Head to head

0San Jose Earthquakes wins
4draws
0Nashville SC wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 0W 4D 0L for San Jose Earthquakes

28 Apr 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNashville SC1-1San Jose Earthquakes
24 Sep 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerSan Jose Earthquakes1-1Nashville SC
12 Jun 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNashville SC0-0San Jose Earthquakes
16 Apr 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerSan Jose Earthquakes2-2Nashville SC

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 18 Oct 05:40 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC29206363:22+4166
2Inter Miami291410570:50+2052
3New England Revolution291541048:41+749
4Chicago Fire29146952:43+948
5Charlotte30138953:45+847
6Philadelphia Union301371061:48+1346
7Orlando City SC291151354:69-1538
8New York Red Bulls291061339:54-1536
9FC Cincinnati28991060:68-836
10New York City FC29891242:40+233
11Toronto FC297121044:55-1133
12DC United28712936:47-1133
13Columbus Crew29951544:47-332
14Atlanta United FC29861536:48-1230
15CF Montreal29661735:59-2424

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.56X24%3.87249%1.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 22:301 3.56X 3.872 1.89
13.30 → 3.56 +7.9%X3.80 → 3.87 +1.8%21.98 → 1.89 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.532.603.8%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.472.557.2%
Marathonbet1.452.4110.5%
Best of all books1.532.603.8%
Average1.502.497.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.442.607.9%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.442.539.0%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.462.548.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Jose Earthquakes 10%Draw 45%Nashville SC 45%

The statistical model rated San Jose Earthquakes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nashville SC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.56 | 3.87 | 1.90, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nashville SC averaged 3 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nashville SC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes

5-3-2

Coach: B. Arena

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Gunn

Defence

  • 17Jack Jasinski
  • 5D. Munie
  • 4D. Romney
  • 18R. Roberts
  • 2J. Ricketts

Midfield

  • 34Beau Leroux
  • 14R. Vieira
  • 23E. Löwen

Attack

  • 19P. Judd
  • 11T. Werner
Substitutes (9)
  • 25M. Floriani
  • 36E. Edwards
  • 87Vítor Costa
  • 20N. Fernandez
  • 6I. Harkes
  • 7O. Bouda
  • 3P. Marie
  • 21N. Buck
  • 9L. Jovanović

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1

Coach: B. Callaghan

Goalkeeper

  • 99B. Schwake

Defence

  • 31A. Najar
  • 4J. Palacios
  • 3M. Woledzi
  • 2D. Lovitz

Midfield

  • 8P. Yazbek
  • 16M. Corcoran
  • 7C. Espinoza
  • 10H. Mukhtar
  • 14S. Mohammed

Attack

  • 9S. Surridge
Substitutes (9)
  • 6B. Acosta
  • 22J. Bauer
  • 41W. Madrigal
  • 5J. Maher
  • 19A. Muyl
  • 1J. Willis
  • 20E. Tagseth
  • 11E. Saad
  • 27R. Baker-Whiting

Match Statistics

San Jose EarthquakesNashville SC
308Passes accurate392
7Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox2
3Blocked Shots1
15Free Kicks11
2Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves1
9Shots off Goal1
391Total passes456
14Total Shots6
3Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks0
0Offsides3
11Fouls15
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%
0.82Expected Goals0.47

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.563.871.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.821.291.24

Draw no bet

12
2.611.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.55

1st half

1X2
3.832.472.38

2nd half

1X2
3.452.722.21

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.5814.820.5
HT X8.506.435.40
HT 228.513.62.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2419.01.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.0
1.51.145.36
2.51.502.49
3.52.231.62
4.53.801.24
5.57.541.07
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
8.551.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.134.55
21.164.10
2.251.312.92
2.751.602.22
31.761.98
3.251.991.76
3.752.471.46
43.021.30
4.253.341.24
4.754.451.14
55.951.07
5.256.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.711.43
+0.252.171.65
+0.51.931.86
+0.751.682.10
+11.482.53
+1.251.382.87
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.801.01
-1.56.781.07
-1.256.651.08
-16.251.09
-0.754.301.17
-0.53.611.29
-0.253.071.34
+1.51.333.19
+1.751.213.89
+21.125.40
+2.251.135.90
+2.51.096.15

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.372.89
3.51.712.05
42.091.74
4.52.371.56
53.341.29

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.193.75
8.51.392.59
9.51.722.00
10.52.111.66
11.52.861.33
12.53.921.18
13.55.551.08
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.552.35
101.891.92
112.531.47

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