Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka• SAFF Championship, World

#11.0:0.014:00Today · Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka2.0:2.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21PINX3.25BFR23.55PINMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets49Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 08:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.10	3.25	3.45	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.21	2.86	3.55	8.4%
Betano	2.18	2.87	3.50	9.3%
BetVictor	2.10	3.20	3.25	9.6%
Betfair	2.05	3.25	3.25	10.3%
1xBet	2.04	3.20	3.30	10.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.00	3.30	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.02	3.20	3.22	11.8%
William Hill	2.10	3.00	3.10	13.2%
Best of all books	2.21	3.25	3.55	4.2%
Average	2.10	3.09	3.32	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BangladeshSri Lanka

Last 10#1Table position#23.00Points per game1.006Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating67100Defence rating075Form rating2550H2H rating500Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 10:00 UTC

Bangladesh

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:21 · per match 0.9 for, 2.1 against

5 Nov	A	Bhutan	1-0	W
1 Oct	A	Indonesia	2-9	L
28 Sep	A	Singapore	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Malaysia	0-3	L
5 Jun	A	San Marino	2-1	W
31 Mar	A	Singapore	0-1	L
26 Mar	A	Vietnam	0-3	L
18 Nov	H	India	1-0	W
13 Nov	H	Nepal	2-2	D
14 Oct	A	Hong Kong	1-1	D

Sri Lanka

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	H	Bhutan	2-2	D
5 Oct	A	Mauritius	3-2	W
2 Oct	A	Mauritius	0-3	L
30 Sep	A	Seychelles	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Seychelles	3-0	W
8 Jun	H	Bhutan	4-1	W
31 Mar	A	Chinese Taipei	3-1	W
18 Nov	H	Thailand	0-4	L
14 Oct	A	Turkmenistan	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Turkmenistan	1-0	W

Head to head

1Bangladesh wins

0draws

1Sri Lanka wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Bangladesh

1 Oct 2021SAFF Championship	SAFF Championship	Sri Lanka0-1Bangladesh
29 Aug 2018Friendlies	Friendlies	Bangladesh0-1Sri Lanka

SAFF Championship tableGroup Aupdated 11 Nov 12:10 UTC

In the SAFF Championship table, Bangladesh sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, while Sri Lanka are 2nd with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bangladesh	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
2	Sri Lanka	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
3	Bhutan	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.09X29%3.10227%3.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 2.09 +3.5%X3.37 → 3.10 -8.0%23.25 → 3.35 +3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
BetVictor	2.00	1.69	9.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.04	1.70	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.80	1.88	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bangladesh 45%Draw 45%Sri Lanka 10%

The statistical model rates Bangladesh at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sri Lanka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.10 | 3.35, which imply roughly 47.8% for a Bangladesh win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the SAFF Championship table: Bangladesh are 1st (3 pts, 1-0 goals), Sri Lanka 2nd (1 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, Bangladesh averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Sri Lanka averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bangladesh or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.09	3.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.63	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.71	2.05	3.89

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.33	3.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.36	14.4	35.0
HT X	5.10	4.69	7.50
HT 2	25.0	14.4	5.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	9.00	2.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.86
1.5	1.32	3.08
2.5	2.04	1.70
3.5	3.64	1.23
4.5	6.82	1.07
5.5	11.4	1.03
6.5	17.0	–
7.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.16	4.05
1.75	1.40	2.64
2	1.53	2.29
2.25	1.79	1.90
2.75	2.33	1.52
3	2.83	1.35
3.25	3.14	1.29
3.75	4.15	1.17
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	4.30	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.45	1.47
-0.5	2.12	1.66
-0.25	1.81	1.90
0	1.51	2.39
+0.25	1.37	2.81
+0.5	1.32	3.20

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.27	1.05
-2.25	5.90	1.13
-2	8.00	1.04
-1.75	5.42	1.12
-1.5	4.07	1.18
-1.25	3.51	1.25
-1	3.19	1.29
+0.75	1.21	3.98
+1	1.07	6.57
+1.25	1.12	6.05
+1.5	1.04	7.87

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.89	1.89

Latest SAFF Championship results

11 Nov	India 1-0 Maldives
8 Nov	Sri Lanka 2-2 Bhutan
5 Nov	Bhutan 0-1 Bangladesh