Stade Malien Bamako vs Diarra• Première Division, Mali

#51.0:0.016:00Today0.0:0.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.15DAF25.061XBMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets42Rating77 · 23Exp. goals L50.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 11:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.79	3.15	4.50	9.8%
1xBet	1.74	2.97	5.06	10.9%
Betano	1.78	3.10	4.45	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.10	4.50	11.6%
William Hill	1.80	2.88	4.60	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.97	4.90	12.2%
Best of all books	1.80	3.15	5.06	7.1%
Average	1.76	3.03	4.67	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stade Malien BamakoDiarra

Last 10#5Table position#93.00Points per game1.0011Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 50.00.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating075Form rating2575H2H rating250Goals model077Overall rating23

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 15:11 UTC

Stade Malien Bamako

6W 4D 0L · goals 15:5 · per match 1.5 for, 0.5 against

1 Nov	A	Réal Bamako	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Colombe	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Colombe	0-0	D
13 Jun	A	Diarra	2-0	W
9 Jun	H	Binga	2-1	W
4 Jun	A	Bakaridjan	2-0	W
31 May	H	USFAS Bamako	2-2	D
24 May	A	Mali Coura	1-1	D
21 May	H	Bougouni	3-0	W
10 May	A	Onze Créateurs	2-1	W

Diarra

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

2 Nov	H	Djoliba	0-0	D
25 Oct	A	ASC Kara	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	ASC Kara	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Nations	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Nations	1-0	W
13 Jun	H	Stade Malien Bamako	0-2	L
9 Jun	A	US Bougouba	6-2	W
5 Jun	H	Djoliba	1-2	L
2 Jun	A	Afrique Football Élite	1-0	W
25 May	H	ASKO	0-0	D

Head to head

3Stade Malien Bamako wins

0draws

1Diarra wins

4 meetings · goals 8:2 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Stade Malien Bamako

13 Jun 2026Première Division	Première Division	Diarra0-2Stade Malien Bamako
29 Mar 2026Première Division	Première Division	Stade Malien Bamako2-0Diarra
15 May 2025Première Division	Première Division	Diarra0-3Stade Malien Bamako
23 Jan 2025Première Division	Première Division	Stade Malien Bamako1-2Diarra

Première Division tablePremiere Divisionupdated 8 Nov 15:11 UTC

In the Première Division table, Stade Malien Bamako sit 5th with 3 points from 1 games, while Diarra are 9th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Binga	2	1	1	0	3:1	+2	4
2	Djoliba	2	1	1	0	2:0	+2	4
3	Bakaridjan	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
4	Derby Academie	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
5	Stade Malien Bamako	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Afrique Football Élite	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
7	CS Bamako	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
8	US Bougouba	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
9	Diarra	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
10	AS Kayes	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
11	ASKO	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
12	Réal Bamako	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
13	Onze Créateurs	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
14	USFAS Bamako	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X30%3.03219%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.46	1.47	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
William Hill	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.54	10.0%
Best of all books	2.22	1.57	8.7%
Average	2.21	1.56	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stade Malien Bamako 50%Draw 50%Diarra 0%

The statistical model rates Stade Malien Bamako at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Diarra at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.03 | 4.67, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Stade Malien Bamako win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Première Division table: Stade Malien Bamako are 5th (3 pts, 1-0 goals), Diarra 9th (1 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Stade Malien Bamako averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Diarra averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Stade Malien Bamako or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.76	3.03	4.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	1.87	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.21	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	1.89	5.53

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.18	4.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.94	17.8	52.0
HT X	4.36	4.13	8.85
HT 2	31.0	18.3	7.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	6.15	3.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.30
1.5	1.47	2.37
2.5	2.46	1.47
3.5	4.80	1.12
4.5	11.0	1.04
5.5	29.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.50
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.29	3.06
1.75	1.61	2.10
2	1.83	1.82
2.25	2.17	1.58
2.75	2.95	1.31
3	3.98	1.17
3.25	4.40	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.28	1.25
-1.25	2.89	1.32
-1	2.51	1.44
-0.75	1.99	1.68
-0.5	1.76	1.95
-0.25	1.49	2.34

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.50	1.05
-1.75	4.30	1.15
0	1.24	3.37
+0.25	1.17	4.04
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Latest Première Division results

6 Nov	CS Bamako 1-1 Binga
6 Nov	USFAS Bamako 1-2 Afrique Football Élite
2 Nov	Diarra 0-0 Djoliba
2 Nov	ASKO 2-3 Derby Academie
1 Nov	Bakaridjan 2-1 Afrique Football Élite
1 Nov	Binga 2-0 USFAS Bamako