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Flora Tallinn vs Tartu Welco• Cup, Estonia

10.0:1.017:00Today · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn4.5:2.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.18B365X7.00BFR213.0MARMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets60Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L59.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.147.0012.010.3%
Bet3651.186.0011.010.5%
Betano1.166.2011.311.2%
Betfair1.127.0013.011.3%
1xBet1.145.8013.012.7%
Marathonbet1.145.8013.012.7%
Best of all books1.187.0013.06.7%
Average1.156.3012.211.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Flora TallinnTartu Welco
Last 109Form pts · last 51510.0Goals for · last 54.51.0Goals against · last 52.553Attack rating4783Defence rating1750Form rating500H2H rating078Goals model2266Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 18:00 UTC

Flora Tallinn

5W 1D 4L · goals 25:17 · per match 2.5 for, 1.7 against

1 NovHTrans Narva2-0W
29 OctHTallinna Kalev II10-1W
25 OctAKalju Nomme1-2L
21 OctALaagri1-3L
18 OctHTammeka2-0W
15 OctHFC Levadia Tallinn1-3L
11 OctAKuressaare0-2L
20 SepHVaprus3-2W
12 SepANõmme United3-2W
8 SepATrans Narva2-2D

Tartu Welco

7W 2D 1L · goals 27:10 · per match 2.7 for, 1.0 against

31 OctAFlora II2-1W
23 OctHTallinna Kalev3-2W
18 OctHNõmme United II4-3W
15 OctAFC Tallinn7-0W
9 OctHElva4-0W
17 SepAViimsi2-0W
14 SepHNõmme Kalju II3-0W
10 SepAFCI Levadia II0-0D
5 SepATallinna Kalev1-1D
29 AugHViimsi1-3L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Flora Tallinn and Tartu Welco on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.15X14%6.3027%12.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 18:004 Nov 03:001 1.15X 6.302 12.2
11.16 → 1.15 -0.9%X6.02 → 6.30 +4.7%211.8 → 12.2 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
Betfair1.293.307.8%
1xBet1.302.9710.6%
Marathonbet1.302.9710.6%
Best of all books1.333.305.5%
Average1.303.128.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.781.899.1%
Marathonbet1.781.869.9%
Best of all books1.801.917.9%
Average1.791.899.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flora Tallinn 45%Draw 45%Tartu Welco 10%

The statistical model rates Flora Tallinn at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tartu Welco at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 6.30 | 12.21, which imply roughly 87% for a Flora Tallinn win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Flora Tallinn averaged 10 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tartu Welco averaged 4.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Flora Tallinn and +4.5 goals (goal line signal: over 4.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.156.3012.2

Double chance

1XX212
1.034.061.07

Draw no bet

12
1.057.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.89

1st half

1X2
1.522.929.34

2nd half

1X2
1.343.798.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.5722.570.5
HT X3.909.8624.3
HT 220.125.023.8

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2119.94.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–19.0
1.51.066.67
2.51.313.12
3.51.771.91
4.52.591.39
5.54.301.15
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.075.85
21.095.40
2.251.193.79
2.751.362.75
31.432.46
3.251.592.13
3.751.911.74
42.151.56
4.252.381.47
4.753.041.29
53.741.19
5.254.001.17
66.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.381.46
-2.52.101.59
-2.251.911.78
-21.711.95
-1.751.582.12
-1.51.542.21
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.55.851.07
-45.251.09
-3.754.051.16
-3.53.341.24
-3.253.081.28
-32.831.33
-1.251.362.70
-11.223.48
-0.751.183.82
-0.251.085.70
01.048.77