SONABEL vs ASFB• Ligue 1, Burkina-Faso

#121.4:1.00-1FT01/11 · Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou1.0:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.141XBX2.96MAR23.561XBMargin at best8.6%Books5Markets37Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 11:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.14	2.90	3.56	9.3%
Betano	2.10	2.90	3.45	11.1%
Bet365	2.10	2.90	3.40	11.5%
Pinnacle	2.11	2.87	3.38	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.05	2.96	3.38	12.2%
Best of all books	2.14	2.96	3.56	8.6%
Average	2.10	2.91	3.43	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SONABELASFB

Last 10#12Table position#100.88Points per game1.386Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4258Defence rating4250Form rating5050H2H rating5055Goals model4555Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 10:50 UTC

SONABEL

4W 0D 6L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Rahimo	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Vitesse	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Sporting Cascades	3-0	W
5 Oct	H	Comoé	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	FocuSport	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Majestic	0-1	L
10 May	H	ASFA-Yennenga	1-0	W
3 May	H	ASFB	2-0	W
26 Apr	A	Douanes	1-2	L
18 Apr	A	RC Bobo-Dioulasso	0-1	L

ASFB

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

7 Nov	A	USFA	0-0	D
1 Nov	A	SONABEL	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Vitesse	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Comoé	4-2	W
9 Oct	H	Majestic	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	ASFA-Yennenga	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	RCK	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Salitas	2-2	D
10 May	A	Salitas	2-3	L
3 May	A	SONABEL	0-2	L

Head to head

6SONABEL wins

4draws

3ASFB wins

13 meetings · goals 10:8 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for SONABEL

3 May 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	SONABEL2-0ASFB
27 Sep 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ASFB1-0SONABEL
11 Apr 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	SONABEL1-0ASFB
31 Oct 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ASFB0-0SONABEL
14 Jun 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	SONABEL2-3ASFB
2 Sep 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ASFB0-1SONABEL
17 Feb 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	SONABEL0-0ASFB
20 Nov 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ASFB0-1SONABEL
9 Apr 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ASFB3-0SONABEL
7 Nov 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	SONABEL1-0ASFB

Ligue 1 table1st Divisionupdated 14 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, SONABEL sit 12th with 7 points from 8 games, while ASFB are 10th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rahimo	8	6	1	1	16:7	+9	19
2	USFA	8	5	2	1	9:2	+7	17
3	Douanes	8	5	1	2	12:6	+6	16
4	Vitesse	8	4	3	1	9:5	+4	15
5	FocuSport	8	5	0	3	13:13	0	15
6	Réal du Faso	8	4	2	2	10:6	+4	14
7	CFFEB	8	4	2	2	11:4	+7	14
8	ASFA-Yennenga	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
9	Sporting Cascades	8	3	2	3	11:12	-1	11
10	ASFB	8	3	2	3	8:9	-1	11
11	Majestic	8	2	1	5	4:9	-5	7
12	SONABEL	8	2	1	5	7:7	0	7
13	Maya	8	1	3	4	5:10	-5	6
14	RCK	8	1	2	5	6:16	-10	5
15	Comoé	8	1	1	6	3:10	-7	4
16	Salitas	8	1	1	6	7:18	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X31%2.91226%3.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.36	1.52	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.43	1.47	9.2%
Betano	2.27	1.52	9.8%
Best of all books	2.43	1.53	6.5%
Average	2.35	1.51	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.13	1.72	5.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.72	5.1%
Average	2.06	1.70	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SONABEL 33%Draw 33%ASFB 33%

The statistical model rated SONABEL at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and ASFB at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 2.91 | 3.44, which imply roughly 47.6% for a SONABEL win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: SONABEL are 12th (7 pts, 7-7 goals), ASFB 10th (11 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, SONABEL averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; ASFB averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	2.91	3.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.61	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.06	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	1.90	4.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.48	2.21	3.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	14.3	43.0
HT X	4.83	4.28	7.05
HT 2	30.5	16.0	5.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	6.38	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.43	2.51
2.5	2.35	1.51
3.5	4.40	1.14

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.26	3.23
1.75	1.55	2.21
2	1.77	1.90
2.25	2.06	1.64
2.75	2.79	1.35
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	4.00	1.17
4	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.24	1.27
-0.75	2.44	1.45
-0.5	2.05	1.64
-0.25	1.79	1.91
0	1.48	2.43
+0.25	1.34	2.84

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.80	1.01
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.5	4.15	1.17
-1.25	3.76	1.19
+0.5	1.26	3.28
+0.75	1.14	4.33
+1	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Latest Ligue 1 results

14 Nov	Majestic 0-1 FocuSport
14 Nov	ASFA-Yennenga 3-0 Sporting Cascades
14 Nov	RCK 1-3 Rahimo
14 Nov	Comoé 0-0 Douanes
14 Nov	ASFB 0-1 Réal du Faso
1 Nov	Salitas 1-2 Sporting Cascades