Hereford vs Brackley Town• FA Trophy, England

1-2FTToday · Edgar Street, Hereford

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX3.80B36523.681XBMargin at best6.1%Books9Markets53Rating62 · 38

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 13:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.90	3.80	3.55	7.1%
Betano	1.90	3.75	3.40	8.7%
1xBet	1.79	3.62	3.68	10.7%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.67	3.37	10.7%
William Hill	1.83	3.60	3.50	11.0%
Bet365	1.80	3.80	3.40	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.77	3.62	3.60	11.9%
Betfair	1.80	3.70	3.40	12.0%
BetVictor	1.73	3.25	3.20	19.8%
Best of all books	1.90	3.80	3.68	6.1%
Average	1.82	3.65	3.46	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HerefordBrackley Town

Last 107Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 06:00 UTC

Hereford

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

10 Nov	A	Morecambe	2-2	D
7 Nov	A	Chorley	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	King's Lynn Town	0-3	L
27 Oct	H	AFC Telford United	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Macclesfield	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Hednesford Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Bedford Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Stafford Rangers	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	South Shields	6-0	W
8 Sep	A	Harborough Town	3-0	W

Brackley Town

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

7 Nov	H	Chester	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Worksop Town	1-0	W
27 Oct	A	Spalding United	2-2	D
24 Oct	H	Radcliffe	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Hednesford Town	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Spennymoor Town	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Chelmsford City	0-2	L
29 Sep	H	South Shields	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Scarborough Athletic	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	AFC Portchester	1-0	W

Head to head

4Hereford wins

3draws

4Brackley Town wins

11 meetings · goals 15:16 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Hereford

1 Feb 2025National League - North	National League - North	Hereford3-2Brackley Town
31 Aug 2024National League - North	National League - North	Brackley Town1-2Hereford
16 Mar 2024National League - North	National League - North	Brackley Town2-0Hereford
7 Nov 2023National League - North	National League - North	Hereford1-0Brackley Town
10 Apr 2023National League - North	National League - North	Hereford2-2Brackley Town
13 Sep 2022National League - North	National League - North	Brackley Town2-1Hereford
2 May 2022National League - North	National League - North	Hereford2-2Brackley Town
8 Jan 2022National League - North	National League - North	Brackley Town1-0Hereford
16 Feb 2021National League - North	National League - North	Hereford2-0Brackley Town
24 Aug 2019National League - North	National League - North	Hereford1-1Brackley Town

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.82X25%3.65226%3.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.82 +13.7%X3.90 → 3.64 -6.7%24.24 → 3.46 -18.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.19	7.8%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
BetVictor	1.50	1.88	19.9%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.15	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.56	2.25	8.5%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.21	9.4%
BetVictor	1.44	1.95	20.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.53	2.22	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hereford 45%Draw 45%Brackley Town 10%

The statistical model rated Hereford at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brackley Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.65 | 3.46, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Hereford win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Hereford averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Brackley Town averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hereford or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.65	3.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.83	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.33	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.63	3.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.77	14.1	30.0
HT X	4.91	6.08	8.44
HT 2	20.6	14.2	5.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	14.4	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.15	4.08
2.5	1.59	2.15
3.5	2.42	1.44
4.5	4.01	1.15
5.5	6.90	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.60
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.19	3.83
2	1.25	3.15
2.25	1.41	2.44
2.75	1.72	1.88
3	1.94	1.68
3.25	2.16	1.52
3.75	2.71	1.31
4	3.76	1.19
4.25	4.11	1.16
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.63	1.35
-1	2.31	1.49
-0.75	1.94	1.70
-0.5	1.80	1.84
-0.25	1.57	2.08
0	1.36	2.58

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.45	1.02
-2.75	7.30	1.03
-2.5	6.10	1.06
-2.25	5.75	1.07
-2	5.30	1.09
-1.75	3.84	1.18
-1.5	3.08	1.28
+0.25	1.30	3.03
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.04	6.75
+1.25	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.03	7.70

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