Chorley vs 
Buxton• FA Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 13:14 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.27 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.22 | 9.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.64 | 2.20 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.62 | 2.14 | 10.6% |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 3.62 | 2.12 | 11.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.27 | 7.2% |
| Average | 2.69 | 3.54 | 2.18 | 11.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 07:00 UTC
Chorley
5W 1D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against
| 7 Nov | H | Hereford | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Spennymoor Town | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Radcliffe | 3-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Buxton | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Worcester City | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Worcester City | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | AFC Telford United | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Barton Town Old Boys | 4-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Spalding United | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Rylands | 1-0 | W |
Buxton
5W 2D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against
| 7 Nov | A | Scarborough Athletic | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Marine | 4-2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Harborough Town | 3-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Chorley | 3-2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Worksop Town | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | King's Lynn Town | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | South Shields | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | South Shields | 0-4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Ashton United | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Chester | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 16:18 · last 9: 2W 2D 5L for Chorley
| 24 Oct 2026National League - North | National League - North | Chorley2-3Buxton |
| 14 Mar 2026National League - North | National League - North | Chorley1-2Buxton |
| 18 Oct 2025National League - North | National League - North | Buxton3-2Chorley |
| 18 Apr 2025National League - North | National League - North | Buxton1-0Chorley |
| 4 Feb 2025National League - North | National League - North | Chorley3-0Buxton |
| 6 Apr 2024National League - North | National League - North | Buxton3-1Chorley |
| 12 Dec 2023National League - North | National League - North | Chorley3-2Buxton |
| 25 Feb 2023National League - North | National League - North | Chorley2-2Buxton |
| 10 Jan 2023National League - North | National League - North | Buxton2-2Chorley |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 2.33 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.35 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 2.41 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 2.41 | 10.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.43 | 2.00 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.55 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.35 | 10.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 2.62 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.44 | 2.52 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 2.57 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.45 | 10.3% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 2.55 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 2.20 | 20.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.48 | 11.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Chorley at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Buxton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.69 | 3.54 | 2.18, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Chorley averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Buxton averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | 3.54 | 2.18 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 1.36 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.96 | 1.64 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.49 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.19 | 2.37 | 2.67 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.94 | 2.70 | 2.46 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.40 | 13.4 | 21.4 |
| HT X | 6.92 | 6.30 | 5.82 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 13.4 | 3.43 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 17.4 | 1.78 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 15.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 4.67 |
| 2.5 | 1.48 | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 2.20 | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 3.55 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 6.08 | 1.05 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 11.0 |
| 1.25 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| 2 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.74 |
| 2.75 | 1.58 | 2.07 |
| 3 | 1.75 | 1.86 |
| 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.65 |
| 3.75 | 2.48 | 1.39 |
| 4 | 3.09 | 1.28 |
| 4.25 | 3.49 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.70 | 1.12 |
| 5 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
| 5.25 | 6.80 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.60 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.28 | 1.47 |
| 0 | 2.01 | 1.62 |
| +0.25 | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| +0.5 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.42 | 2.41 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| -0.75 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.29 | 2.93 |
| +1.25 | 1.26 | 3.28 |
| +1.5 | 1.17 | 3.94 |
| +1.75 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 8.30 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 9.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |